M

 

O R A L
  H A Z A R D
  pari-mutuel stewardship's inescapable speculative element
"self-adjustment of society to the probable" crowns ƒutures

  [ Do you have the right to bet FOR (payable on the basis of) catastrophe to a previously agreed amount regardless of your volume of losses ?
If Lloyd's will write the policy, and the law allows it, albeit by omission of enforcement (e.g. 1906-1991), then the answer is yes, unless your name is Christopher Moran.

Is this any different than betting your own horse will lose ?   Ultimately no.   Do options "puts" on financial securities render tonner prohibiton moot ?   Yes.
Is "moral hazard" a flawed model, hence a myth ?   Yes;
Rand Corp. research says so.

The more it is applied to policy, the more the applicatee responds to consequences of short term downside, regardless of "objective" logic of strategic gain.
God seems to have wired man to survive now more than tomorrow.

Charity is hence an a priori principle & moré proven necessarily exclusive of actuarially "objective" calculation, Bentham be damned.
Reserves = salvation, insurance = price of sin.
]


Big 4 nee 5 bail out; bean counter corp. welfare
Too big to fail   Moral hazard & need to restructure (accounting) industry before it unravels
2006 L.A. Cunningham Columbia Law Review
In economics & ethical theory, the term moral hazard may be used for any situation where a person or organization does not bear the full adverse consequences of its actions.

In economic theory, the term moral hazard refers to the possibility that the redistribution of risk, such as insurance which transfers risk from the insured to the insurer, changes people's behaviour.

In the contemporary insurance industry itself, a distinction is commonly made between moral hazard & morale hazard.

Under this distinction, the term "moral hazard" is only used in the case of immoral or illegal conduct on the part of the insured party, while changes in behaviour and attitude are called "morale hazard".

per Wiki   excerpt
  abstract:
In "On the Genealogy of Moral Hazard," Prof. Baker introduces the general concept of moral hazard as the tendency for insurance against loss to reduce incentives or minimize loss.
Essentially, the concept can be summarized as “less is more".

Baker questions the "less is more" concept by investigating the cause of the origin of moral hazard and its eventual utility. 
The concept of moral hazard originated in 19 cent. fire insurance trade industry.

Neoclassical economists adopted & interpreted the insurance trade concept of moral hazard re how assumptions about people & their specific situations are reflected in the economics of moral hazard.
Baker uses examples to highlight the shortcomings of moral hazard in its attempt to provide a neutral, technical basis for reforming tort law, workers' compensation, health insurance, or social welfare reform.


»
1996   Tom Baker Texas Law Review v.75 #2
»

Excess   amount payable by the insured, usually expressed as first amount falling due, up to a ceiling, in the event of a loss.

An excess may or may not be applied; it may be expressed in either monetary or percentage terms.
It's typically used to discourage moral hazard and to remove small claims, which are disproportionately expensive to handle.
The equivalent term to 'excess' in marine insurance is 'deductible' or 'retention'.

Co-insurance, typically applied in non-proportional reinsurance, is an excess expressed as a proportion of a claim, e.g. 5%, and applied to the entirety of a claim.

Franchise is a deductible below which nothing is payable and beyond which the entire amount of the sum insured is payable, typically used in reinsurance arbitrage arrangements.

Deductibles, copayment, and coinsurance reduce risk of moral hazard since they're the insured's financial incentive to avoid qualifying for filing claim.
In economic terms, opportunity & time costs further curb moral hazard issues for insurance firms.

Tonners & Chinamen   obsolete forms of early reinsurance. Both are technically unlawful, as not having insurable interest, and so were unenforceable in law.
Policies were typically marked P.P.I. (Policy is Proof of Interest).

Their use continued into the 1970s before they were banned by Lloyd's, the main market, by which time they had become nothing more than crude bets.

A 'tonner' was simply a 'policy' setting out the global gross tonnage loss for a year. If that loss was reached or exceeded, the policy paid out.
A 'chinaman' applied the same principle but in reverse: thus, if the limit was not reached, the policy paid out.

Insurable interest   In relation to insurance, the law prevents people taking out an insurance contract on someone else's life or someone else's property unless they have an insurable interest in that life.

Valid forms of insurable interest include being a spouse, being financially dependent on the person, or situations where there is joint ownership of real property or a business.

This concept of insurable interest was established to prevent:

- gambling on the lives of others under the pretence of being insurance

- the moral hazard of people taking out insurance on someone's life, and then "arranging" for that person to die - so that they can claim on the policy

In the UK this aspect of law depends on statute law e.g. Life Assurance Act 1774 which renders such contracts illegal, and the Marine Insurance Act 1906, s.4 which renders such contracts void.

subrogation   rights of the insurer to stand in the shoes of an indemnified insured and recover salvage for his own benefit

No-arbitrage bounds   In financial mathematics, mathematical relationships specifying simple limits on derivative prices.
Normally, these are found by simple arguments based on the payouts of the security in question, without specifying any sort of Distribution on any of the asset returns involved.

Lack of arbitrage explains some rather obvious questions in option pricing, such that the value of a call option will never rise above the underlying stock price itself.
However, the most frequent nontrivial example of no-arbitrage bounds is put-call parity for option prices.


  Ch. 5   Distinguished gambles   struggle to separate speculation & insurance from gambling
5.06   Kreitner

The idea of wager or even of gambling presents a paradox for contract law. A basic tenet of common law contract doctrine is that contracts to wager are unenforceable, since they are deemed contracts in contravention of public policy. 1
On the other hand, contract “is the projection of exchange into the future,” 2 and as the future is always uncertain, contracts are often acknowledged as a mechanism of allocating risk. 3

Juxtaposing these two commonplaces, the question becomes, how do we distinguish allocation of risk (legitimate and central to contract), from gambling or wagering (illegitimate and outside of contract)?
This question becomes particularly acute in those cases where contracts allocate risk statistically (especially insurance contracts) or where contracts seem disconnected from any underlying business logic (in speculative trading of commodities futures).

The problem for contract law with transactions like these is that they look like regular, legitimate contracts, but at the same time, they look like gambling.
These following chapters analyze that paradox by concentrating on a developmental stage of the legal treatment of transactions whose primary object is risk. The cases examined turn on the validity of commodities trading contracts and insurance contracts around the turn of the century.

Like any good historical story, this is more than one tale. The history presented here offers a counter narrative to a familiar conception of contract as coming to terms with a growing uncertainty that accompanied industrial concentration. 4
It combines historical investigation into seemingly narrow doctrines of contract law with questions regarding the place of uncertainty in a changing culture, suggesting that current and popular views of the topic miss the mark.
It adds to the mix questions of how policy inflects legal decision making, and looks at judicial rhetoric as part of a process of defining or constructing modern individuality.

Chapters in this part make two interrelated claims: first, the problem of wager, generally considered a marginal aspect of contract, ought to be seen as central to the development of modern contract law;
and second, the emergence of a thoroughly modern law of contract and the associated legal treatment of wagers are fruitfully engaged as an important part of the process of constructing our current notion of individuality, with its attendant market consciousness.

Focus on turn-of-the-century cases should not lull the reader into a false sense of security regarding the question of distinguishing between contract and gambling.
While the historical view serves to concentrate attention on a period in which societal attitudes toward risk underwent a transformation, we should not assume that modern contract law is free from ambiguity on the topic.

The same inability to sharply distinguish gambling from the “legitimate” and “productive” sectors of the economy is replayed today, only at a faster pace and with larger stakes. Heated debates over the regulation of the rapidly growing market in derivatives and over the emerging industry of viatical settlements are modern examples of the same difficulties analyzed here historically.
Labeling transactions as wagers is one way to limit freedom of contract. The underlying question always revolves around the extent to which the state will support or restrict the attempts of individuals or groups to undertake obligations.

Today, it is more common to frame the debate over the legitimacy of risk as one over the scope of state regulation generally. In contrast, around the turn of the last century, the question of wager was one of the key doctrinal areas defining the scope of freedom of contract.

Parallels between these issues should emerge as the discussion proceeds. I do not set out to answer the question of how much regulation of contracting behavior is appropriate. The more modest goal here is to suggest that one basic puzzle about contract regulation, that of distinguishing legitimate from illegitimate risk, while often taken for granted as definitively settled, is actually a problem for which no satisfying solution has been offered, much less adopted.

Of four chapters, this one offers a brief historical sketch of the connections among gambling, speculation, and insurance, and the attempts through the 19th century to distinguish these practices.
Ch. 6 & 7 put on display a somewhat old-fashioned exercise in reading cases, providing a detailed analysis of the development of the law surrounding commodities futures trading and life insurance contracts, with heightened attention to the policy analysis carried out by judges adjudicating disputes that arose in these areas. 5

The point of the analysis is not only to unravel the legal doctrine, but more importantly, to examine the rhetorical maneuvers through which judges justified their decisions. Through this analysis, I explore judicial rhetoric as the site of a cultural conflict whose intensity reached a peak around the turn of the century.

Finally, Ch. 8 is an interpretation of turn of the century policy bases of the decisions, and a comment on the place of uncertainty in legal rhetoric around the turn of the century.

It argues that rather than neutralizing objective uncertainty by developing doctrinal tools, 6 contract law is part of a richer and more complex story of Americans’ love/hate relationship with risk. Up until early in the 19th century, insurance on the one hand, and stock and commodities trading, on the other, were viewed as indistinguishable or at least very difficult to distinguish from gambling.
Establishing a distinction was more than a legal question, in that it was crucially intertwined with a vision of society, and with a vision of what the individual must be in order to make up society, or to be fit for society.

In other words, the distinction between gambling and its cousins in the realm of legitimate speculation is part of a process of socializing individuals. This is meant to be a term with double meaning: on the one hand, it is a process that acts on concrete individuals, by imposing a view of normative behavior; but on the other hand, it is a process of creating individuals, where initially a concept of individuality may have been far less important. 7

The example of insurance is illuminating here: whereas in a more localized economic & and social environment, loss was dealt with communally, for example, by extended family or neighbors caring for the families of the deceased or disabled, the rise in urbanization and mobility makes individually procured insurance the key mechanism in providing for loss, breaking the ties that cement communal feeling.
Insurance thus substitutes a faceless collective for a familiar communal collective. 8

Historians have told the story of gambling and anti-gambling in the 19th century along several lines, some of them including important race and class distinctions in the treatment of gambling.
An important element of the anti-gambling movements, even of incidental anti-gambling rhetoric, was an attempt to legitimate a certain view of human activity that revolved around gain. Part of the function of anti-gambling discourse was to construct acquisitive individuality (including the possibility of speculation) as the normative form of human subjectivity.

This may sound paradoxical at first, since who after all, is more interested in gain than the gambler? This should become clearer as we proceed.


  •   any society needs leaders to flourish and survive
  •   free public education is a necessity
  •   govt supervision as an "overseer" is essential
  •   politics is a legitimate philosophy
  •   govt authority is a must
  •   the law is a legitimate and fair system
  •   govts create solid money systems.
  • The Fictions of Freedom,   Dr. R Lin author
    Legislation targets those who bet on death   Some investors pay seniors for the right to take out life policies on them. Proposed bill in California has some industry support.   ¹
    10.9.09   Marc Lifsher L.A. Times

    Sacramento CA   New efforts are underway in Sacramento to regulate how investors buy and sell existing life insurance policies, a practice that critics contend allows speculators to make money by wagering on when a person will die. Currently, an estimated $27 trillion worth of life insurance is in force, most of it to provide financial security for survivors.
    But in recent years, older Americans have increasingly been selling their policies for cash to investors who see an opportunity for profit as they take over the premium payments and then collect proceeds when people die.

    Sales of these policies to investors and the packaging of them into larger investments have grown from a few billion dollars a decade ago to over $13 billion in 2006, according to a state report. They are expected to reach $150 billion by 2019.
    Across the nation, this largely unregulated market has also caught the attention of state regulators and lawmakers who are calling for more consumer protections, better regulation of these purchases and an outright ban on the most controversial type of transaction, known as stranger-originated life insurance. In such deals, speculators basically pay healthy senior citizens for the right to take out insurance policies on their lives.

    Skeptics suggest that investors buy the policies in hopes of an early death and a quick payoff. "It's basically speculating on human life," said Joseph Belth, a retired professor of insurance at Indiana University.
    But leaders of the industry counter that buying unwanted life insurance policies is a boon for cash-strapped senior citizens, who often receive more money than they'd get by "surrendering" their policies or simply stopping premium payments.
    "For the vast majority of these, the decision has proven extremely lucrative," said Life Insurance Settlement Assn trade group exec. dir. Doug Head. "For well over a decade, consumers have asserted their property rights" by selling their policies.

    This is the second year that the California Legislature has approved a bill to regulate the sale of existing life insurance policies and ban stranger-originated policies. The bill is being lobbied heavily in the run-up to Sunday's deadline for the governor to sign or veto legislation.
    Last year, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger vetoed a similar bill, complaining that it didn't provide sufficient disclosure to consumers. He asked all parties to send him another bill this year, but so far has not indicated how he'd treat the new proposal.

    The latest measure, SB 98 by Sen. Ron Calderon (D-Montebello), is supported by some insurance companies and consumer groups and opposed by others. A national association of companies that buy and resell life insurance policies is pushing hard for a signature from Schwarzenegger, but its state counterpart wants a veto.
    Calderon's proposal is partly based on model laws developed by groups representing state insurance commissioners and legislators that specialize in insurance issues. These model laws ban purchases of stranger-originated policies while preserving and regulating people's long-established right to sell their existing life insurance policies to third parties.

    The proposed legislation tries to rein in a burgeoning secondary market in life insurance policies that are bought and repackaged into securities. Banks, pension plans and individual investors buy the securities, betting they will earn at least double-digit returns by enticing seniors to sell their existing policies.
    Congress and the Securities and Exchange Commission are looking into the growth of the so-called life-settlement market.
    "We must examine whether or not securities products based on life settlements actually contribute to economic growth or merely prolong the casino culture on Wall Street that got us into our current economic mess," said Rep. Paul E. Kanjorski (D-Pa.) at a Sept. 24 congressional hearing of his capital markets subcommittee.

    Some witnesses at the hearing warned that potentially risky investments in life settlements could collapse much like the bursting of the mortgage-backed securities bubble, whose bursting last year led to the worst U.S. recession in decades.
    But designating a bright line between banning potentially fraudulent, stranger-originated life insurance scams and protecting the established property right of policyholders to sell their existing policies is a difficult task, Belth said.
    "It's murky," he said, "but there ought to be some regulation."

    Opponents of the California bill are a coalition of those that call the Calderon bill too stringent and those that say it's riddled with legal loopholes. A group of four big insurers, led by John Hancock Life Insurance Co. and Prudential Insurance Co., argues that the bill would make it harder for them to detect and stop potential stranger-originated schemes.
    Calderon says his bill is pioneering because it would ban stranger-originated life insurance, defined as an "arrangement to initiate the issuance of a life insurance policy in this state for the benefit of a third-party investor."

    But no amount of regulation can overcome the basic callousness of selling and reselling someone's life insurance policy in hopes of profiting from their death, said Belth, the author of a well-regarded consumer's handbook on life insurance.
    "When they sell your policy, you are tracked for the rest of your life and you have to deal with people wanting to find out if you're dead yet," he said. "I find the whole thing to be distasteful to say the least."


    To begin to understand the opposition to insurance and to speculation, one must look to the reigning morality and especially the religious world view that was dominant in the United States until late in the 19th century. Describing the change that occurred through the 19th century, Ian Hacking has written,

    From its inception in the 17th century and well beyond, the notion of probability was linked with gambling devices like dice and lotteries, and the mathematicians who developed probability theory initially did so at the behest of professional gamblers. 10
    What eventually developed into the actuarial conception of risk was a notion of probability explicitly linked with gambling, and this, in part, explains why “insurance and gambling were at first classified under the same heading.” 11
    An additional reason insurance was seen as gambling was that early insurance schemes were, in fact, “outright bets on human lives.” 12

    In England, the link between insurance and gambling was especially strong, and it was common for people to “insure” against the death of public personalities such as the king or members of the cabinet, with whom they had no personal relationship. 13
    One example of a type of insurance betting is the tontine policy, or what in American insurance parlance was known as the deferred dividend policy: this was a type of annuity shared by subscribers to a loan, with the shares increasing as subscribers died, till the last subscriber got all that was left.
    In other words, a number of individuals would invest money into a pool, adding to its size in the first years by paying premiums; after 5 or in some cases 10 years, dividends begin to be awarded, which grow larger as members of the group die off.
    Each participant then, is betting on the short life of his fellows, or at least on his own life being the longest. 14

    Insurance was a suspicious concept. It was widely claimed and accepted, for instance, that insurance was an attempt to interfere with Divine Providence.
    As sociologist Viviana Zelizer has recounted in detail, life insurance was viewed as immoral and sacrilegious, its benefits derided as dirty money.

    Critics objected that an agreement whereby one party profited from the death of a loved one was “a speculation repugnant to the law of God and man.” Religion was the most prominent source of cultural opposition to life insurance, and early nineteenth-century religious leaders portrayed insuring against death a bet against God as well as a usurpation of the functions of divine providence. 15

    Even more intensely than insurance, various types of financial speculation, whether regarding the value of land, stocks, or agricultural commodities, were often associated with gambling. Critics of speculation railed against the prevalence of commercial gambling:

    Populist movements in the agricultural states agitated for legislation to eliminate speculation in futures, using metaphors of diabolical gambling to describe speculators. 17
    Speculators countered, in books, popular publications, and arguments before legislators, emphasizing that the critics had failed to appreciate the distinction between speculation & gambling: speculators were assuming economic risks that others wanted to shift; gamblers, on the other hand, were creating new and unproductive risks.18

    Throughout the 19th century, however, whatever the possibilities of shifting valence for insurance or speculation might have been, it was clear to everyone that gambling was on the negative pole of human behavior: it was evil & immoral, as were the people who gambled.
    In order to legitimate endeavors that had been associated with gambling, one had to distinguish them from gambling, and in the process, it did not hurt to add your voice to those condemning gambling in the first place.

    As historian Ann Fabian has shown, gambling emerged as a “negative analogue,” a form of gain that made other efforts to acquire wealth seem normal & natural. Whereas speculative profits had once seemed dangerous and possibly destructive, they were surely less problematic than the unearned & illusory profits of gambling.
    Condemning wagers while embracing a speculative economy, the bourgeoisie “constructed an image of themselves as virtuous and productive citizens by banishing their gambling doubles". 19
    Speculation was crucial for the economy, but “for the speculation to stay, the gambling had to go". 20

    Like the attempt to legitimize speculation, the legitimation of insurance also involved the condemnation of gambling.
    Proponents of insurance, who included not only insurance salesmen and apologists for insurance companies, but also social reformers, attempted to overcome resistance to life insurance by portraying it as a moral building block in a complex society, where people ought not rely on the charity of the community, but rather should employ self-help and self-reliance in the form of provision for the future through insurance.

    One strategy for legitimizing insurance was the development of the doctrine of moral hazard.
    By claiming that the insurance industry itself would refuse to insure “moral hazards”, the industry dissociated itself from those elements who would try to use insurance for gambling purposes. Gambling & insurance would be separated institutionally, in part through the attention to moral hazard.

    Tom Baker described the two-pronged uses of the concept: moral hazard would help the industry weed out the undesirable uses of insurance and at the same time would allow insurers “to claim innocence by association:

    A late 19th century critic summed up the opposition to various forms of gambling this way: This statement crystallizes a deep-seated view of how the distribution of wealth & power was justified before the transition to a world run by “laws of chance.”

    1   See 3 Samuel Williston, The Law of Contracts § 1664, § 1668 (1st ed. 1920).
    In addition to common law unenforceability, almost all states have anti-gambling statutes, covering particular forms of gambling, and creating exemptions for state-sponsored gambling and for activities regulated by the state that might otherwise be considered gambling. The most obvious examples are state lotteries and, where applicable, casinos; the most important example is state and federal regulation of commodities futures trading and of insurance.

    2   Ian Macneil, “The Many Futures of Contracts,” 47 S. Cal. L. Rev. 691, 712-13 (1974)

    3   See Spartech Corp. v. Opper, 890 F.2d 949, 955 (7th Cir. 1989)
    “A principal purpose of contracts is to allocate the risk of the unexpected in accordance with the parties’ respective preference for or aversion to risk and their ability or inability to prevent the risk from materializing … "
    See also Anthony Kronman & Richard Posner, The Economics of Contract Law 4 (1979)

    4, 21   This view is a staple of mainstream thinking about contract. Robert A. Hillman, The Richness of Contract Law: An Analysis and Critique of Contemporary Theories of Contract Law 173-90 (1997); Lester G. Lindley, Contract, Economic Change, and the Search for Order in Industrializing America 281-86 (1993); Kevin M. Teeven, A History of the Anglo-American Common Law of Contract 236-40 (1990).

    5   The reading of the cases proceeds on the basis of Legal Realist insights, comparing similar cases with different outcomes whose results cannot be reconciled on the basis of legal argumentation.
    Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr. and the Realists who followed his example believed that these decisions were based on “policy” or what they sometimes called legislative considerations.

    Critical legal scholars have noted that “policy” is a vehicle for ideology.
    This book employs a yet more expansive notion of policy, including a cultural politics. The founding instance of this mode of critique is Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., “Privilege, Malice, and Intent,” 8 Harv. L. Rev. 1 (1894); an example of its developed Realist form is, Walter Wheeler Cook, “The Present Status of the “Lack of Mutuality” Rule,” 36 Yale L.J. 897 (1927).
    The strategy, and the role of the Critical Legal Studies movement in explaining policy as ideology, is described in Duncan Kennedy, A Critique of Adjudication: Fin de Siecle 82-100 (1997).

    6   See Walter F. Pratt, Jr., “American Contract Law at the Turn of the Century,” 39 S.C. L. Rev. 415 (1988).

    7   Ian Hacking terms this process “making up people.”
    Ian Hacking, The Taming of Chance (1990)

    8, 11   Reuven Brenner & Gabrielle A. Brenner, Gambling and Speculation: A Theory, a History, and a Future of Some Human Decisions 106 (1990)

    9   Ian Hacking, “Was There a Probabilistic Revolution 1800-1930?” in 1 The Probabilistic Revolution 45 (Lorenz Kruger et. al., eds., 1987)

    10   Tom Baker, “On the Genealogy of Moral Hazard,” 75 Texas L. Rev. 237, 246 (1996); Ian Hacking, The Emergence of Probability (1975)

    . 12, 15   Viviana A. Rotman Zelizer, Morals and Markets: The Development of Life Insurance in the United States 69 (1979)

    13   Lorraine J. Daston, “The Domestication of Risk: Mathematical Probability and Insurance 1650-1830,” in 1 The Probabilistic Revolution, 237, 244

    14   See Morton Keller, The Life Insurance Enterprise, 1885-1910, pp. 56-58 (1963); Brenner & Brenner, Gambling and Speculation, 104
    Interestingly, despite their analytic similarity to gambling, tontine policies were not initially targeted as wager contracts in the U.S., where insurable interest doctrine ignored, to some extent, the form of the policy itself:

      Connecticut Mutual Life Ins. Co. v. Schaefer, 94 U.S. 457, 460 (1876).

    16   Unattributed, quoted in Charles A. Conant, “The Function of the Stock and Produce Exchanges,” in The Functions of the Legitimate Exchanges 15 (1910)

    17   Ann Fabian, Card Sharps, Dream Books, and Bucket Shops: Gambling in 19th Century America 154-162 (1990)

    18, 19, 20   See, e.g., James E. Boyle, Speculation and the Chicago Board of Trade 117 (1920); Conant, “Functions of the Exchanges,” 15; New York Cotton Exchange, Dealings in “Options” and “Futures”: Protests, Memorials and Arguments Against Bills Introduced in the 52d Congress (1892)

    22   W.D. MacKenzie, The Ethics of Gambling 43 (1895), quoted in David Dixon, From Prohibition to Regulation: Bookmaking, Anti-Gambling, and the Law 50 (1991)
    This outlook suggests a crucial point, which is that nineteenth century morality, and especially ideology of self-reliance was based on a rejection of chance, and instead on an espousal of a doctrine of desert.

      Ch. 6   “Contracts” for “futures”
    commercial speculation & the gambling stigma

    Part of the transition to a world run by laws of chance was a shift in attitudes toward speculation, one of the important aspects of which was commodities trading.
    Commodities futures trading has an intimate relationship with contract law, both historically & linguistically. The development of expectation damages for breach of contract, and of the way to measure expectation (as the difference between contract price and market price at time of delivery) are closely tied to cases of speculative trading.
    1

    When commodities traders discuss their work, they talk of buying & selling not wheat, cotton, or corn, but “contracts”. Commodities futures trading serves as a good model of what abstract contracting is about, its description falling clearly in line with mainstream modern contract theory.
    Transactions are bilateral executory promises to buy & sell a given amount of any commodity (gold, wheat, cotton, foreign currency) at a given price, on a given date in the future.

    Development of organized exchanges, like the Chicago Board of Trade, allowed nationalization of supply & demand in agricultural commodities, conforming to what economists today would call a sophisticated market supplying an efficient pricing mechanism. 2
    Organized exchanges also provide for speculative transactions; people can and frequently do buy or sell with no intention of making or taking delivery of the product, but merely with the intention of liquidating their position before the date of delivery, hopefully at a profit.

    People conducting speculative trades can be specialists, whose vocation is trading on the exchanges, or simply outside investors who see particular trades as good investments.
    People can use the exchanges to hedge. In other words, someone with an actual or expected holding of a commodity may make a futures transaction in order to prevent losses resulting from swings in the price of the commodity. 3

    Today, such transactions, regardless of whether their motivation be physical sales, hedging, or pure speculation, are completely integral to and commonplace in the market (as they are in the stock market).
    It is rarely considered that they could be outlawed as wagering contracts. 4

    In the last quarter of the 19th century and actually, until definitive Federal regulation in the 1930’s, the status of such speculative transactions was hotly contested. At common law it was accepted that transactions for future delivery of property including stocks & commodities in which the parties did not intend actual delivery, but rather only settlement according to price differences, were unenforceable because they were mere wagers. 5

    In most states, statutes (most of which are still on the books today) were passed expanding the common law position, sometimes criminalizing the transactions and sometimes granting the losers the right to recover their losses from the winners. 6

    Theoretically, it is difficult, if at all possible, to distinguish trades on the exchanges from other contracts of sale. A contract to sell goods for delivery in the future, which the seller does not own at the time, is not only legal but common.
    That transactions are entered into “on margin” also does not brand them as wagers. 7 The fact that the trades are often settled according to price differences rather than actual delivery of commodities simply signifies that contracting parties resolved a “breach” of the contract without recourse to the legal system, yet in accord with the legal remedy of expectation damages for breach of contract. 8

    Settling according to price differences is an instance of anticipatory breach, accompanied by payment of the difference between the contract price and the market price of the commodity at the time of breach. The analogy to a simple contract of sale is illuminating here; 9
    a defaulting seller’s attempt to defend against a suit by claiming the contract is void as a wager because delivery was not contemplated would be ridiculed.

    This situation is a perfect analogue to commodities trading from a pure analytic perspective. The important difference is the context.
    A host of factors militate against the occurrence of the anticipatory breach, the most important being (an assumed) lack of price volatility. Where, as in commodities contracts, the time between contracting and performance is significant, price volatility is an ingrained feature of the market.
    Day to day price differences can be turned into profits. The incentive to speculate on the rise & fall of prices takes on an importance that it does not have in contracts for widgets.
    The tendency of classical theorists to develop a general law of contract runs into an obstacle in the shape of the specific character of the market in question. 10

    The pressure to decide commodities trading cases under the general rubric of contracts brings into sharp focus the problem of distinguishing these transactions from other contracts where speculation always lurks as a spectral possibility.
    The facts of a typical case help set the stage for the discussion of the legal mechanism developed to distinguish between legitimate transactions and wagers.

    The Supreme Court of Illinois sitting in 1916, however, rules against the supposed sincerity of the broker, and allows the miller to recover. The aptly named case, is Miller v. Sincere. 12

    In dozens, if not hundreds of like cases, turn-of-the-century transactors refused to pay debts to brokers, claiming that the transactions were illegal wagers. The actions divide into 2 groups:   either

      (a) clients sued brokers to recover payments already made, relying on anti-gaming statutes that provided for recovery of money lost in gambling; or

      (b) brokers brought actions to secure payment of accounts, or of notes given in satisfaction of debts for similar trading activity,
    w/ clients claiming they could avoid paying the notes because they were given as consideration for illegal wagering contracts. 13

    Either way, the effective use of the anti-gaming statutes probably made the courts instrumental in reaching unintended consequences. 14
    The test of validity of transactions in commodities was the intention of the parties to perform under the terms of the contract, rather than to settle according to price differences. 15

    The test acknowledges that the form 16 of legitimate and illegitimate contracts can be identical.
    The distinction relies on the ability of the courts to determine whether the legitimate form was a ruse to cover an illegitimate transaction. In this light, the test of validity seems to be the same as that for any contract with an illegal purpose. 17

    Application of this test in the commodities context turns out to be anything but simple.
    Two related issues present themselves for analysis:
      •   first, the relatively theoretical question of whether the search for intent implies that we are in the realm of the subjective theory of contract; and
      •   second, the question of how intent will be determined by the court.

    While it may appear that the former issue should provide a conclusive answer to the latter, in fact, both the subjective & objective views allow for significant latitude in determining what kinds of arguments or evidence will convince a court of the legitimacy or illegitimacy of a particular transaction.

    The contest between objective and subjective theories of contract takes on a puzzling aspect in the context of commodities trading.
    On the one hand, given that

    •   the form of commodities transactions was identical in cases where the transaction was sometimes held valid and sometimes invalid, and
    •   the form of the contract was in essence identical to other contracts for the sale of goods,

    a strictly objective test of the contract would seem to imply that the contracts would always be valid. 18

    According to this standard, if contracts for the sale of commodities were ever allowed, none would be singled out for disqualification unless
    •   the parties made an overt provision for the fact that no delivery would be made, and •   that the transaction would be settled according to price differences.

    Most commentators agree that the objective theory of contracts does in fact hold sway, and that its victory over subjective theory was complete by the beginning of the twentieth century. 19
    In fact, cases on commodities trading show that issues of subjective intent were still important well into the twentieth century.

    Consideration of intent throws some doubt on the traditional narrative regarding the ascendance of the objective theory. In some marginal cases, especially those cases that raise problems of fraud and duress, intent can be a relevant category.
    But the centrality of intent in cases where agreements are completely voluntary and the context is purely commercial, conditions that are routine in the commodities context, shows that the narrative of the marginality of policing agreements through the mechanism of intent is overstated.

    Ascendance of objective theory is often presented either as part of the progress of rationality in contracts, or as part of a progressive dominance of business interests and their desire for stability in contract law, but such progress narratives should be viewed with suspicion. 20
    A look at some case law fleshes out the puzzling quality of the conflict over subjective and objective theories. Courts were generally in agreement that contracts would only be valid where the parties, “really intend and agree that the goods are to be delivered by the seller, and the price to be paid by the buyer". 21

    The repeated phrase betrays the central sticking point: the search for the elusive quality called “real intent”.
    Language employed in an Iowa Supreme Court case from just before the turn of the century is suggestive here. Defendant refused to pay debts to a broker on orders to buy grain, claiming that the transactions were wagering contracts, and void.
    The court, in deciding whether the trial court was justified in admitting “the uncommunicated motive or intention of the defendant” into evidence, wrote:

    As far as the objective theory of contracts is concerned, this passage highlights the ambiguity of the courts’ treatment of wager contracts.
    On one hand, the normal situation is to expect mutual intention even where none really exists, so long as there are manifestations of intent. The manifestations of intent are taken as a proxy for real intent, deemed unnecessary.

    Williston’s exposition of the objective theory is clear on this point:

    Real mutual intent is not only unnecessary to the contract, it is fatal.
    There is one kind of contract which cannot suffice with objective manifestations of intent, the gambling contract. When you succeed in making the gambling contract, you undermine the commodities contract.
    The emphasis on “real intent” suggests clinging to subjective theory, but perhaps this is a case of objective theory at the extreme; the contract exists as valid only where there is no mutual intention. 24

    Despite theoretical support for the proposition, it presents a more coherent polemic for the objective theory than the cases will support. 25
    In fact, the courts shy away from fixed determinations on the question of whether they adhere to an objective or subjective theory, allowing juries to divine the “real intent” of the parties that is supposed to determine the outcome of the cases.

      Determining the intent of the parties
    Beyond the theoretical question of subjective or objective accounts of contract, the central problem in the commodities trading cases, viewed as a group, is how to determine intent.
    An influential Supreme Court decision, Irwin v. Williar, 26 laid down an oft-quoted formulation for the task.

    In that case, plaintiffs were brokers who sued for a debt incurred by a partnership, the surviving partner of which was the defendant. The defendant raised two defenses:

    •   first, that the deceased partner exceeded the scope of his authority by making speculative trades in grain, far beyond the needs of the grain business in which the partnership was legitimately engaged; 27

    •   second, that the transactions were wagers and thus void, and that therefore the debt was also void.

    On this point, the Court accepted the jury instructions mandating that a “transaction which on its face is legitimate cannot be held void as a wagering contract by showing that one party only so understood and meant it to be.
    Proof must go further, and show that this understanding was mutual, that both parties so understood the transaction.” 28

    Further, the Court elaborated the point that all the circumstances of the transactions could be relevant in determining intent,

    At first glance, this formulation seems to adopt a stance advocating full disclosure of any relevant circumstances. But the balanced rhetoric of the passage is misleading.
    Plaintiffs in this case attempted to show that they had no intention of gambling by proving that the defendant had made or taken delivery on some of their orders, and that the custom of traders on the exchange of which they were members required delivery, either of actual grain or by set-off.

    While the trial court admitted evidence of such custom, the Supreme Court reversed, saying that since there was no evidence that the defendants had knowledge of such custom, it did not bind them. 30
    In effect, then, the Court was willing to consider all relevant circumstances that might tend to show an intent to gamble, but unwilling to consider circumstances that could have shown intent to make delivery.

    This imbalance is just one instance that exhibits how much latitude the courts retain in determining the meaning of the circumstances, even when they declare that they are searching for the real intent of the parties.
    Interpretation of circumstances surrounding a particular transaction often depends on a series of presumptions regarding commodities trading generally, or particular features of commodities trading, through which the court can impose economic sympathies or antagonisms.

    For instance, in Counselman v. Reichart, the court announced that for a transaction to be invalidated as a wager, the intention to gamble must be mutual.
    It did not require that intention be communicated between the parties, and it was undisturbed by a lack of direct evidence as to a gambling intent, because of a presumption regarding the commodities exchanges themselves:

    The court was willing to presume that trades carried out on the organized exchange are gambling contracts, and this despite the fact that in the case at hand, some of the defendant’s orders were settled by actual delivery of grain. 32
    Some courts, even while sharing the assumption that many or most trades on the exchanges are a form of gambling, work out the opposite legal presumption, relying on the fact that the trades were carried out on organized exchanges as evidence of their legitimacy. 33

    Brokers routinely included boilerplate language on their letterheads that all transactions contemplated actual delivery, and courts alternatively credited or ignored them, again exposing both the courts’ latitude in determining intention and the relatively tenuous hold that objective theory had on the outcome of the cases.

    Relationship of clients to brokers was another area of discord among various courts. As Williston points out,

    However, courts sometimes denied brokers recovery, even when they acknowledged that they had made legitimate trades on the exchanges. In the latter type of cases, 36, a stark injustice arises; the courts recognize that the brokers have made good on their commitments to the other members on the exchange with whom they traded.
    Nonetheless, the courts void agreements between the brokers and the client, leaving the broker to bear the loss, while the client is never required to return any gains that may have resulted from previous trading.

    Some courts were willing to grant brokers a certain type of privilege, by assuming that “reputable brokers” would not make agreements that amounted to gambling contracts.
    One such case was Cohen v. Rothschild, 37 where the court was faced with contradictory testimony as to the agreement between broker and client.

    The client testified that there was an understanding between the parties that no contract should ever be retained until delivery, and thus that all transactions would be settled according to price differences.
    The broker denied any such understanding.
    The trial court appointed a referee, who found that a mutual understanding existed,
    but the Appellate Division reversed, saying simply,

    In this case, then, an appellate court was willing to overrule a finding of fact, merely on the presumption that reputable brokers would not open themselves up to charges of gambling.
    At the very least, a ruling based on such a presumption is a clear indication that the search for intention was influenced by courts’ more general orientation towards commodities trading and even more generally, speculation.

    More pointedly, it can be read as evidence for the proposition that the intent of the parties was not much more than a fig leaf for the courts’ policy determinations regarding the legitimacy of commodities trading.
    Similar conclusion was reached by Edwin Patterson in his 1931 article, Hedging and Wagering on Produce Exchanges. 39

    Patterson sets out to unravel the “compromise with the devil” necessary to distinguish hedging from wagering.
    He notes that while judges and text-writers rarely mention the issue overtly, the basis for their opposition to wagers has 2 sources:
    •   “the moral sentiments of the community” which he identifies as Puritan on the one hand, and
    •   the anti-social consequences of encouraging non-productive activity on the other.

    Patterson’s article is a protest against a legal test “too narrow to satisfy the requirements of social and economic policy,” 40   and an attempt to encourage legislative modification of the law.
    He distinguishes among 3 variants of the test of intentions, 41 with a persistent theme that the tests allow courts considerable latitude in interpreting evidence:

    Convinced that courts cover over their policy determinations with the test of intentions, Patterson is at pains to offer a practical solution that will allow the legitimate mechanism of hedging to survive, but will not grant unlimited license to gambling.
    In this quest, however, he does not view his detailed analysis as completely successful, and just before concluding with some unanswered questions and a few limited suggestions, he writes: Being between two perilous options is the focus in examining the policy discussions that swell in judicial rhetoric.

      Speculation in everyday business
    There is another, more general way to expose the gap that policy must fill when making decisions distinguishing between gambling and legitimate commodities trading.
    At about the same time the Supreme Court of Illinois was deciding dozens of commodities speculation cases based on trades conducted on the Chicago Board of Trade, it decided the case of Schlee v. Guckenheimer. 44

    The plaintiff was the owner of a brewery, and contracted with defendant for the purchase of barley for his brewery. The terms of the contract provided for delivery of 4000 bushels of barley at 57 cents a bushel on 15 October, and an option to purchase up to 20,000 additional bushels at the same price any time up to 31 December.
    The plaintiff ordered the additional 20,000 bushels in mid-November, but, the price of barley having risen, the defendant refused to make delivery, and defended claiming that the contract was a wagering contract under the statute forbidding gaming, and thus void.

    The trial court and the appellate court ruled in defendant’s favor, but the Illinois Supreme Court reversed, saying, This proposition or offer is similar to everyday business transactions among the people of this state with reference to every character of commodities purchased for use.
    The offer to sell such a commodity at a specified price, if accepted by a specified time, does not constitute a violation of the statute. Its acceptance within that time is not prohibited or made a criminal offense, but is an everyday transaction, necessary in carrying on business. 45

    To the modern eye, it seems clear that the Illinois Supreme Court got it right, that the transaction was not a gambling contract, and that the lower courts simply erred.
    As far as the language of the gaming prohibition was concerned, the lower courts were applying a clearly worded statute. 46
    In a case with almost identical pertinent facts, but dealing with an option to buy stock rather than barley, the same court reached the opposite conclusion. 47

    In these cases, then, the courts are not dealing with the question of intent, but rather trying to distinguish more broadly between regular business contracts and speculative contracts.
    The problem is that there is no formalistic or analytical distinction between these types of contracts. 48
    A case such as this represents only an instance of statutory interpretation that avoids what many would consider an absurd result. It can almost be explained away, dismissing the tension that links gambling and legitimate contracting.

    But how is one to distinguish between the “everyday business” of a sale of barley that includes an option from the everyday business of options in stocks? While the answers that legal decision making provides, even in the case at hand, may be more convincing intuitively than in the cases where a test for intention to make delivery is at stake, the distinction is still ultimately “a proposition of policy of rather a delicate nature.” 49

      Policy in the cases
    Sometimes courts express their policy inclinations in the clearest language possible. One example is the oft cited case of Cothran v. Ellis, where a client refused to pay notes he had drawn to pay a debt on futures transactions.
    After discussing the statutory & common law treatment of wagers, the court vents its hostility to speculation, exhibiting both the puritan strain and the concern for anti-social consequences identified by Patterson.

    The opinion speaks for itself, and merits quotation at some length:

    The rhetoric of the passage is self-consciously startling. A modern sensibility is likely to discount the religious elements, but it would be a mistake to overlook the sense of danger expressed in the imagery.
    Legitimate trade & business and even the laws of supply & demand are threatened, waging what appears to be a losing battle against a despotic, gigantic, evil, blighting curse.
    “Clothed with respectability, and entrenched behind wealth and power,” we find, not a policy of industrialization that drives the working poor into inhuman living conditions, but rather the “national sin”, the curse and crime of gambling in futures.

    It is precisely rhetoric like this to which Ann Fabian refers when she says that “the bourgeoisie … constructed an image of themselves as virtuous and productive citizens by banishing their gambling doubles.” 51
    Not all courts were so evangelical or so willing to make their policy inclinations plain or overt. Often, policy considerations can be seen in the courts’ presentation of facts or conclusions of law.
    The following pair of contrasting cases, separated by nearly 50 years, offers some indication.

    In Jamieson v. Wallace, the court made a “careful examination of the evidence” in order to decide whether in fact the parties intended to wager, and especially whether the brokers knew that the client had no intention to take delivery. 52
    In ruling against the brokers, the court noted that the appellee was a woman of limited means with no business experience whose trades were well beyond her holdings, throwing doubt on whether she understood the obligations entailed in the transactions. 53

    The appellee was a woman who had little or no experience in business. She was a woman of very limited means.
    From her relations to the appellants, and from all the circumstances disclosed by the proof, it is impossible to believe that they were not well acquainted with the limited extent of her means. A woman who was not active in business and had only $7,500 in money, could not have been expected to take and pay for stocks amounting in value to $17,500.
    Appellants never made any inquiry of her as to her financial ability. She swears that she did not understand that the stocks proposed to be purchased were to be paid for by her.

    In Salzman v. Boeing, on the other hand, the court dealt with similar facts, where plaintiff said that, “She had never before been to a broker’s office or had an account with a broker’s business,” and claimed that “her inability to pay for the large amount of wheat purchased by her shows conclusively that the intention was not to take delivery.” 54
    The court, however, ruled that, “The conclusive answer to this contention seems to be that she was able to take delivery and took it, although it seems to have wiped out her account". 55
    The court concludes thus:

    Two cases with like facts, separated by half a century.
    In the first, clearly articulated, is a policy of paternalism. Speculating brokers are on the prowl, looking for unsuspecting dupes, (ideally women), ready and waiting to take advantage of them by luring them into gambling transactions sure to be their ruin.
    In the second, women, like everybody else, are expected to live up to a standard of responsibility for their economic endeavors, and the anti-gambling statutes will not be a stand-in for failed paternalism.

    The question of paternalism is not the central policy issue for cases that turn on distinguishing gambling from speculative but legitimate business.
    The more central policy discussion can be seen in an opinion written by Justice Holmes in 1905. In Board of Trade of the City of Chicago v. Christie Grain & Stock Co., 57 the Board of Trade prayed for an injunction against a bucket shop 58 that was using price quotations from the exchange for its speculative trading business.

    The bucket shop defended by claiming that the Chicago Board of Trade was “the greatest of bucket shops,” in the sense that it was a place that permitted “the pretended buying and selling of grain, etc., without any intention of receiving and paying for the property so bought, or of delivering the property so sold".
    Being a bucket shop itself, the Board of Trade could not claim property for its price quotations. Justice Holmes dismisses the defense, saying that even if the activities are illegal, the price quotations could still be property.

    But before declaring this bottom line, he analyzes the underlying reasons for allowing trading on the Exchange.
    In so doing, he begins to spell out the economic policy behind speculative trading, calling speculation “the self-adjustment of society to the probable", and saying that its value is “well known as a means of avoiding or mitigating catastrophes, equalizing prices, and providing for periods of want".
    59

    Holmes goes on to cite the importance of hedging for dealers in grain and for farmers themselves, noting that trades on the Exchange are consistent with the good faith of the parties and their “serious business purposes".
    Extending the point, he notes that “the quotations of prices from the market are of the utmost importance to the business world, and not least to the farmers". 60

    Holmes concedes that the Exchange may be used for pretended trades or gambling purposes, but sees that as an unfortunate side effect that must be tolerated for the sake of a modern economic order.
    Holmes’ position is relatively clear; despite dressing up his discussion with a reference to the good faith of the parties and their serious business purposes, he acknowledges that the mechanism of the Board of Trade can be and is used for speculation or gambling.

    He acknowledges, also, that a formal legal theory will not be able to articulate a rule that distinguishes between the speculative or gambling contract and the legitimate business contract. At the same time, he shows that even the speculative element is part of the modern business world, because it helps to set prices in accordance with supply and demand, eventually creating efficient markets. 61

    37 years later, the Supreme Court of Illinois, faced again with a defense to a debt based on the claim that commodities transactions were wagering contracts, could take up Holmes’ policy discussion in an even more striking and generalizing manner, at this point relying also on congressional regulation of the commodities exchanges:

      [ Mythical nonsense. Stabilized compared to a meta-gauge derived from a corrupt & captive market manipulated by exchange owner(s), not a fulcrum point organically derived from supply & demand of an "open market", let alone a commonly established by actual societal need. ]
    This is the articulation of a modern consciousness. It sounds like simple, familiar, and sound economic policy.
    But in summing up a new vision of the law’s relationship to speculation, it highlights the fact that more was at stake than the debt of an unlucky speculator. A tension emerges in the judicial treatment of wagers.

    Judges articulate a distinction between a permitted and a prohibited contractual form, but face a difficulty in applying the distinction to formally identical transactions.
    In response, they shifted the locus of inquiry to the question of intent, only to find that determinations of intent yielded to the same cultural and political conflict that necessitated the original distinction.

    The judges, if not the speculators, of the late 19th century lived in a different normative universe.
    Their attempt to limit gambling was tightly bound up with a vision of what the community could tolerate, and still remain a community. The shift to an idea of a community that must tolerate gambling, a community in which speculation is necessary

    is one made up of different components from the community that preceded it.

    In part, the decline of the rhetoric of moral opposition toward gambling and the rise of a rhetoric that accepts the necessity of speculation, judging the legitimacy of action by its economic consequences, marks a shift that allows people to recognize themselves in statistics.
    People become subjects of the law of large numbers, more than subjects of a culturally specific and recognized moral authority.

    Regulation as opposed to prohibition of gambling raises an analogy to analyses of the dual role played by administrative organization in modernization.
    On the one hand, state activities like cadastral mapping and imposition of a simplified property regime enable the state to organize the populace, and especially to tax efficiently.

    On the other hand, however, the state’s activity also plays a more active role, eventually transforming the individuals under its control.
    In our context, the state (in the form of the courts) becomes less interested in the moral intentions of the actors in question, content instead to address the overall economic consequences of their aggregate activity (here, speculative investment that creates and supports an efficient pricing mechanism).

    While the regulation of gambling is far from the grandiose administrative action accompanying modernization, a similar dynamic plays itself out, at least for the limited sector of the populace exposed to the courts’ treatment of such cases.
    Exposed to an official narrative that judges actions by their place in an overall economic system, people begin to envision themselves, or at least to recognize themselves, as (interchangeable) parts of that system, subject to its (economic) laws. 64
    The law of large numbers plays an even more central and overt role in the next topic to be addressed, the law of life insurance.

    1   See Morton J. Horwitz, The Transformation of American Law, 1780-1860, p. 177 (1977)

    2   See generally Henry Crosby Emery, Speculation on the Stock and Produce Exchanges of the United States 54-74, 113-43 (Faculty of Political Science of Columbia Univ. ed., 1896); Jonathan Lurie, “Commodities Exchanges as Self- Regulating Organizations in the Late 19th Century: Some Perimeters in the History of American Administrative Law,” 28 Rutgers L. Rev. 1107 (1975)

    3   See 7 Report of the Federal Trade Commission on The Grain Trade 33-68 (1926).
    The most intuitive illustration of a hedging transaction involves the farmer (despite the fact that most hedgers are apparently dealers and not farmers):

    4   The ease with which we conceive of such transactions is, however, completely based on the existence of the organized exchanges: private individuals cannot create enforceable contracts with one another for futures, unless they actually intend delivery. 5, 7   See 3 Samuel Williston, The Law of Contracts §§ 1664a – 1670 (1st ed. 1920).
    A wager is defined as a contract performable only upon the happening of a condition which is a fortuitous event. In commodities speculation cases, the fortuitous event was the rise or fall in prices.

    6   See, e.g., Ala. Code 8-1-121(a) (1993); Ark. Code Ann. 23-44-105 (Michie 1994); Cal. Corp. Code 29008, 29100 (West 1977); Mass. Ann. Laws ch. 271, 35-36 (Law. Co-op. 1992); Mich. Comp. Laws Ann. 750.126, 750.127, 750.128 (West 1991); N.Y. Gen. Bus. Law 351 (McKinney 1988).

    8   The analogy of market contracts to betting is a staple of economic thinking on contract:

    John H. Barton, “The Economic Basis of Damages for Breach of Contract,” 1 J. Leg. Stud. 277, 278 (1972)

    . 9   B contracts to buy a quantity of widgets from A on January 1st, to be delivered on April 1st, for 100.
    On March 1st, when the market price of widgets is 120, A announces that she cannot fulfill the contract, and pays B expectation damages of 20 (plus whatever down payment B initially made).

    To make the analogy even more obvious, assume that A is a wholesaler (i.e., a middleman), selling to a retailer; she is not concerned with the costs of production, but merely believes that between January and the end of March, she will be able to procure the widgets for less than 100.

    10   On the tendency to generality and abstraction, see Lawrence M. Friedman, Contract Law in America 20-24 (1965); Christopher T. Wonnell, “The Abstract Character of Contract Law,” 22 Conn. L. Rev. 437 (1990)

    11   Maybe he even offers evidence that his mill can only handle a small percentage of the grain contracted for, thus tending to show that the transaction was a speculation on prices. See Pope v. Hanke, 40 N.E. 839, 841 (Ill. 1894)

    12   112 N.E. 664 (Ill. 1916). Further, in the actual case at hand, the broker claimed that a 1913 amendment to the anti-gaming statute exempted trades made on the Chicago Board of Trade according to its rules.
    The court however, held the amendment unconstitutional, saying that there was no reasonable basis for differentiating between transactions made on the Board of Trade and those made elsewhere (112 N.E., at 666):

    The test is always: Is the wager or bet upon any uncertain event or contingency ?

    13   This defense, supported in many states by statute, often succeeded.
    See, e.g., Kuhl v. M. Gally Universal Press Co., 26 So. 535 (Ala. 1898); Gardner v. Meeker, 48 N.E. 307 (Ill. 1897); Swinney v. Edwards, 55 P. 306 (Wyo. 1898). See also 3 Williston, Law of Contracts, §§ 1675-1677.

    This raises one of the important doctrinal issues involved in speculative trading cases.
    While functionalist histories of contract have maintained that the financial interests of the merchant class demanded and achieved full negotiability of standard financial instruments,
    we see that in this paradigmatically commercial context, negotiability was thwarted when it could be associated with gambling.

    Thus, the financial interest in speculation was not strong enough to overcome the stigma of gambling, undermining the functionalist narrative of the development of commercial law. For a sophisticated version of the functionalist narrative, see Horwitz, Transformation of American Law, 211-226.

    14   In both types of cases, it should be kept in mind what an effective use of an anti-gambling statute involves on the part of the person making the trades.
    When she wins, she collects her winnings, since the brokers are interested in generating business, and the members of the exchange are making trades, and paying out profits when people make them.
    When she loses, she still wins, because she comes back to the broker and claims the transactions were void wagers.

    The courts then, rather than effectively eliminating the practice of wagering, are actually giving people a license to gamble, and a guarantee against losses. But of course, this is just an amusing curiosity or a mild absurdity on the level of unintended incentives.

      [ Precisely why gambling in the form of options is immoral, hence ought to be illegal, let alone banned for its inevitable inclusion of margins:
    the moral hazard is so great that it compromises civic interest
    ]

    15   Summing up the common law position on such transactions in 1920, Williston writes:

    An agreement of the former kind is legal; one of the latter kind involves wagering and is illegal. 3 Williston, Law of Contracts, § 1670 section heading: “Test of validity is intent to make actual delivery”

    16   By form here I mean the conduct or outward manifestations or expressions of intent deemed the essential element of contract by the objective theory of contract.

    17   For instance, if A contracts to deliver “a package” to B, where both A and B know that the “package” is stolen goods or a code word for a murder, the contract is clearly illegal and unenforceable.

    18   The most famous expression of the strict objective view is Judge Learned Hand’s statement:

    Hotchkiss v. National City Bank, 200 F. 287, 293 (S.D.N.Y. 1911), aff’d, 201 F. 664 (2d Cir. 1912), aff’d, 231 U.S. 50 (1913). For theoretical defense of the objective theory see, Samuel Williston, “Mutual Assent in the Formation of Contracts,” 14 Ill. L. Rev. 85 (1919).

    19   See E. Allan Farnsworth, Contracts 117-18 (3d ed. 1999)

    20   See Lawrence M. Friedman, Contract Law in America 86-87 (1965); Lon Fuller, “Consideration and Form,” 41 Colum. L. Rev. 799, 808 (1941); Morton J. Horwitz, Transformation of American Law, 201

    21   Embrey v. Jemison, 131 U.S. 336, 344-345 (1889).
    The court continues:

    22   Counselman v. Reichart, 72 N.W. 490, 491 (Iowa 1897)

    23   Williston, “Mutual Assent,” 87.

    24   Williston’s treatment of the issue relies precisely on this logic:

    3 Williston, Law of Contracts, § 1671

    25   See, e.g., Miller v. Sincere, 112 N.E. 664 (Ill. 1916); Counselman v. Reichart, 72 N.W. 490 (Iowa 1897); Soby v. People, 25 N.E. 109 (Ill. 1890); Waite v. Frank, 86 N.W. 645 (S.D. 1901); Mackey v. Rausch, 15 N.Y.S. 4 (Sup. Ct. 1st Dep’t, 1891); Embrey v. Jemison, 131 U.S. 336 (1889).

    In many of the cases, where there was no direct evidence of an intent to wager, courts upheld verdicts of juries who concluded that the mutual intent was to wager.

    26   110 U.S. 499 (1884)

    27, 28, 29, 30   To make a claim for implied authority of the deceased partner, the plaintiffs showed that the partnership was involved in “dealing in grain” and that it took or made deliveries on some of its orders, while making counter transactions before the date of delivery on others.
    The trial court ruled that the partnership’s legitimate “dealing in grain” made all the transactions facially authorized. The Supreme Court reversed this holding, saying that

    The interesting thing about the reversal is the court’s willingness to complicate the factual determination on the basis of a distinction between grain for the milling business and grain for speculation, without taking into account the possibility of hedging.
    This determination is part of the Court’s overall negative orientation toward speculative trading. The interesting thing about the reversal is the court’s willingness to complicate the factual determination on the basis of a distinction between grain for the milling business and grain for speculation, without taking into account the possibility of hedging.
    This determination is part of the Court’s overall negative orientation toward speculative trading.

    31   72 N.W. 490, 491 (Iowa 1897)

    32   A similar presumption seems to motivate the court in another case where some orders had been settled by actual delivery. Pope v. Hanke, 40 N.E. 839 (Ill. 1894)

    33   See, e.g., Bank of Ettrick v. Emberson, 196 N.W. 861, 866 (Wis. 1924):

    34, 35   3 Williston, Law of Contracts, § 1672.

    36   Examples of cases where courts found that brokers made legitimate trades on exchanges and yet allowed clients to void their contracts with brokers as wagers include Waite v. Frank, 86 N.W. 645 (S.D. 1901); Counselman v. Reichart, 72 N.W. 490 (Iowa 1897)

    37, 38   169 N.Y.S. 659, 660-62 (App. Div. 1918)

    39, 40   Edwin W. Patterson, “Hedging and Wagering on Produce Exchanges, ” 40 Yale L.J. 843 (1931)

    41, 42, 43   Id. at 856-63.
    He identifies “Undisclosed Intention of One Party,” “Disclosed Intention of One Party,” and “Bilateral or Mutual Intention Not to Deliver” as the three varieties of intentions test.

    44, 45   54 N.E. 302 (Ill. 1899)

    46   The code provision in question held that

    47   See Schneider v. Turner, 22 N.E. 497, 499 (Ill. 1889)
    In that case, the court noted that the contract And, commenting on the fact that the statute may have been a case of legislative overreaching, the court said,
    48   For the same problematic as it arises in the context of requirements contracts, see National Publishing Co. v. International Paper Co., 269 F. 903 (2d Cir. 1920)

    49   Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., “Privilege, Malice and Intent,” 8 Harv. L. Rev. 1, 8 (1894)

    50   Cothran v. Ellis, 16 N.E. 646, 648 (Ill. 1888)

    51   Ann Fabian, Card Sharp, Dream Books, and Bucket Shops: Gambling in 19th Century America 5 (1990)

    52, 53   47 N.E. 762 (Ill. 1897)

    54   35 N.E.2d 536, 538-39 (Ill. App. Ct. 1941)

    55, 56   Id. at 538, 539. It should be noted that delivery in this case was by set-off and payment; by this standard, appellee in Jamieson also “took delivery"

    56   198 U.S. 236 (1905)

    58   Bucket shops were establishments where prices of commodities were posted, and people made ‘trades’ with small sums of money (e.g., $5), as ‘margin’, gaining ‘profits’ if the prices went their way. In effect, these were substitutes for lotteries or horse-racing as modes of gambling with small sums

    59, 60   198 U.S., at 247-48
    The flavor of the passage is worth quoting in full:

    61   Of course, I am putting current economic terminology into Holmes pen here, but the argument does emerge, more or less, from his opinion in the case.
    To recall just how radical Holmes’ policy statement was at the time, we have only to look the rhetoric of a prior Supreme Court opinion dealing the same issues. In one such case, the court held: Embrey, v. Jemison, 131 U.S. 336, 343-344 (1889)

    . 62, 63   Albers v. Lamson, 42 N.E.2d 627, 630 (Ill. 1942)

    64   See James C. Scott, Seeing Like a State: How Certain Schemes to Improve the Human Condition Have Failed 37-52, 90-93 (1998).

      Ch. 7   Wagering in lives
    life insurance speculators

    Paradoxical as it may appear, there is a class of gambling which is not only considered harmless, but beneficial, and even necessary; I mean Insurance.
    Theoretically, it is gambling proper. You bet 2s. 6d. to £100 with your Fire Insurance; you equally bet on a Marine Insurance for the safe arrival of your ships or merchandise; and it is also gambling when you insure your life.
    1
    John Ashton, 1898
    How is it that Ashton is so confident that “theoretically,” insurance is “gambling proper”? What of the phrase “gambling proper” itself? Does it refer to gambling, strictu sensu, or possibly to gambling, reined in by propriety?
    Ashton’s chapter on insurance, based primarily on the records of specific policies issued by Lloyd’s and on tales of some spectacular insurance frauds, can serve as a reminder of two kinds of connections between gambling & insurance.

    First, and most directly, Ashton details cases where underwriters actually serve as bookmakers, ‘insuring’ against events regarding which the policy holders have no direct stake and with which they have no direct contact.
    Colorful examples of this sort include the outcome of an election, the “dissolution of the present Parliament”; “two of the first Peers in Britain losing their heads”; the death or capture of Napoleon Bonaparte; and the life of the Queen during the months preceding the Queen’s Jubilee.

    Ashton considers wager policies such as these, including one on the “declaration of war with France or Spain” as “innocent” for the most part, though he does call for administrative interference in those policies with sinister political undertones, like those on the dissolution of parliament or on the lives of English peers, when the policies are underwritten by Scotsmen. 2

    What is clear is that Ashton’s conception of “innocence” does not distance insurance from the taint of gambling, but merely puts it into a class of gambling that has no further negative effects.
    Ashton is an historian of gambling, and not of insurance. However, proponents of insurance could not rest with the characterization of insurance as innocent gambling, and needed to distinguish insurance from gambling more starkly.

    The second connection between gambling and insurance raised by Ashton is the tendency of gambling to be exploited by organized fraud, and especially by what Karen Halttunen calls “confidence men". 3
    The danger identified by Ashton and explored by Halttunen goes far beyond the individual who is cheated out of money in a particular gamble. To the extent that gambling becomes a vocation, it presents an alternative to productive industry, making the slow rewards of industrious exertion seem insipid and unattractive.

    Ashton’s innocent wager policies and those policies tainted by fraud, like naked speculation on stocks or commodities, raise the specter of unproductive gain, of the man interested in getting something for nothing. Nineteenth century moralists linked fraud and capitalist speculation as forces that undermined the social fabric and mutual confidence that tied the community together. 4
    Advocates of insurance, therefore, viewed distinguishing insurance from gambling as a crucial stage in the legitimation and popularization of insurance, especially life insurance.

    While modern histories of insurance sometimes date the success of the distinction to the early nineteenth century, 5 Ashton, writing in 1898, assumed that insurance and gambling could not be distinguished, at least theoretically.
    Insurance Advocates, including the companies themselves, spent a great deal of energy on substantiating the distinction well into the twentieth century. 6
    A telling example of such efforts is the history of the New York Life Insurance Company, commissioned by the company and published in 1930. 7

    Early in the first chapter, the author describes the wagering policies prevalent in England in the 18th century and with them, the first life policy, issued on the life of one William Gibbons. He calls the Gibbons policy a “bald wager,” 8 distinguishing it from modern life insurance by pointing out that the laws of probability were scarcely taken into account, while conceding that the “mutual” or cooperative aspect of insurance did exist in the early policies.
    The author’s advocacy of contemporary insurance practice takes the form of distinguishing insurance from betting by relying on the expertise and special knowledge employed by modern insurance companies. He elaborates:

    In order to emphasize the scientific basis of insurance, the author then goes on to cite several encyclopedia articles on probability, assuring the reader that the entries are “the most terrifying and unintelligible exhibit of abstruse reasoning that perhaps can be found in popular literature,” comparing their calculations to hieroglyphics, and noting that “it would be impossible to quote them here without overtaxing the resources of the printer and the eyesight of the reader.” 10
    But the point of the mild intimidation is actually to assure the reader that the equations too complex for her understanding are working for her benefit, under the professional, expert supervision of the company.

    After quoting a “simpler” article from a “popular encyclopedia,” the author, with a touch of wit, offers the definitive distinction between gambling and insurance:

    While insurance companies expended significant energy in distinguishing insurance from gambling in popular consciousness, they were also partially instrumental in keeping the connection between the two realms alive, at least as far as legal discourse was concerned, by claiming wager as a defense against payment on certain claims. 12
    Connection between gambling & insurance had at one time threatened the insurance industry directly by contaminating insurance, labeling it an illegitimate & destructive social force, 13 by the late 19th century, insurance companies regularly claimed that policies were in fact mere wagers in order to avoid payment.

    The legal doctrine that localized the discussion of gambling was the doctrine of insurable interest, which is not an ancient common law doctrine, and in England, wager contracts were valid until well into the nineteenth century. 14
    A leading textbook on insurance law, treating the insurable interest doctrine alongside the principle of indemnity, defines the doctrine as “the concept that there must be some significant relationship between the insured and the person, the object, or the activity that is subject to the risks covered by the insurance arrangement".15

    Without such a relationship or interest, any policy which may be issued would be void. 16
    In his textbook treatment, Widiss acknowledges that the origins of the insurable interest doctrine are linked to the attempt to combat gambling, but, by linking the doctrine closely to the indemnity principle, especially by treating the doctrine’s origins in property insurance as identical to those in life insurance, he limits the importance of the hostility to gambling in the development of the doctrine.

    He writes:

    While insurable interest doctrine is conceptually related in property insurance and life insurance, historically the doctrines developed separately.
    In property insurance, the indemnity principle and the insurable interest doctrine serve the same purposes, and are primarily directed toward combating moral hazard in the form of temptation to crime, or the tendency of the policy holder to destroy property in order to collect insurance. 18

    Life insurance is not an indemnity contract; while the temptation to murder is a potential problem, the authorities in England who developed insurable interest doctrine were more concerned with the kind of wagering in lives & events that Ashton documented. 19

    This type of insurance was pure wagering. Authorities did not consider the danger of murder to be grave, because the bettors, common people, generally did not have any connection with or access to the people, generally heads of state or other public figures, whose lives they “insured” or rather bet upon.
    The wagering aspect of insurance had given the English courts the most trouble, and it was primarily this problem that the Statute of George III, which founded insurable interest in life insurance, set out to remedy. 20

    It is an oft-heard and long standing charge that insurable interest doctrine is insufficiently clear. One insurance industry lawyer has complained Traditional difficulties in defining insurable interest include the question of whether the interest must be pecuniary, and the question of what kinds of family ties will be sufficient to raise a presumption of insurable interest.
    While it is generally conceded that everyone has an insurable interest in his or her own life, But the most significant complication in insurable interest doctrine arises in those cases where the insured assigns a policy to another.
    The discussion of assignability of life insurance policies brings together two technically distinct legal questions. The first question is whether the assignee must have an insurable interest; and the second, what are the requirements of insurable interest, or what constitutes insurable interest.

    While these questions are technically distinct, the answers to them converge, since the underlying factual problem they address is the same.
    In order to understand the convergence of the legal questions, it is helpful to set out the factual context in which most assignments of insurance policies occur, and to keep in mind the dual purpose of insurable interest doctrine in life insurance:
    •   first, to limit the ability to use insurance as a means of wagering, and
    •   second, to limit moral hazard, or the temptation to murder the insured.

    For a range of reasons, holders of life insurance policies often sought to assign the policies. This was especially so before 1880, because up until then the insurance companies would not buy back their policies, so any policy holder who could not continue paying the premiums faced an entire loss of equity.
    Faced with the injustice of “investors” losing everything they had paid in premiums, regulators pressured insurance companies to make arrangements to grant some surrender value for policies, especially if several years of premiums had been paid. However, even after 1880 when non-forfeiture laws were passed in several jurisdictions, surrender values were quite low, and policy holders often had a better chance of selling their policies for value, either to strangers or to acquaintances at varying levels of familiarity.

    In some cases, especially in England, the sale of policies resurrected old fears of widespread wagering in lives, with weekly insurance auctions where buyers in effect bet on the speedy death of the insured functioning as perhaps the most glaring reminder. 23
    The case-law of the period yields an array of fact situations, which can be arranged along a spectrum, from those where legitimacy of the transaction was widely assumed, and leading to those where it was widely rejected.

    While it was early accepted that a person had an insurable interest in his or her own life, the question of whether a person could name a beneficiary who had no insurable interest generated a fair amount of litigation.
    The next stage of complication involved a situation in which the insured procured the policy and named a beneficiary who had no insurable interest, but when the insured became unable to pay the premiums, the beneficiary paid the premiums to keep the policy in force. Closely related to this scenario were cases where the insured assigned the policy to one having no insurable interest but who paid the premiums, with the major difference being that in this case, the assignee would then have control of the policy, incl power to sell it to a third party.

    Particularly difficult cases, including the influential case of Warnock v. Davis, 24 arose when a potential insured agreed before procuring the policy that the policy would be assigned immediately upon purchase.
    Finally, there were cases where a person without insurable interest initiated the insurance, attempting to take out a policy on another without having the necessary connection to the potential insured. Thus, the spectrum of cases includes 5 basic fact situations, which for the sake of clarity may be presented schematically: 25

      •   A procures policy and names B, who has no insurable interest, the beneficiary
      •   A procures a policy and B, who is the beneficiary, pays the premiums thereon
      •   A procures a policy, eventually assigning it to B
      •   A procures the policy with the prior intention of assigning it to B
      •   B procures the policy on A’s life
    At the extremes of this spectrum, the law was able to generate relatively clear (though not unanimous) solutions to the problem of wagering in lives. 26 As far as the first situation was concerned, since the insured procured the policy and continued to make the premium payments, there was little danger that the transaction was a cover for wagering, because the party who stood to gain was completely passive.
    The insured was in effect investing money to be given to the beneficiary after the former’s death. While insured people often felt moral obligation toward those they named beneficiaries, there was normally nothing required by law on this point to validate the policies. Thus, in almost all cases, 27 an insured could make a party with no insurable interest a beneficiary, just as she could give that party a gift. 28

    The final situation of the five described above, where the buyer of a policy has no connection with the insured, raises the specter of gambling in the most direct way, so the requirement of insurable interest has been applied in its most straightforward form. In other words, where a policy is procured by a party other than the insured, the moving party must have an insurable interest for the policy to be valid. 29

    In the 3 intermediate categories, the law vacillated between 2 conflicting policy objectives, with different jurisdictions reaching varying results. A look at some typical cases helps view the problem, and the courts’ attempts to impose a solution based on sound policy, more concretely.
    In Rylander v. Allen, the administratrix of Allen’s estate brought an action against the Travelers’ Insurance Company and Mrs. Rylander to recover the amount of an insurance policy issued by the company on Allen’s life. 30 Allen, 8 years before his death, procured an insurance policy on his life, payable to his estate. 4 months later, he assigned the policy to Rylander, who had no interest in the continuance of his life, and who thereafter paid the premiums.

    The administratrix sued, claiming that Rylander had intentionally entered into a speculation on Allen’s life. While the details of the transaction are not fully elaborated in the case, it appears that Rylander paid Allen “a valuable consideration” for the assignment of the policy. After summarily disposing of the moral hazard problem, 31 the court goes on to compare the beneficiary with no insurable interest to an assignee, summing up its position by saying,

    The rest of the opinion is devoted to an attempt to divine what, if any, actions would amount to an indication that the policy was in fact a cover for a wager policy, with the court eventually speculating that evidence of preconceived intent to assign the policy would tend to invalidate the policy.
    In the absence of such evidence, or even of direct allegations to that effect, the court concludes: There are several noteworthy elements to the opinion. The first may be gleaned from the tone of this particular passage, which is indicative of the tone of the opinion as a whole. There is a marked air of resignation, as if the court feels compelled, with at least a hint of reluctance if not sadness, to approve transactions of insurance.
    Thus, the wagering element of the particular transaction, i.e., the assignment, is generalized and projected onto the insurance arrangement itself; The force of the argument that the assignment is a wager is diffused, since an initial wager, that of the insurance policy itself, has (always) already been sanctioned by law. Insurance, on this view, is still a wager, but a wager that the law sanctions.
    In addition, the law’s approval of the insurance wager does not occur in a vacuum, but rather in the context of other transactions involving “chance and uncertainty” and even “speculation upon the chances of human life” such as annuities and life estates.

    The court will not condone and validate a transaction that is a mere cover for a wager contract, yet, on the court admits that an insurance policy, like other widely accepted contracts, e.g. transfers of annuities or life estates, are on some quite basic level wagers of a particular sort: speculations on human life.
    What might appear as a contradiction within the court’s reasoning is actually a 2 pronged strategy of containment, containing the practice of wagering on the one hand, and the legal argumentation regarding transfers of property on the other.

    The practice of wagering is controlled by the court’s reserving its power to invalidate contracts made with the express intention of circumventing the prohibition on gambling. This power is no longer exercised by applying a simple label of wager; instead, the court shows itself willing to delve deep into the facts in order to distinguish the good wager from the bad wager. The court limits the power of a legal argument based simply on labeling a particular transaction a wager.
    Where the plaintiff attempts to rely on the characterization of the assignment of the policy as a wager, the court pokes through this characterization by taking it a step further, showing that the argument is applicable to insurance generally, as well as to transfers of other property, none of which are traditionally susceptible to the claim that they are illegal wagers.

    The court thus recognizes the difficulty of upholding an analytical distinction between transactions that can be characterized as wagers and those that cannot, and, abandoning that distinction without saying so overtly, takes the affirmative step & responsibility of distinguishing between legitimate & illegitimate transactions.
    The court’s new distinction is not based on the label of wager, but rather on the question of whether the practice underlying the transaction has anti-social effects.
    What then, of the underlying practice? Why does the court see a need to protect the transaction in question, this assignment of an insurance policy? Again, the key can be seen in the court’s use, on its own initiative, of an expanded analogy.

    The court here sees itself on the pivot of a certain moment in the history of contract doctrine, and it opts to leave the past behind by adopting   [ A judicial standard predicated on the court postulating intent rather than objectively judging material evidence ]

    Positioning itself on the progressive side of its own historical narrative, the court recalls that

    This particular historical narrative is one of the expansion of contract by making rights defined by contract transferable, or in other words, making contractual rights into a form of property.37 The question of what is at stake in such an expansion of contract will arise again.
    Not all courts at this time however, positioned themselves similarly regarding assignment of insurance policies, nor did they feel resigned to sanctioning some form of gambling. One example is Manhattan Life Ins. Co. v. Cohen. 38

    In an case, Jacob Cohen took out $7,500 in 2 life insurance policies in Texas in 1893. Before his death in October 1907, Cohen made 2 uses of the policy for commercial purposes. First, he obtained a loan of $1,750 from the insurance company, using the policy as collateral with the understanding that payment would be taken from the value of the policy payment.
    Second, a few months before his death, Cohen assigned the policy to J.H. Hilsman, with whom he was engaged in speculative transactions in cotton futures, which the court characterizes as gaming contracts in which the parties did not contemplate that there would be actual delivery. 39

    The court notes that assignee Hilsman paid Cohen $460 for his equity in the policies, but it significantly attributes greater importance to the nature of their business relations than to the specifics of the transaction of assignment.
    Because Hilsman and the insurance company claimed that Georgia, rather than Texas law governed the transaction, the court was forced to deal with the issue of validity of assignment comparatively:

    This presentation of the conflict of authorities is helpful in delineating the central point of uncertainty in the law, but it relies, in its final sentence, on a subtle distortion. By claiming that the jurisdictions allowing assignment ignore public policy, the court implies that the opposing rule is an unthinking or even irrational clinging to a technical rule by which choses in action are assignable. 41
    In fact, as will later be shown, both sides in the conflict over assignability rely primarily on public policy to justify the rule they adopt.

    There were two closely related reasons for the reliance on public policy in this context. First, as briefly mentioned above, the doctrine of assignability of chosen action, while often referred to in these cases, was not an ancient doctrine, and its validity, esp. its borders, were far from well-established.
    Writing on the difficulty of establishing negotiability for commercial paper, Morton Horwitz comments that

      [ i.e. abandonment of traditional ethics of chivalry ]

    Full negotiability of promissory notes, which had the advantage of clear intent of the parties to establish their negotiability, gradually emerged in the U.S. over the course of the 19th century, and was only fully established in 1879.43

    Assignability of chosen action rested on the same principles, but was not supported by the same clear commercial interests Horwitz identifies as favoring negotiability of promissory notes, nor by the long tradition of enforcement among merchants.
    Thus, the formal rule of assignability carried little force as a counter weight to a convincing argument from public policy.

    ' The second reason that the courts resorted primarily to public policy justifications for assignability was that widespread assignment of insurance policies was a relatively recent phenomenon, and in the absence of a well-established formal rule, public policy provided an important rhetorical repertoire to explain how the validation of assignments led to just outcomes in the cases. Before expanding on this point by looking at a few more cases, I will return briefly to Manhattan Life v. Cohen,44 to examine the policy considerations it mentions as controlling the case. The court concentrates in its opinion on the nature of the business relationship between the insured and the assignee that led up to the assignment, diminishing the importance of the consideration paid to the insured, and ignoring the question of whether in addition to the $460 paid directly to the insured, the consideration also included cancellation of an additional debt between them. Since there is no indication that Cohen was nearing insolvency or was in any way coerced into the assignment, and since he had paid premiums on the policy for fourteen years, it is not unreasonable to surmise that an additional debt between Cohen and Hilsman was settled through the assignment. But the court is not interested in settling the case on the basis of the equities between Cohen and Hilsman, since in its view their entire relationship is tainted by gambling. At one point, adopting the estate’s proposition of which rule should govern, the court says, “The consideration for the assignment of these policies having been advanced by Hilsman for the express purpose of assisting the insured to participate in a gambling transaction with said Hilsman [,] the consideration was void in law and the attempted assignment of the policies for that reason alone vested no right in Hilsman to either of the policies or the proceeds thereof.”45 While the conflict of laws analysis maintains a balanced judicious tone, when faced with Hilsman’s claim in its most direct form, the court’s rhetorical style bursts into a condemnation of the pure immorality of gambling, culminating in a statement of biblical wrath: Had [Hilsman] sought to enforce [the policy] through the medium of the courts, he would have been met by the inquiry, ‘What right have you to the money due on these policies?’ His only true answer would have been, ‘I own them under an assignment from the beneficiary, which the law denounces as illegal and pronounces as void.’ Then would the court say unto him, ‘Depart from me, ye wicked; I know you not.’ It would be preposterous to hold that that which is void as against public policy can be validated by a contract which is also void as against public policy.46 With or without the unattributed allusion to the gospel,47 it is clear that the public policy at stake is a moral crusade against the evils of gambling. And in the relationship between Cohen and Hilsman, the court finds two of the dominant modes of commercial behavior often associated with gambling: commodities trading and wagering in lives by assigning insurance policies. The presence of both in one fact situation reinforces the court’s crusading energy, allowing it to hold that the use of one mode of gambling to validate another would be “preposterous”.48 While all courts paid it lip service, those in the majority of jurisdictions seem to have seen the anti-gambling crusade as a less compelling justification for invalidating the assignments of insurance policies. One concise articulation of the policy justification for allowing the assignment of life insurance policies is the opinion of Justice Holmes in Grigsby v. Russel.49 In that case, the insured, in need of money for a surgical operation, sold the policy to Dr. Grigsby for $100. He had up to that time paid two premiums, and was unable to pay the third. Grigsby, who had no insurable interest in the life of the insured, paid the rest of the premiums, and upon the insured’s death, claimed the proceeds of the policy. The administrators of the insured’s estate also claimed the proceeds of the policy, saying that the assignment was only valid to the extent of the money actually given for the policy and the premiums subsequently paid.50 The district court ruled for Grigsby, and the circuit court reversed. Holmes, after laying out the facts, summarily presents the legal claim of the estate: [T]he ground suggested for denying the validity of an assignment to a person having no interest in the life insured is the public policy that refuses to allow insurance to be taken out by such persons in the first place. A contract of insurance upon a life in which the insured has no interest is a pure wager that gives the insured a sinister counter interest in having the life come to an end.51 While Holmes here articulates both the hostility to gambling and the problem of moral hazard as basic policy considerations regarding life insurance, he notes that the gambling aspect is historically more central to insurable interest doctrine. At the same time, he limits its generality, saying that the law does not object to the very idea of a party to a contract benefiting from the other party’s death: “The law has no universal cynic fear of the temptation opened by a pecuniary benefit accruing upon a death. It shows no prejudice against remainders after life estates… Indeed, the ground of the objection to life insurance without interest in the earlier English cases was not the temptation to murder, but the fact that such wagers came to be regarded as a mischievous kind of gaming.”52 And yet, while conceding that opposition to gambling was the main impetus for the development of insurable interest doctrine, Holmes does not view it as important, dismissing the problem almost without real consideration, saying that, “when the question rises upon an assignment, it is assumed that the objection to the insurance as a wager is out of the case.”53 On the other hand, Holmes articulates concisely the public policy reason for allowing assignment of policies, almost nonchalantly reminding the reader that, “life insurance has become in our days one of the best recognized forms of investment and self-compelled saving. So far as reasonable safety permits, it is desirable to give to life policies the ordinary characteristics of property.”54 One of the reasons that Holmes could allow himself such telegraphic justification is that the position he espoused had been articulated early on, even when insurance was not a popular means of saving. The position goes back at least as far as the 1855 case of St. John v. American Mutual Life Insurance Co., where the court said that “without the right to assign, insurances on lives lose half their usefulness.”55 A more complete account of the policy argument behind allowing assignments of life policies is given in Steinback v. Diepenbrock,56 where the court notes that sound public policy requires that an insured be permitted to treat the policy as a chose in action and “go to the best market he can find, either to sell it or borrow money on it,” lamenting that an insured without this power would be “limited in his choice of a purchaser to the party having an interest in the continuance of [his] life.”57 In that case, the insured had held the policy for about five years, and its surrender value was only $485. The court explains the insured’s predicament: He was pressed for money, and finally sold the policy to the defendant…for $600, or something like $115 more than he would have received by the surrender of the policy to the company. He had paid a much larger sum in premiums, – something over $2,000, – and there seems to be no good reason why a person owning such a policy, and obliged to sell it, should not be permitted to get back as much as possible of the money that he has paid out for insurance…There is no good reason for saying that an insured person should not have the right, whenever his necessities press him, because of a failing condition of health that assures a speedy death, to realize on his policy, and obtain for it something like a fair price, which may, perhaps, be almost equal to its face value.58 Thus, the policy underlying the allowance of assignments is the protection of the insured, by maintaining the liquidity of his or her investment. In the long run, then, allowing assignments rests on the same footing as encouraging insurance as a mode of savings, since people will be encouraged to insure if their investment (in the form of premiums) can be recovered before death. The question remains, for those courts that take the danger of gambling in lives seriously, of how to protect legitimate insurance without protecting gamblers. The court in Steinback takes great pains to establish a means of distinguishing between those policies that are legitimate insurances, which should be granted whatever market value the insured can procure, and those policies which are a cover for wager transactions. The means suggested by the court is an examination of the intent of the parties:59 “The intention of the parties procuring the policy would determine its character, which the courts would unhesitatingly declare in accordance with the facts, reading the policy and the assignment together, as forming part of one transaction.”60 In order to gauge the parties’ intentions, “all the facts and circumstances may be proved, and if it then appear that the parties intended by the contract to enable a third and uninterested party to speculate upon the life of another, the court will declare such a contract invalid, not because of the assignment, but in spite of it.”61 And, as far as the Steinback court is concerned, the investigation of the intention of the parties should yield an answer to the question of whether the parties acted in good faith: The materiality of the value of the interest has relation to the question of whether the policy is taken out in good faith, and not as a gambling transaction. If it be taken out in good faith, then a sound public policy would seem to require that the payee should be permitted to treat it as he may any other chose in action…62 The Steinback court was one of many that announced good faith as the key to the validity of assignment, and the Supreme Court’s attitude was typical: “The essential thing is, that the policy shall be obtained in good faith, and not for the purpose of speculating upon the hazard of a life in which the insured has no interest.”63 Other courts expanded, or specified the role of good faith in the context of assignment: Another reason sometimes assigned for holding such assignments illegal is that an assignee having no insurable interest is in the position of one who, in the first instance, takes out a wager policy. But we think not. If an insurable interest exists in the beneficiary at the time the policy is issued, and it is taken out in good faith, the object and purpose of the rule against wager policies would seem to have been sufficiently attained.64 Indeed, for those courts interested in allowing the assignment of insurance policies, “good faith” became something of a talisman,65 with one contemporary writer claiming that good faith, or in his parlance, bona fides, was “the logical test of the propriety, and hence of the validity” of insurance contracts.66 However, the widespread use of the term “good faith” does not constitute a guarantee that all courts share an understanding of what “good faith” entails, nor even that the term has discernible content at all. A number of examples show the difficulty in establishing a fixed meaning for “good faith” in this context. In Banker’s Reserve Life Co. v. Matthews, the court adopted the good faith test, saying, “In short, the test is the good faith in taking out the policy for the benefit of one having an insurable interest.”67 The facts of the case, however, suggest a difficulty. The insured procured life insurance (in two policies of $5,000 each), assigning seven tenths of the value to Dr. Matthews and his wife, who was the insured’s cousin. In return, Matthews agreed to pay all the premiums on the policies. The policies were taken out with the intention that they be assigned to Matthews, and the court, after an in depth review of the circumstances surrounding the transactions, validated the assignment.68 But in many of the cases where assignments are made long after procuring the insurance, the courts raise the hypothetical situation of an assignment agreement made at the time of purchase as the very paradigm of the lack of good faith.69 In fact, the case most often cited for the invalidation of assignment, Warnock v. Davis, had an almost identical fact pattern to the Matthews case.70 On the other hand, in Finnie v. Walker, the court voided assignments of a series of policies, some of which were made over a year after the policies had been procured.71 Thus, the timing of the assignment is not a reliable objective test for “good faith.” Even the cases that invalidate assignments do not offer a conclusive understanding of what “good faith” includes. For instance, in both Warnock v. Davis and McRae v. Warmack, it was held that the assignment was not of the “fraudulent kind with respect to which the courts regard parties as alike culpable and refuse to interfere with the results of their action. No fraud or deception upon any one was designed by the agreement, nor did its execution involve moral turpitude.”72 Thus, on the one hand, one need not have an evil intent or be guilty of “moral turpitude” to run afoul of the prohibition on assignments that amount to wagers; on the other hand, there is no clear objective test, for example the time of assignment, through which a lack of good faith can be definitively determined. Noting the difficulty in administering the test of “good faith,” one contemporary critic lamented that it had become a “touchstone for identifying wagering contracts of insurance”: Does ‘good faith’ mean that the parties must be free from any consciousness of wrong-doing in procuring the policy? In Warnock v. Davis, supra, and McRae v. Warmack, supra, the court distinctly said that the transaction did not involve any ‘moral turpitude’. Does ‘good faith’ mean that the purpose is not to evade the law against wagering? If so, what is the law, and as a corollary, when is it evaded? The ‘good faith test’ answers neither of these questions. Or, to put it another way, is the absence of the intent to make a ‘wager’, ‘good faith’? Then what is a ‘wager’, and how are the parties to know when they are making one, unless each man is the sole judge of his own ‘good faith’? It is submitted that the law’s standard of harmfulness is objective, not subjective, and that ‘good faith’ is not only futilely ambiguous, but also positively misleading… The phrase ‘good faith’ is valueless as a universal test of insurable interest.73 Good faith is introduced in this context as a mechanism to solve the difficulty of distinguishing between wagers and legitimate insurance when the form of the transactions is identical. But the displacement is a failure: determining whether a contract is entered into in good faith turns out to be as difficult, and as dependent on social consequences and cultural values as the distinction between wagers and insurance was in the first place. The courts’ treatment of commodities and insurance cases reveals the following parallel structure. In both types of cases, the courts take a stand in limiting freedom of contract by distinguishing between an approved and a forbidden contractual form, i.e., between legitimate and illegitimate transactions, between permitted contracts and gambling. They discover that analytically, the forms are indistinguishable, and in response, they formulate a second set of distinguishing maneuvers, invoking intent and good faith. The problem of fixing a meaning for those terms however, reenacts the anxieties that generated the initial distinction between the approved and prohibited contracts. Avenues for overcoming those anxieties are the focus of the last chapter in this part. 1,2   John Ashton, The History of Gambling in England 275 (1898). He continues: “Yet a man would be considered culpable, or at the very least, negligent and indiscreet did he not insure.”

    3 Karen Halttunen, Confidence Men and Painted Women: A Study of Middle-class Culture in America, 1830-1870, pp. 1-32 (1982).

    4 Id. at 17-22. See generally Herman Melville, The Confidence-Man: His Masquerade (Harrison Hayford et al., eds., Northwestern Univ. Press 1984) (1857).

    5 “By the second decade of the nineteenth century, the divorce between insurance and gambling was almost complete.” Lorraine J. Daston, The Domestication of Risk: Mathematical Probability and Insurance 1650-1830, in 1 The Probabilistic Revolution, (Lorenz Kruger et. al., eds., 1987) at 253; “By the third decade of the nineteenth century, the divorce between insurance and gambling seemed final. Gambling was, to a large extent, outlawed, whereas insurance became a pillar of social order…” Reuven Brenner & Gabrielle A. Brenner, Gambling, and Speculation: A Theory, a History, and a Future of Some Human Decisions 106 (1990).

    6, 13 Viviana A. Rotman Zelizer, Morals and Markets: The Development of Life Insurance in the United States 68-71 (1979).

    7 Lawrence F. Abbot, The Story of NYLIC: A History of the Origin and Development of the New York Life Insurance Company from 1845 to 1929 (1930).

    8 Id. at 7-8. 9 Id. at 9-10. 10 Id. at 11. 11 Id. at 12. 12 This has been a common claim by insurance companies since the popularization of life insurance in the mid-nineteenth century, but the defense was not limited to life insurance, nor has it ceased to be a usable defense up to today. See, e.g., Connecticut Mut. Life Ins. Co. v. Schaefer, 94 U.S. 457 (1876) (insurance company claimed that divorced spouse had no insurable interest in the life of the insured, her former husband); New York Life Ins. Co. v. Baum, 700 F.2d 928 (5th Cir. 1983) (insurance company claimed that beneficiaries had no insurable interest in the life of the insured, and thus should not recover); Fidelity Union Fire Ins. Co. v. Hicks, 250 S.W. 1084 (Tex. App. 1923) (insurance company claimed hail insurance was void as wagering contract due to lack of insurable interest).

    14 See 3 Samuel Williston, The Law of Contracts § 1667, § 1668 (1st ed. 1920) (footnotes omitted): The mere fact that an agreement was a wager did not make it unenforceable or opposed to public policy according to the English common law.
    Statutes, however, restricted various forms of betting, and apart from such statutes wagers were held against public policy as matter of common law if the subject-matter of the bet was deemed to be obnoxious to the public welfare.

    15, 17 Alan I. Widiss, Insurance 123 (1989).

    16 Franklin L. Best, Jr., “Defining Insurable Interests in Lives,” 22 Tort & Ins. L.J. 104 (1986).

    18 This rationale relies on nineteenth century terminology; from a current economic perspective, moral hazard is described as the inefficient limiting of precautions against the occurrence of the insured event, which amounts to the same thing, the difference being one of degree. On the shifting meaning of “moral hazard” see Tom Baker, “On the Genealogy of Moral Hazard,” 75 Texas L. Rev. 237, 239-40 (1996).

    19 Ashton, History of Gambling, 279-281; see also Zelizer, Morals and Market, 71 (“The concept of insurable interest developed to guarantee the legitimate contractual motivation of life insurance. It was first introduced in England in 1774 as a legal weapon against the widespread wagering in lives.”).

    20 Edwin W. Patterson, “Insurable Interest in Life,” 18 Colum. L. Rev. 381, 392-393 (1918); Widiss, Insurance, 125 (“The preamble to this statute stated that the legislation addressed ‘a mischievous kind of gaming’ in relation to ‘the making of insurances on lives, or other events, wherein the assured shall have no interest.’ Nothing was said of the destruction of the subject matter of insurance…”).

    21 Best, “Defining Insurable Interest in Lives” (at the time of the article’s publication, Best was an Associate General Counsel of Penn Mutual Life Insurance Company in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania).

    22 Johnny C. Parker, “Does Lack of an Insurable Interest Preclude an Insurance Agent from Taking an Absolute Assignment of his Client’s Life Policy?,” 31 U. Rich. L. Rev. 71, 79 (1997).

    23 See Zelizer, Morals and Market, 69-70. Zelizer adds: “Another form of gambling with life, known as ‘graveyard insurance,’ briefly flourished in the United States in the early 1880’s with speculators insuring the lives of old people, preferably paupers who were likely to die soon.”

    24 104 U.S. 775 (1881).

    25 In these examples, it is always the life of A that is insured; thus, A is the Cestui Que Vie, and B always lacks an insurable interest in the life of A. In addition, it was not always the insurance company that raised the issue of insurable interest; often, the representatives of the estate of the insured raised the claim. Insurers often admitted liability, deposited the proceeds with the court and filed bills of interpleader, so that the court would only have to decide between parties claiming rights to the policy.

    26 I will for the most part disregard the other half of the purpose of insurable interest doctrine, i.e. the prevention of the temptation to murder the insured. For an interesting treatment of that issue, see Baker, “Genealogy of Moral Hazard.”

    27 An apparent exception to this rule exists in Texas, where the courts have stated that “[i]n order to make a valid contract upon the life of one person for the benefit of another the beneficiary must have an interest in the life insured.” Goldbaum v. Blum, 15 S.W. 564, 565 (Tex. 1891). However, in that case, and others cited for the same proposition, the beneficiaries paid all the premiums, and were instrumental in initiating the policy, so the statement was actually not controlling. For a recent case, see Stillwagoner v. Travelers Ins. Co., 979 S.W.2d 354 (Tex. App. 1998) (unbeknownst to employee, employer purchased life insurance policy on employee's life, naming employer beneficiary).

    28 “If the cestui also pays the premiums, the transaction is an investment-gift – that is, a gift to the beneficiary of the investment made by the cestui. While gifts do not perform any useful function in trade or commerce, the courts recognize the validity of such policies as incidental to freedom of gift.” Patterson, “Insurable Interest in Life,” 397 (citation omitted).

    29 Parker, “Lack of Insurable Interest,” 76.

    30 53 S.E. 1032 (Ga. 1906). Faced with conflicting interests in payment, the company deposited payment with the court, leaving the only conflict between the assignee of the policy and the estate.

    31 The court deals with this problem simply, by relying on the rule that a beneficiary of a policy on which the insured pays the premiums is entitled to recover. Comparing the beneficiary who doesn’t pay the premiums to one who does, the court says that the temptation to hasten the demise of the insured is equal in both cases, and since it does not invalidate the policy in the first case, it should not do so in the second. Id. at 1034.

    32 Id. 33 Id. at 1037 (quoting Clark v. Allen, 11 R.I. 439, 443-44 (1877)).

    34 Id. at 1037 (emphasis added). 35 Id. at 1036. 36 Id. at 1037. 37 This is a narrative of “expansion” because at early common law, choses in action were not assignable. Assignability grew with the rise in importance of negotiable paper, and is in some ways a mirror image in this aspect of the rise of a commercial law of contract. See 1 Williston Law of Contracts, §§ 404-406, 410, 414. See also, Morton J. Horwitz, The Transformation of American Law, 1780-1860, pp. 212-226 (1977).

    38 139 S.W. 51 (Tex. Civ. App. 1911).

    39 Id. at 52. 40 Id. at 55; regarding which jurisdictions fall into which camp, the court continues: “The courts of Alabama, Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri, Pennsylvania, and Virginia hold with Texas that such assignments are invalid, on the ground that they are opposed to public policy.” Id. at 56.

    41 In technical terms, the court overstates the case made by those jurisdictions that allow assignment, in that they all view the insurance policy as a chose in action, and not as a chattel. Although this is a minor and technical distinction (which the court in a later paragraph abandons), in this passage it serves to expand the opposing claim, making it an easier target to combat (for instance, if insurance policies were assignable as chattels, rather than choses in action, defenses by the insurance company against the party procuring the insurance, such as fraud, would not be available against the assignee – a clearly undesirable result). On the difference between assignment of chattels and choses in action, see 1 Williston, Law of Contracts, § 404.

    42 Horwitz, Transformation of American Law, 212.

    43 See id. at 212-226. 44 139 S.W. 51 (Tex. Ct. Civ. App. 1911).

    45 Id. at 58. 46 Id. at 58 (emphasis added). 47 “And then will I profess unto them, I never knew you: depart from me, ye that work iniquity.” Matthew 7:23.

    48 The court’s attention to the “gambling” relationship, which takes for granted that commodities futures trading is a form of wagering, allows it to circumvent what might be a deeper problem with assignments, which is the problem of the adequacy of consideration.

    49 222 U.S. 149 (1911).

    50 Id. at 154. 51 Id. 52 Id. at 155-156, citing Stat. 14 George III., chap. 48. 53 Id. at 155. 54 Id. at 156. 55 13 N.Y. 31, 39 (1855).

    56 158 N.Y. 24 (1899).

    57 Id. at 31. 58 Id. at 33. 59 Recall that this was precisely the maneuver courts employed in dealing with the problem of wagering in commodities. This is still the modern view: The standard for determining whether the presumption of validity [of assignment] has been successfully rebutted is the ‘intentions of the parties’ test. Pursuant to this standard, courts examine a number of factors in the quest to determine whether the assignment was a subterfuge for a wagering contract. However, no single factor alone has been identified as controlling on the issue. Each factor must be considered in combination with the underlying facts and circumstances of the case. Parker, “Lack of Insurable Interest,” 87-88.

    60 Steinback, 158 N.Y., at 31.

    61 Id. at 32. 62 Id. at 30-31. 63 Connecticut Mut. Life Ins. Co. v. Schaefer, 94 U.S. 457, 460 (1876).

    64 Chamberlain v. Butler, 86 N.W. 481, 482 (Neb. 1901). 65 For representative rhetoric regarding the adoption of the good faith test, see, Finnie v. Walker, 257 F. 698, 700 (2d Cir. 1919) (“A life insurance policy taken out in good faith by the insured, with no idea of assigning it, can afterwards, in good faith, and for a valuable consideration, be sold and assigned to one who has no insurable interest in the life…”). For additional cases adopting the good faith test, see, e.g., Grigsby v. Russell, 222 U.S. 149, 156 (1911); Bankers’ Reserve Life Co. v. Matthews, 39 F.2d 528, 529 (8th Cir. 1930); Mechanics’ Nat. Bank v. Comins, 55 A. 191, 193 (N.H. 1903); Brett v. Warnick, 75 P. 1061, 1064 (Or. 1904).

    66 William Reynolds Vance, Handbook of the Law of Insurance 103 (1904); see also Patterson, “Insurable Interest in Life,” 403-06.

    67 39 F.2d at 529.

    68 Similarly, in another case, the Supreme Court of Arkansas validated an assignment, even though the policy was procured with the intention of assigning it to one who had no insurable interest. See Prudential Ins. Co. of America v. Williams, 168 S.W. 1114 (Ark. 1914). In that case, the insured procured the policy with the intention of assigning it to a party who died before the assignment could be executed, and then the insured assigned it to a third party, whose right to the proceeds of the policy was upheld. 69 See, e.g., Steinback v. Diepenbrock, 158 N.Y. 24, 31 (1899): The insured, instead of taking out a policy payable to a person having no insurable interest in his life, can take it out to himself, and at once assign it to such person. But such an attempt would not prove successful, for a policy issued and assigned, under such circumstances, would be none the less a wagering policy because of the form of it. For additional cases where courts raise the hypothetical case of assignment at the time of procuring the policy, see, e.g., Grigsby v. Russel, 222 U.S. 149, 156 (1911); Chamberlain v. Butler, 86 N.W. 481, 483 (Neb. 1901); Rylander v. Allen, 53 S.E. 1032, 1037 (Ga. 1906): Of course, one cannot do indirectly what the law prohibits him from doing directly, and as it is unlawful for a person to effect insurance upon the life of another in the continuance of whose life he has no interest, an invasion of this rule by the issue of a policy to one who has an insurable interest, and its immediate assignment, pursuant to a preconceived intent, to one without such interest, who undertakes to pay the premiums for his chance of profit upon his investment, is ineffective, and such assignment is void.

    70 Warnock v. Davis, 104 U.S. 775 (1881). The only real difference was that in Warnock, nine tenths of the insurance was assigned to a mutual agency of which the insured was a member, rather than, as in Matthews, to his cousin.

    71 Finnie v. Walker, 257 F. 698, 701 (2d Cir. 1919).

    72 Warnock v. Davis, 104 U.S. 775, 781 (1881); McRae v. Warmack, 135 S.W. 807, 811 (Ark. 1911).

    73 Patterson, “Insurable Interest in Life,” 404-05.


    41 8 ACQUISITIVE INDIVIDUALITY VERSUS COMMUNAL EFFICIENCY: CONFLICTING POLICIES AND THE LOVE/HATE RELATIONSHIP WITH RISK The analytical emptiness of the good faith standard as a tool for distinguishing legitimate from illegitimate contracts exposes a gap in the law. As in the case of the intent of the parties to commodities futures contracts, the gap is filled, not with a technical legal test, but with a conflict among policies. On the one hand, there is the policy of limiting wagers. It bears emphasis that the law is not interested in eradicating wagers, since elements of risk exist in the most legitimate transactions and the law has no way of definitively distinguishing wagers from legitimate contracts. Rather, the policy in its most defensible form is the more modest one of limiting wagers in such a way that gambling as a vocation does not become attractive. Thus, the limitation of the capacity to wager is positioned within a wider goal of the law and of emerging capitalistic culture generally, which is to foster acquisitive individuality. The chief objection to the wagering contract is that it leads to unearned gain. And, while the law does not attempt to eliminate every unearned gain, it does attempt to limit the harmful social consequences of a mechanism that allows people to get something for nothing. Edwin Patterson, writing in 1918 and defending the limitation of wagers through insurance, explains why the law must combat a vocation of wagering, while wagers that do not amount to a vocation will not have the same harmful consequences: Vaguely, a sense of antagonism is aroused in a community of workers against persons who obtain a means of livelihood without participating in the machinery of social or economic production and distribution – in short, against ‘social slackers’. More specifically, unearned gains lead to idleness, and the wagerer becomes a social parasite. Useful business and industry are thereby discouraged. On the moral side, idleness leads to vice; and the impoverishment of the loser entails misery, and, in consequence, crime.160 Similarly, modern commentators have noted that gambling, in its various forms and especially when it offered itself as a vocation, stood in defiance of an ethic of industry deemed necessary to support a productive labor force. By holding out the promise of instant wealth, gambling undermined individual motivation to accumulate money gradually through employment.161 On the other side of the gap exposed by the lack of a technical legal mechanism to distinguish gambling from legitimate contract stood an ideal of communal efficiency. In 160 Edwin W. Patterson, “Insurable Interest in Life,” 18 Colum. L. Rev. 381, 386 (1918) (footnotes omitted). 161 Viviana A. Rotman Zelizer, Morals and Markets: The Development of Life Insurance in the United States 88 (1979); See also, Karen Halttunen, Confidence Men and Painted Women: A Study of Middle-class Culture in America, 1830-1870, p. 17 (1982); Ann Fabian, Card Sharps, Dream Books, and Bucket Shops: Gambling in 19th Century America 61 (1990); Vicki Abt, et. al., The Business of Risk: Commercial Gambling in America 208 (1986). 42 the simplest terms, “Life insurance emerged as the most efficient secular risk-bearing institution to handle the economic hazards of death through cooperative self-help.”162 But the principle of efficient risk bearing was hardly limited to life insurance, and the policy of efficient risk management bears further elaboration, especially in its relation to both insurance and speculation in commodities futures. Commentators who tried to legitimize various forms of economic activity that resembled gambling repeatedly resorted to the vocabulary of professionalism and specialization. New York Life’s commissioned history, referred to earlier, is a prime example, where the author distinguishes modern life insurance from the older, wagering form, by claiming that insurance “has become an exact science in which predictions can be made with all the certainty of mathematical calculations.”163 Other expressions of the policy were less vulgar and more detailed. Early in the century, economists elaborated the relationship between increasing efficiency and encouraging speculation, laying the basis for the market consciousness that to a great extent still governs modern conceptions of economic activity. In Risk, Uncertainty and Profit, Frank Knight explained that the principles behind insurance practice, namely consolidation and specialization, actually underlay even the basics of production for a market.164 Knight identified the problem of uncertainty as the central obstacle to rational economic behavior. Uncertainty is reduced by grouping like instances, i.e., consolidation, which can then be subjected to probabilistic calculation. Whereas for the individual, specific instances of uncertainty are unpredictable, when an institution can group instances, it can treat the results as known on the basis of probabilities, and thus plan rationally for the outcomes. Secondly, those institutions that can best group instances are selected to deal with uncertainties. This is known as specialization. Knight went on to explain that while this model of action is the conscious and overt principle in organizing the insurance industry (with insurance companies grouping together the instances of death, uncertain for the individual but highly certain for large groups on the basis of actuarial statistics), the same principle actually explains the relationship of consumers to producers: while individual consumers’ wants are unknown in advance even to the consumers themselves, producers are able to plan for the future by producing for an anonymous group, whose wants can be predicted. The clue to the apparent paradox is, of course, in the ‘law of large numbers,’ the consolidation of risks (or uncertainties). The consumer is, to himself, only one; to the producer he is a mere multitude in which individuality is lost. It turns out that 162 Zelizer, Morals and Markets, 89. 163 Lawrence F. Abbot, The Story of NYLIC: A History of the Origin and Development of the New York Life Insurance Company from 1845 to 1929, p. 12 (1930). 164 Frank H. Knight, Risk, Uncertainty and Profit 233-263 (1921). See also Henry Crosby Emery, Speculation on the Stock and Produce Exchanges of the United States (Faculty of Political Science of Columbia Univ. ed., 1896). 43 an outsider can foresee the wants of a multitude with more ease and accuracy than an individual can attain with respect to his own.165 The two principles of reducing uncertainty to measurable risk are consolidation and specialization, and each is associated with specific economic institutions or practices. The best known device for dealing with uncertainty through consolidation is insurance, with life insurance being its most highly developed form.166 And significantly, “[t]he most important instrument in modern economic society for the specialization of uncertainty…is Speculation,” with its best illustration in business at large being the hedging contract: By this simple device the industrial producer is enabled to eliminate the chance of loss or gain due to changes in the value of materials used in his operations during the interval between the time he purchases them as raw materials and the time he disposes of them as finished product, ‘shifting’ this risk to the professional speculator. It is manifest at once that even aside from any superior judgment or foresight or better information possessed by such a professional speculator, he gains an enormous advantage from the sheer magnitude or breadth of the scope of his operations.167 Thus, when Justice Holmes calls speculation through the commodities futures markets “the self-adjustment of society to the probable,”168 or when Professor Patterson devotes an article to legitimating hedging contracts in commodities,169 they are actually relying on an incipient form of the policy argument fleshed out by economists such as Knight. Speculation, according to this argument, is an important part of the forward motion of a capitalistic market, a sort of engine of the progress of economic rationality. Taken to its extreme, this policy would allow for the development of vocations in risk management, despite the fact that these can be characterized by some as getting something for nothing. But, while it is easy to accept this vision as if it offers a simple and sweeping solution to the tension generated by the law’s antipathy to gambling (by seemingly eradicating that antipathy entirely), it is important to note that the tension is not in fact resolved. And the lack of resolution is not dependent merely on an anachronistic attachment to a pre-modern deterministic or religious world-view. In fact, the policy of limiting gambling advances the goal of constructing acquisitive individuality, nourishing the work ethic which is also presented as a necessary engine of economic progress. In other words, the conflict among policies is not between a pre-market or anti-capitalist policy and a pro-market or capitalist policy; rather, both sides of the policy divide fit squarely into an emerging capitalist society. The policies simply represent conflicting positions within a market oriented 165 Knight, Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit, 241. 166 Id. at 245-248. 167 Id. at 255-256. 168 Chicago Board of Trade v. Christie Grain & Stock Co., 198 U.S. 236, 247 (1905). 169 Edwin W. Patterson, “Hedging and Wagering on Produce Exchanges,” 40 Yale L.J. 843 (1931). 44 society regarding the question of which cultural attributes of that society require the law’s support or censure. If analyzed closely, there are many aspects of the judicial rhetoric just canvassed that would yield clues to the shift to a modern market sensibility, and even a theory of the individual that underlies that shift. While it is impossible to undergo a thorough examination of these issues here, a few brief comments may be suggestive. One example is the issue of time. The opinions examined herein have a special concern with time, and its changing meaning and value. “From the time he plants his seed…” the farmer has lost control of the value of time, and he is gambling.170 Theorists examining cultural formations have concentrated on the shifting conceptions of time as a central aspect of the shift to modernity.171 The Marxist cultural theorist Georg Lukacs lamented that industrial capitalism had alienated individuals through a process of reification, a central aspect of which was the reduction of time into an uncontrollable, external influence on people, who were transformed into cogs in a machine. “The contemplative stance adopted towards a process mechanically conforming to fixed laws and enacted independently of man’s consciousness and impervious to human intervention, i.e. a perfectly closed system, must likewise transform the basic categories of man’s immediate attitude to the world: it reduces space and time to a common denominator and degrades time to the dimension of space.”172 Lukacs’ fundamental concern seems to be that time, once an intangible and infinitely meaningful quality, is reduced under conditions of industrial capitalism to yet another one-dimensional and measurable function of money. While they did not use the philosophical articulations available to Lukacs, turn-of-the-century judges experienced some of the same impulses. Insurance and commodities trading, with their constant reminders of many “futures” on the one hand, and the promise of turning time into money without intervening production on the other, are contexts where the shifting nature of time heightens the uncertainty and even the fear surrounding a transition to modernity. Cultural critic Walter Benjamin’s work is even more pointed in drawing the connections between time, modernity, and gambling. Writing on Baudelaire, Benjamin 170 Albers v. Lamson, 42 N.E.2d 627, 630 (Ill. 1942). 171 See, e.g., Stephen Kern, The Culture of Time and Space 1880-1918 (1983); Peter Galison, Einstein’s Clocks, Poicaré’s Maps: Empires of Time (2003) 172 Georg Lukacs, History and Class Consciousness 89 (Rodney Livingstone trans., MIT Press 1968) (1923). He continues: Thus time sheds its qualitative, variable, flowing nature; it freezes into an exactly delimited, quantifiable continuum filled with quantifiable ‘things’ (the reified, mechanically objectified ‘performance’ of the worker, wholly separated from his total human personality): in short, it becomes space…On the other hand, the mechanical disintegration of the process of production into its components also destroys those bonds that had bound individuals to a community in the days when production was still ‘organic’. In this respect, too, mechanisation makes of them isolated abstract atoms whose work no longer brings them together directly and organically; it becomes mediate to an increasing extent exclusively by the abstract laws of the mechanism which imprisons them. Id. at 90. 45 notes that the image of the gambler became the characteristically modern complement to the archaic image of the fencer; both being heroic figures.173 He then elaborates suggestively that time itself is different in modernity, a difference understood in part by reference to the gambler. Benjamin’s critique of modern subjectivity is more layered and complex than Lukacs’s. Rather than relying directly on economic form as a motivation of change, Benjamin analyzes the relationship between cultural forms such as architecture, literature and technological innovations, such as assembly line work, comparing the repetition involved in such work to the narcotic effect of gambling.174 Benjamin’s conception of consciousness in modernity links, in a series of complex correspondences, a change in the experience of time with changing cultural conditions from traffic signals to matches to automated factories, and all of these in turn with the experience of the gambler. The gambler becomes emblematic of modernity. The negotiations of the place of gambling in commodities and insurance contracts, then, take their place as part of a change in the notion of individuality, and a construction of a market consciousness that accompanies a shift to modernity. Benjamin quotes these lines of Baudelaire, which seem to draw out the insecurities that animate much of the conscious and unconscious policy discussion in the cases: “Keep in mind that Time’s a rabid gambler/Who wins always without cheating – it’s the law!”175 The policy divide identified in the case law should be read as a cultural conflict central to the capitalist market economy taking shape in the United States around the turn of the century. Both sides in this conflict accepted capitalism as the central mode of economic organization for the country. However, they divided on the question of how to conceptualize risk, and especially on the question of the relationship between uncertainty and the individual. When looked at as a whole, this conflict can be characterized as a love/hate relationship with risk, or an economy of appropriation and distance.176 The advantage to reading this conflict as such an economy is that it allows us to see expressions of both sides of the policy within the same work; thus, a commitment to an outcome on one side of the policy divide does not cancel the possibility of resorting to rhetoric that favors the other side. It also allows us to read, rather than one case for one judge’s view, a discourse and its effects, despite the fact that none of them were willed by any particular actor. 173 Walter Benjamin, Illuminations 178 (Harry Zohn trans., Schocken Books 1968) (1955). 174 See id. at 174-85; see also Walter Benjamin, “Paris, Capital of the Nineteenth Century,” in Reflections 146, 159-62 (Edmund Jephcott trans., 1978) (“To the phantasmagorias of space to which the flaneur abandons himself, correspond the phantasmagorias of time indulged in by the gambler. Gambling converts time into a narcotic.”). 175 Benjamin, Illuminations, 179. 176 By using the term economy, I mean to draw attention to a way of looking at rhetorical maneuvers, not merely as independent isolated arguments, but rather as part of a larger rhetorical structure. The rhetorical structure lends arguments intelligibility, but not every piece of rhetoric that seems to favor a given outcome requires that particular outcome. 46 Certain descriptions of the development of contract law early in the century point to the centrality of coming to terms with uncertainty.177 However, these descriptions not only miss the more complex negotiation of cultural models at work in the conflicts over uncertainty, they also fundamentally miscast the role of uncertainty itself as a phenomenon new to contract law as industrial concentrations grow larger.178 By assuming an objective uncertainty in economic affairs, these descriptions confuse economics with culture. Economic factors may or may not have become more uncertain, but the crisis of uncertainty was cultural. The most visible feature in the discursive economy of appropriation and distance is the positioning of risk, chance, or hazard, in relationship to contract. On the one hand, all these types of uncertainty are marginalized as objects of contract. Thus, the rhetoric of contract law is at pains, even in its nonchalant repetitions, to show that commodities futures contracts or insurance contracts are in some way a special, marginal category of contracts. They are even given a special appellation, aleatory contracts, implying that all other contracts are free from risk and uncertainty. Thus the common refrain that a transaction, whatever its content, is valid, “provided it not be by way of cover for a wager.”179 This construction masquerades as a simple legal proposition, often presented as a bottom line, and often included in the headnotes of the reports. But we should pause over what it actually entails in the cases. From the sentence itself, we would be tempted to believe that the “wager” is a known quantity, visible to the discerning eye wherever it raises its ugly head. But in fact, in most of these cases, the court spends most of its opinion trying to divine whether the transaction in question is or is not obnoxious to public policy. And recall, this is precisely the question on which the different jurisdictions, and sometimes different courts in the same jurisdiction, simply cannot agree. The courts are 177 See, e.g., Melvin Aron Eisenberg, “Probability and Chance in Contract Law,” 45 U.C.L.A. L. Rev. 1005 (1998); Walter F. Pratt, Jr., “American Contract Law at the Turn of the Century,” 39 S.C. L. Rev. 415 (1988). 178 As Knight shows, the increase of industrial concentration and the rise of larger institutions that can group instances (whether of deaths or of consumer demand) actually decrease the objective manifestations of uncertainty. Legal scholarship often takes the rise in the importance of uncertainty in legal rhetoric at face value, simply assuming that an industrial economy generates more uncertainty than some idealized, simpler economy. From my perspective, it is more interesting to inquire into why uncertainty becomes such an important category for legal thought. 179 Hawkes v. Mobley, 163 S.E. 494, 497 (Ga. 1932). For additional cases using substantially the same construction, i.e., calling the transaction valid provided it not be done by way of cover for a wager, see, e.g., Prudential Ins. Co. of Am. v. Williams, 168 S.W. 1114, 1115 (Ark. 1914); Page v. Metropolitan Life Ins. Co., 135 S.W. 911, 912 (Ark. 1911); Rylander v. Allen, 53 S.E. 1032, 1036 (Ga. 1906); Guaranty Life Ins. Co. v. Primo, 140 S.E. 780, 781 (Ga. App. 1927); Volunteer St. Life Ins. Co. v. Buchannan, 73 S.E. 602, 604 (Ga. App. 1912); Elkhart Mut. Aid Benevolent Relief Ass’n v. Houghton, 2 N.E. 763, 767 (Ind. 1885); Reilly v. Penn Mut. Life Ins. Co., 207 N.W. 583, 585 (Iowa 1926); Chamberlain v. Butler, 86 N.W. 481, 483 (Neb. 1901); Mechanics’ Nat. Bank v. Comins, 55 A. 191, 195 (N.H. 1903); Empire Development Co. v. Title Guarantee & Trust Co., 121 N.E. 468, 469 (N.Y. 1918); In re Phillips’ Estate, 86 A. 289, 290 (Pa. 1913); Cronin v. Vermont Life Ins. Co., 40 A. 497, 497 (R.I. 1898); Roberts v. National Benefit Life Ins. Co. 148 S.E. 179, 180 (S.C. 1929); Rogers v. Atlantic Life Ins. Co., 133 S.E. 215, 217 (S.C. 1926); Crosswell v. Connecticut Indem. Ass’n, 28 S.E. 200, 201 (S.C. 1897); Shoemaker v. Harrington, 30 S.W.2d 539, 543 (Tex. Civ. App. 1930); Manhattan Life Ins. Co. v. Cohen, 139 S.W. 51, 54 (Tex. Civ. App. 1911). 47 engaged in a constructive process of naming certain contracts “wagers,” or allowing those contracts to escape that label. But while this process goes on, the refrain allows the courts to repeat the mantra, implying that while there is a question as to the legitimacy of each and every transaction, the “mere wager”180 itself is always a marginal, exterior category, which has no home within contract. The language of marginalization is the rhetoric of containment and mastery. On its face, it implies complete control. The very act of incessant, nearly compulsive repetition, found in almost every jurisdiction, implies that the law controls the wager, and thus, even chance itself. Rhetorically, wager is controlled, tamed, expelled from contract discourse. But this almost ritualistic repetition is only a substitute for the control of gambling that the law cannot achieve.181 On the other hand, an opposed rhetoric is also at work, dispersing or disseminating the wager rather than marginalizing it. Instead of claiming that the uncertainty inherent in gambling is somehow exterior to contract, this rhetoric claims it is the essence of contract, and even that contract can be defined as the assumption of risk. This view is at least as old as Holmes’ The Common Law,182 and is popular today in the contract opinions of Chief Judge Richard Posner.183 Indeed, it has become a commonplace of legal opinions to speculate on the ubiquity of something akin to gambling in contract specifically, and in economic life generally. A rich example, complete with literary allusion, comes from a case regarding a joint venture in stock investment: Except for those endowed with the blessings of prescience or omnipotence, the agreements of all men as to the future depend on some degree upon chance and unknown and fortuitous events. 180 Courts also favor this construction when attacking wagering, in the abstract. 181 In this, the courts reenact the child’s game of disappearance and return, fort-da, described by Freud in Beyond the Pleasure Principle. There, the child enacts the controlled disappearance and return of his toys in order to compensate himself for his mother’s disappearance, which is beyond his control. See Sigmund Freud, Beyond the Pleasure Principle 12-17 (James Strachey ed. & trans., W.W. Norton & Co. 1961) (1920). 182 See Oliver Wendell Holmes, Jr., The Common Law 299-301 (1881) (“In the case of a binding promise that it shall rain to-morrow, the immediate legal effect of what the promisor does is, that he takes the risk of the event, within certain defined limits, as between himself and the promisee. He does no more when he promises to deliver a bale of cotton.”) Id. at 300. 183 See, e.g., Nicolet Instrument Corp. v. Lindquist & Vennum, 34 F.3d 453, 456 (7th Cir. 1994) (“It is not a novel idea that an essential function of contracts is to allocate particular risks to the parties best able to bear them....”); Market Street Assocs. v. Frey, 941 F.2d 588, 595 (7th Cir. 1991) (contrasting contractual functions of allocation of risk on the one hand and setting in motion of a cooperative enterprise on the other); Spartech Corp. v. Opper, 890 F.2d 949, 955 (7th Cir. 1989) (“A principle purpose of contracts... is to allocate the risk of the unexpected... not to place it always on the promisee.”); Northern Ind. Pub. Serv. Co. v. Carbon County Coal Co., 799 F.2d 265, 275-78 (7th Cir. 1986) (asking how the parties would have assigned the risk that the performance of the contract might become impossible); Fidelity and Deposit Co. v. City of Sheboygan Falls, 713 F.2d 1261, 1269 (7th Cir. 1983) (“An important function of contracts is to allocate risk; and the performing party to a contract usually guarantees performance against at least some contingencies that are beyond his control.”). 48 ‘The best laid schemes o’ mice and men / Gang aft a-gley; An lea’e us nought but grief and pain, / For promis’d joy. One of our most substantial and respected businesses, insurance, is premised upon the most unknowable and unpredictable contingency of all – death. The stock market, as a barometer of business success, international and domestic outlook, sales, taxes, profits, competition, and a hundred variables, not the least of which is the irrationality of mass psychology, is a notoriously volatile indicator whose fluctuations, largely beyond individual control, bestow fortunes on some men while leaving others shattered and penniless. Chancy, yes. A gamble in the legal sense rather than the vernacular, no. ‘Business may involve speculation but unless the latter is illegal it does not get down to what in modern times is the lower classification known as gambling.’ Risk, then, is not the element which makes the transaction a gamble.184 Contract law, then, has learned to live with risk. It has set itself up as a higher order, to be contrasted with that “lower classification,” gambling. Contract discourse has taken the teeth out of gambling, devolving “chance and fortuitous events” in the first sentence quoted above into a mere colloquialism, “chancy,” later in the passage. Chance intrudes everywhere in life, but only in a moderate, controlled fashion, at least as far as the “legal sense rather than the vernacular” is concerned. This quotation is only a hint of the fact that insecurity over the status of speculative transactions arises in almost the same form today, regarding two distinct contexts closely analogous to the turn of the century cases discussed here. The first context is activity in the market for complex derivatives; the second is the new industry of viatical settlement. A brief word regarding these two issues should suffice to show that while attitudes toward gambling have changed over the last hundred years, the basic problematic of distinguishing legitimate risk allocation from illegitimate speculation is still alive and unsettled, and perhaps unsettling. The market for financial instruments known as derivatives has grown to staggering proportions since the early 1980’s.185 For the most part, this growth is perceived as part of an extension of the rationalization of pricing risk. However, periodically, scandals involving huge losses plague the industry and generate a different kind of discourse.186 Popular discourse surrounding the derivatives markets, particularly following scandals, is 184 Liss v. Manuel, 296 N.Y.S.2d 627, 630-631 (Civ. Ct. 1968) (citation omitted). 185 The derivatives market was estimated to have a notional value of $70 trillion in 1998, 100 trillion in 2000, and 340 trillion in 2005. See Bank for International Settlements Quarterly Review, Sept 2005, available at http://www.bis.org/publ/quarterly.htm. 186 Among the more publicized scandals in derivatives trading are the collapse of Barings Bank in 1995, the bankruptcy of Orange County, California, in 1994, the losses incurred by Procter and Gamble and Gibson Greetings Inc. in derivatives trades with Bankers Trust in 1994, and the collapse of the Long Term Capital “hedge fund” in 1998. For an account of the tendency of derivatives markets to resemble gambling, see Timothy L. O’Brien, Bad Bet: The Inside Story of the Glamour, Glitz, and Danger of America’s Gambling Industry (1998). 49 The moral aversion to gambling has dissipated, but the theoretical difficulty of determining the proper way to regulate the market in risk lives on.full of references to betting and gambling, and to the fact that investment and gambling are difficult to distinguish, “since all financial products straddle that very fine line separating temperate, calculated gambles from irrational, impassioned betting.”187 Each new scandal brings with it a call for tighter regulation, with its familiar dynamic of paternalism pitted against those who claim that flexible self-regulation will always be more efficient.188 Finally, defenders of the derivatives markets today make a claim for specialization and expertise, reminiscent of Justice Holmes’ crocodile tears over the fact that “the success of the strong induces imitation by the weak, and that incompetent persons bring themselves to ruin by undertaking to speculate in their turn.”189 190 The difficulty in regulating the assignment of life insurance replays itself even more starkly. Over the last decade, a “new” industry of viatical settlement has sprung up. Viatical settlements are agreements to buy insurance policies from terminally ill policy holders, usually people suffering from AIDS, for a percentage of the value of the policy, typically between fifty-five and seventy per cent of the face value of the policy.191 In essence, viatical settlements are identical to the assignments of life policies discussed above, except that the AIDS epidemic has created a population base in dire need of cash, primarily for medical expenses, before the policies mature (at death). Seeing the potential 187 Id. at 274. For journalistic accounts of investment in derivatives characterized as betting, see, e.g., Michael Lewis, “How the Eggheads Cracked,” N.Y. Times Mag., Jan. 24, 1999, at 24; Steven Lipin et al., “Fancy Footwork: Bankers Trust Thrives Pitching Derivatives, But Climate Is Shifting,” Wall St. J., Apr. 22, 1994, at A1; Steven Lipin et al., “Portfolio Poker: Just What Firms Do With Derivatives Is Suddenly a Hot Issue,” Wall St. J., Apr. 14, 1994, at A1; Robert Trigaux, “Firms’ Stretch for Profits Could Backfire,” St. Petersburg Times, Apr. 14, 1994, at 1E. 188 See, e.g. Jaye Scholl, “The Big Fizzle: Beware of Leveraged Rocket Scientists with an Attitude,” Barron’s, Sept. 28, 1998, at 23; Randall Smith and Steven Lipin, “Beleaguered Giant: As Derivatives Losses Rise, Industry Fights to Avert Regulation,” Wall Street Journal A1, August 25, 1994, at A1; Steven Lipin and Anita Raghavan, “GAO to Join Hot Debate on Derivatives, ” Wall St. J., May 19, 1994, at C1. 189 Board of Trade v. Christie, 198 U.S. 236 (1905). 190 One recent article on the issue claims, using economic analysis, that pre-1930’s antipathy toward gambling may have had its basis in efficiency, and that the current support for lax regulation of speculative transactions in derivatives may be economically unsound. See Lynn Stout, “Why the Law Hates Speculators: Regulation and Private Ordering in the Market for OTC Derivatives,” 48 Duke L.J. 701 (1999). Legal scholarship surrounding derivatives sometimes touches on the gambling issue, but it is more often focused on the question of whether derivatives can be regulated by federal authorities as securities. See Procter & Gamble Co. v. Bankers Trust Co., 925 F. Supp. 1270 (S.D. Ohio, 1996); see also William K. Maready, Jr., “Comment, Regulating for Disaster: Federal Attempts to Control the Derivatives Market,” 31 Wake Forest L. Rev. 885 (1996). 191 See Timothy P. Davis, “Should Viatical Settlements Be Considered ‘Securities’ Under the 1933 Securities Act?” 6 Kans. J.L. & Pub. Pol’y, 75 (1997). See also Dave Luxenberg, “Comment, Why Viatical Settlements Constitute Investment Contracts Within the Meaning of the 1933 & 1934 Securities Acts,” 34 Willamette L. Rev. 357 (1998). 50 and another notes that, “Critics claim that it is ‘ghoulish’ to allow companies to financially succeed by gambling on the life expectancies of others.”The focus of the discussion has shifted, gambling has been displaced as the center of regulatory discourse, but the core conflict over what kinds of speculation will be deemed legitimate retains its resonance. for profits, the industry has grown at a very rapid pace,192 and is expanding its client base from AIDS patients to numerous terminally and chronically ill patients.193 While most of the legal discourse, again, revolves around the question of how to regulate the viatical industry,194 one commentator opened her discussion with the claim that “Viatical companies gamble on people’s lives,”195 196 I have focused on a transformative moment in the development of contract law where the question of gambling was eventually swallowed and internalized as if the problem were solved. What has come to light, instead, is that the conflict over what was gambling and what was allocation of risk was handled, and settled, not according to an analytical formula that successfully distinguished between them, but rather through a more complex and less decisive cultural negotiation and displacement of the question. The close reading of judicial rhetoric I have engaged in serves to show that legal discourse is a productive endeavor. More than straightforward prohibitions on certain types of conduct, judicial grappling with risk and uncertainty offers its audiences an image with which to identify; rhetoric does not stop at telling us what to do, it tells us what to be. Today, the gambling label is less of a stigma, not only for dubious financial transactions, but even for plain, straightforward gambling, which has been legalized in almost all the states in some form, from numbers (the state lotteries) to poker (casino gambling). All of these legalized forms are seen as productive economic endeavors, at least as much as any of the rest of the entertainment industry. In the modern setting then, the normative question of the legitimacy of specific types of transactions is not played out by arguing over whether they are gambling (everyone is willing to admit they are), but rather, is displaced into the question of how they should be regulated, and particularly, 192 Viatical settlements were estimated at $5 million in 1989, $500 million in 1996, and were projected to grow to $4 billion by the year 2000. Miriam R. Albert, “Selling Death Short: The Regulatory and Policy Implications of Viatical Settlements (Symposium on Health Care Policy: What Lessons Have We Learned from the AIDS Pandemic?),” 61 Alb. L. Rev. 1013, 1018 (1998); Joy D. Kosiewicz, “Comment, Death for Sale: A Call to Regulate the Viatical Settlement Industry,” 48 Case W. Res. L. Rev. 701 (1998). 193 Kosiewicz, “Death for Sale,” 725. 194 See SEC v. Life Partners, Inc., 87 F.3d 536 (D.C. Cir. 1996); Davis, “Should Viatical Settlements Be Considered Securities;” Luxenberg, “Why Viatical Settlements Constitute Investment Contracts;” Michael R. Davis, “Note, Unregulated Investment in Certain Death: SEC v. Life Partners, Inc.,” 42 Vill. L. Rev. 925 (1997); Katherine DePeri, “Recent Decisions: Brokered Viatical Settlement Contracts Are Not Securities,” 70 Temp. L. Rev. 857 (1997); Elizabeth L. Deeley, “Note, Viatical Settlements Are Not Securities: Is It Law or Sympathy?” 66 Geo. Wash. L. Rev. 382 (1998); Shanah D. Glick, “Comment, Are Viatical Settlements Securities Within the Regulatory Control of the Securities Act of 1933? ” 60 U. Chi. L. Rev. 957 (1993). 195 Kosiewicz, “Death for Sale,” 701. 196 Denise M. Schultz, “Comment, Angels of Mercy or Greedy Capitalists? Buying Life Insurance Policies from the Terminally Ill,” 24 Pepp. L. Rev. 99, 103 (1996). 51 whether they should be regulated by the ultimate father figure, i.e., the federal government in the shape of the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Commodities Futures Trading Commission. This displacement represents a shift of the same normative debate, over how and how heavily transactions of this sort should be regulated and (the other side of the coin) enforced. Commenting on the workings of legal discourse as an ideological function, Robert Gordon has argued that lawyers’ main importance derives from their contribution to the forms and categories of public discourse.197 Judicial discourse surrounding the problem of gambling in contract law around the turn of the century was involved in such an ideological function. By spinning out an economy of appropriation and distance with regard to risk, chance and hazard in the economic processes of contracting, contract discourse helped its audiences come to terms with the deep fears and uncertainties that accompanied the transition into modernity. By retaining its condemnatory critique of gambling, or “banishing its gambling doubles,”198 it played the protector of souls. And by recognizing that efficient economies required speculative activity, and that an element, albeit a controlled element of gambling existed in all economic activity, contract discourse made way for the emergence of an individual who could claim mastery even while acknowledging uncertainty. Throwing itself between the devil and the deep sea, contract helped Americans stop worrying and learn to love risk. 197 Robert W. Gordon, “Legal Thought and Legal Practice in the Age of American Enterprise, 1870-1920,” in Professions and Professional Ideologies in America 81-82 (Gerald L. Geison, ed., 1983). 198 Fabian, Card Sharps, 5. CONCLUSION: UNDERMINING THE METAPHYSICS OF CONTRACT In Shakespeare: The Invention of the Human, Harold Bloom recently argued that our fundamental sense of the meaning of humanity, of the multiplicity and conflict within personality, are shaped and forever changed by Shakespeare’s plays. Of course, there were human beings before the bard’s birth; but Shakespeare’s portrayals of character changed our conception of humanity so fundamentally that it is difficult to imagine what came before, or how it could have been otherwise.1 A similar dynamic is at stake in the relationship between contract and the individual. Students of economic and political thought have long mused over the processes through which the west learned to imagine individuals as rational, autonomous, calculating, and finally, calculable. These processes have their roots as far back as the sixteenth century, and go hand in hand with an ever expanding vision of a market peculiarly hospitable to these abstract, calculating creatures.2 Late nineteenth century contract law took shape in the conflicts that were the culmination of this process of imagining the individual subject. That vision of contract, and that imagination of the subject, in turn govern the way Americans think about contract up to today. This formulation raises two different kinds of questions: first, what is the content of this imagined subject? Second, how does the process of imagining the individual subject take place in the contractual arena? The calculating subject is the individual with market consciousness, for whom most things can be reduced to market goods and their ultimate and ultimately abstracted measure, money. Writing at the turn of the twentieth century, Georg Simmel remarked that one could “characterize the intellectual functions that are used at present in coping with the world and in regulating both individual and social relations as calculative functions.”3 For Simmel, money is both the key to the process of becoming calculable, and the ultimate example of the kind of abstraction that cleanses objects of character. Importantly, the abstract form that represents the value of objects eventually “reflects upon the objects themselves.”: If it is true that the art of a period gradually determines the way we look at nature, and if the artist’s spontaneous and subjective abstraction from reality forms the apparently immediate sensuous picture of nature in our consciousness, then so too 1 Harold Bloom, Shakespeare: The Invention of the Human 4-7; 12-17 (1998). 2 Two of the most provocative and enlightening accounts of these processes are Max Weber, The Protestant Ethic and the Spirit of Capitalism (Talcott Parsons trans., 3d ed. 1985) and Albert O. Hirschman, The Passions and the Interests (1977). 3 Georg Simmel, The Philosophy of Money 444 (Tom Bottomore & David Frisby trans., David Frisby ed., 2d ed. 1990) (1900). 53 will the superstructure of money relations erected above qualitative reality determine much more radically the inner image of reality according to its forms.4 The system of exchange prevalent in a developed money economy encourages recurring descriptions of objects in terms of their money value, and that in turn leads to their appreciation or understanding primarily as holders of such value, fungible in all senses. Money describes value, and objects increasingly correspond to its rationalization, precision, and calculation. Contract at the turn of the century takes part in this same economy of generating calculability. The imagined individual of theoretical contract discourse begins as an abstraction describing the real world persons, natural and corporate, who engage in contractual activity. But this image does not stop at description. Instead, it transforms the objects it purports to describe. The “inner image of reality” is transformed as it sheds the characteristics of communal connection, passion, anxiety, beneficence, trust, in favor of precision and cold calculation. Perhaps the leading contemporary ideologue of free contract summed up this vision: “[I]n the United States more than anywhere else, the social structure is based on contract, and status is of the least importance. Contract, however, is rational – even rationalistic. It is also realistic, cold, and matter-of-fact…In a state based on contract sentiment is out of place in any public or common affairs.” The individual in such a state is an “isolated man,” independent and sovereign; he has sloughed off ties to family, leaving himself relations that are “open and free, but…also loose.” His personal independence has led him to the point where he has only a minimal need for government, no need of labor unions, and indeed he has reached “the point where personal liberty supplants the associative principle.”5 Classical contract theory took its cues from such a vision of the individual, first by positing this idealization as a working assumption and then reinforcing the image by relying on it as a justification for particular rules. But the idealized image was never an accurate description; indeed, acknowledged as an abstraction, it never needed aspire to accuracy. The image constructed by contract discourse at once denied interdependence and highlighted autonomy. One source of interdependence denied by contract discourse was the world of relational pairs, whose incidences were determined by law. Relational pairs – master-servant; landlord-tenant; bailor-bailee; principal-agent; even husband-wife – appeared to contract theorists as tainted by the concept of status, and indeed by a world where interdependence was dangerously close to dependence and subservience. With the institutions of slavery and coverture still fresh in their collective legal consciousness, the 4 Id. at 445. 5 William Graham Sumner, What Social Classes Owe to Each Other 25; 39; 96 (photo. reprint 1972) (New York, Harper & Brothers 1883). See also Amy Dru Stanley, From Bondage to Contract 1-4 (1998). 54 associations of classical theorists between relational pairs and dependence was understandable. And so, classical theorists developed a general theory of contract that in fact limited the scope of the contract idea. Labor and employment and bailment and marriage and a host of other relationships would be pushed out of what antebellum legal scholars had imagined as the realm of contract. More importantly for our purposes here, the image of the contracting individual changed the taken-for-granted background of contract discourse. For Parsons, writing at mid-century, contract ranged so broadly as to encompass even the duties of care between parent and infant. Such contractual obligation is implied by the cares of the past, which have perpetuated society from generation to generation; by that absolute necessity which makes the performance of these duties the condition of the preservation of human life; and by the implied obligation on the part of the unconscious object of this care, that when, by its means, they shall have grown into strength, and age has brought weakness upon those to whom they are thus indebted, they will acknowledge and repay the debt.6 Contract was “coordinate and commensurate with duty;” it was animated by “common principles which all are supposed to understand and acknowledge;” it connected all members of society in “the web and woof of actual life.”7 The distance between this antebellum individual subject and classical theory’s “isolated man” is great indeed, not only at the level of imagery, but also at the level of legal rules. Could we even imagine a greater divide than that between Parsons’s discussion of the obligation implied by the cares of the past and the steadfast statement of classical theorists that past consideration is no consideration? But the image of interdependence rooted in the past was only half the problem for classical theory. Just as threatening was a new type of interdependence looming in the not so distant future in the shape of corporate capitalism and most pointedly in its managerial organization of work. The turn of the twentieth century saw a rise in economic concentration, and with it a limitation of “ruinous competition” and an accelerated shift in employment patterns: more and more Americans worked for a small number of (giant) corporations. And the workplace was increasingly managed not by skilled workers themselves serving as shop foremen with wide discretion over work practices, but rather by an army of management engineers, equipped with a scientific technique explicitly designed to rationalize the workplace.8 6 1 Theophilus Parsons, The Law of Contracts 3–4 (1st ed., Boston, Little, Brown & Co. 1853). 7 Id. at 4. 8 See David Montgomery, The Fall of the House of Labor: The Workplace, the State, and American Labor Activism, 1865-1925, pp. 214-56 (1987); Naomi R. Lamoreaux, The Great Merger Movement in American Business, 1895-1904, pp. 1-13 (1985); Alfred D. Chandler, Jr., The Visible Hand: The Managerial Revolution in American Business 411-14; 484-93 (1977); John Fabian Witt, The Accidental Republic: Crippled Workingmen, Destitute Widows, and the Remaking of American Law 103-09 (2004); James 55 Livingston, Origins of the Federal Reserve System: Money, Class, and Corporate Capitalism, 1890-1913, pp. 55-57 (1986). Two aspects of this transformation bear emphasis. First, economic concentration under the corporate form had wide ranging cultural effects. It changed not only business practices, but also people’s perceptions of the shape of the market, the social body and its elements. Critics of economic concentration as well as its most ardent proponents were joined in understanding the rise of the corporation as entailing the decline of entrepreneurial capitalism and with it, the decline of the freeholder or small producer as the model of the modern subject. Journalist and cultural critic Walter Lippmann, for example, claimed that corporate concentration was “sucking the life out of private property,” and that theories of autonomous personality based on older notions of property would have to be reexamined if not discarded altogether. John D. Rockefeller understood the significance of the new corporate order in even simpler terms: “The day of combination is here to stay. Individualism is gone, never to return.”9 Second, just as the number of people working in large industrial concerns was mushrooming, scientific management was cutting away at the individuality and the autonomy of the worker. Frederick Winslow Taylor, one of the founders of scientific workplace management, claimed that scientific management involved “a great mental revolution,” a revolution geared perhaps more towards managers than workers. With actual production processes broken down to the minutest details of physical movement, workers often felt like they were being reduced to parts in a machine, and new managers were encouraged to view laborers instrumentally. While some would rail against the mechanization of the worker’s body as others would hail the advent of new levels of cooperation, one thing was clear: the decline of the individual. As Taylor testified before Congress in 1912, the new scientific management would be “entirely impossible with the independent individualism which characterizes the old type of management.”10 Against this background, the legal arena was one more locus of cultural engagement over the shape of the individual. As John Witt has recently shown, one of the key inroads that scientific management would make in transforming traditional individualism was through workmen’s compensation programs. These programs enhanced managerial responsibility and with it managerial control, and their working principle was that workplace accidents and consequently employees had to be managed in the aggregate, rather than as individuals. Lawyers were quick to understand that sanctioning workmen’s compensation programs would erode at least the legal image of individualism and personal responsibility embedded in tort law. By the mid 1910’s, however, the battle over 9 Walter Lippmann, Drift and Mastery: An Attempt to Diagnose the Current Unrest 45 (William E. Leuchtenburg ed., 1961) (1914); Rockefeller quoted in Alan Trachtenberg, The Incorporation of America: Culture and Society in the Gilded Age 86 (1982). See also James Livingston, Pragmatism and the Political Economy of Cultural Revolution, 1850-1940, pp. 66-77 (1994). 10 Frederick Winslow Taylor, “Taylor’s Testimony Before the Special House Committee,” in Scientific Management 30-31; 76 (1947). See also Livingston, Pragmatism and Cultural Revolution, 89-95. 56 workmen’s compensation had been fought, and the legitimacy of workmen’s compensation statutes had been established.11 Classical contract theory was wary of interdependence in both these forms, but it reached out both to the past and the future in order to build an image of the contracting individual. The imagined individual subject of classical theory was in part an allusion to the republican tradition. This was the individual imagined as self-possessed property holder, sole entrepreneur, responsible and independent. Indeed, this aspect of the contracting subject is figured quite precisely in what historians refer to as free labor ideology.12 The actual existence or prominence of such a contracting subject is secondary; the figure of such a subject was clearly salient, its image forming a clear point of identification in building a theory of contract. The other aspect of classical theory’s imagined individual was forward looking, embodying a spirit of calculative rationality difficult to imagine prior to the classical period. Interestingly, the spirit of calculation is closely analogous to that evinced in scientific management itself. The cardinal feature of the calculative ideal is the ability to make decisions on the basis of functional equivalents, which requires that the decision-making agent be able make accurate and precise comparisons among the elements of exchange. The structurally necessary condition for such calculation, as the founders of modern sociology have famously shown, is a developed money economy. But while money is a necessary condition, by itself it is not sufficient. In order for calculation to take hold, market actors must be able to view exchanges abstractly, paring away extraneous features that threaten to cloud the essence of exchanging values. In its purest form, calculation entails a leveling of all goods, services, assets, or utilities potentially available to an individual. For the calculating attitude to be complete, all qualitative differences are erased, and all things may be compared as values, endlessly interchangeable for one another.13 Classical contract assumed contractors who could calculate in this abstract manner, not as a matter of description, but as a matter of theory. The assumption of calculation is encapsulated in the theory of consideration, which at once strips the past of meaning (past consideration is no consideration) and at the same time assumes equivalence while denying the law’s capacity for examining consideration’s adequacy. The refusal to examine the adequacy of consideration is a statement of contract law’s confidence that contracting parties always calculate and trade on the basis of constitutively equivalent values. What 11 See Witt, Accidental Republic, 109-22; 171-86. 12 See, e.g., Christopher L. Tomlins, Law, Labor, and Ideology in the Early American Republic 259-92 (1993); Robert J. Steinfeld, The Invention of Free Labor 147-56 (1991); Stanley, From Bondage to Contract, 1-10. 13 See Simmel, Philosophy of Money, 443-46; 1 Max Weber, Economy and Society 80-94; 107-09 (Guenther Roth & Claus Wittich eds., 1978). 57 Ian Macneil has called “presentiation” or the bringing of future value to a present exchange, is an additional aspect of contract’s commitment to the calculating attitude.14 Clearly, few human beings actually approach this calculative ideal. However, there is a contracting individual who more closely aspires to it: the corporation. The corporation, as disembodied individual subject, comes close to assuming the powers of abstraction and calculation that contract theory lays at its own foundations. The corporation ignores affective ties with impunity (and without pangs of conscience), indeed advancing as its virtue the seeking of profit for its shareholders. It can plausibly be characterized as single-minded. To adapt Karl Polanyi’s phrase, it subordinates society to the market.15 And thus, it is the corporation that becomes the model of contractual man. But if the corporation is the imagined individual of modern contract, and if, to turn a phrase on its head, contract would become the nexus of corporations, what place would autonomy hold in in the vision of contract? Would justifications of contract that rely on autonomy have a place in a world of contract based on the corporation as the contracting subject? To sum up: The abstracted ideal subject of classical contract teetered on a precarious perch between two different forms of interdependence, one based in the past; the other, in the future. The past was the interdependence of standardized relationships, of local communities, of a well regulated society; the future would be the interdependence of large scale industrialized society, of man in the organization. At the same time, the idealized subject reached out to two different images of independence and autonomy, one culled from the past and one in the process of becoming. From the past came the republican image of the self-possessed individual, the product of free labor ideology; from the future, the ultra-rational calculator. The work of creating the individual subject in contract discourse may then be seen as double: on the one hand, a distancing from past and future (in short, from history); on the other, an appropriation of idealized elements of that same history. The case-law is not the advancement of a position in these debates, but rather a locus of cultural conflict. It exhibits a working through, a negotiation, an endless series of reformulations of possibilities of the position of the subject, together working toward a mediation of conflicting visions. I have concentrated on three realms in which the calculating subject was conjured and reinforced by the classical revolution in the conception of contract. By banishing gift promises from the kingdom of the enforceable, contract theory helped purge the complex entanglements of the past. Rationalizing consideration doctrine meant limiting the ways in which obligations based on family and friendship, rather than calculable economic 14 “Presentiation is a way of looking at things in which a person perceives the effect of the future on the present… [T]he presentiation of a transaction involves restricting its expected future effects to those defined in the present, i.e., at the inception of the transaction.” Ian R. Macneil, “Contracts: Adjustment of Long-Term Economic Relations Under Classical, Neoclassical, and Relational Contract Law,” 72 Nw. U. L. Rev. 854, 863 (1978). See generally Ian R. Macneil, The New Social Contract (1980). 15 See Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation 68-76 (1944). 58 interaction, could be recognized and integrated into legal duties. By internalizing the logic of speculation and insurance, contract provided for the taming of an uncertain present. Statistical calculation, based on the law of large numbers, of the chances of rise and fall in value or of life and death, fed the illusion of a world susceptible to scientific management. Finally, by positing the contracting parties as the sole source of obligations, a formal vision of contract put the individual in control of a future he may never have considered. So how does this calculating subject become the individual of contract? As should be clear, it is not a question of a particular doctrinal rule being adopted or rejected. No rule of contract law could establish the image of the autonomous individual as the subject of contract. In that sense, there is no position within the discourse upon which the shape of the individual turns. This is because subjects are created by discourse itself, and not by a position within that discourse. It is not the articulation of any particular argument in the debates over contract rules that creates the individual, but rather the framework of the debate itself. And the framework, by its very ubiquity, becomes almost unseen, nearly invisible. In this sense, imagining the individual is an ideological project: the “individual” is a role in the drama of private ordering. That role is created by the balance of positions in a discourse, a discourse whose persuasive force hinges on its ability to veil its own constitutive power. The work of the classical revolution in contract was to establish a new framework for the debate of contractual questions. This framework in turn, at once relied on and established a new contractual subject: autonomous, calculating, and calculable. The success of the framework lay in establishing the parameters for argumentation. The framework was formal, then, in just the sense that formality is considered in art, as Bloom and Simmel both tell us. It establishes the rules of relevance, the criteria of visibility. Validity of the contractual relation turns, within the new framework, on bargains that make up economic exchange. Personal loyalties, moral obligations, and familial connections are expunged. The fear of damnation is submerged into the mechanics of a rational coping with risk. The indeterminacy of the future is reduced to an all-encompassing exchange of entitlement at the moment of contract formation. We become interested only in the question of the presence of a formal bargain. Finally, we translate the idea of the formal bargain into an undertaking that can only be adopted by a willing free agent, and we label the undertaking a promise. Thus, with contractual obligation having been engulfed by the classical framework, it is widely accepted, within legal academia and outside it, that contract law is about enforcing promises.16 That acceptance is the first measure of the success of the classical revolution in contract thinking. More than positing a new definition of contract, the 16 One clear indication stems from definitions: Pollock’s definition discussed at length in chapter one became the basis for the most traditional and widely accepted American definitions of contract. See Restatement of Contracts § 1 (1932) (“A contract is a promise or a set of promises for the breach of which the law gives a remedy, or the performance of which the law in some way recognizes as a duty.”); Restatement (Second) of Contracts § 1 (1981) (same); 1 Samuel Williston, The Law of Contracts § 1 (1st ed. 1920) (“A contract is a promise, or set of promises, to which the law attaches legal obligation.”). 59 classical revolution was so sweeping as to generate a reinterpretation of the history of contract.17 Based on an understanding instilled in every student of contract since the late nineteenth century, we have all been trained to read the history of contract backwards, as the often misunderstood but finally perfected art of enforcing promises. It has become nearly impossible to read the history of contract without initially conceiving of contract as an issue of enforcing promises, whence the necessity of dividing promises into the enforceable and unenforceable kinds. In this sense, the classical thinkers established a metaphysics of contract, reasoning that earlier conceptions of contract were primitive, unperfected, incomplete, but that the real basis of contract was eternal. My claim in this book has not been that all such views are based on a misunderstanding. Indeed, as much as it is a mode of economic regulation, contract is a conception, an intellectual construct: it is primarily what people believe it to be. The popular belief is not wrong. But there may be better beliefs available, if someone has the impulse to look. This book does not seek to establish an alternative metaphysics of contract. It does, however, suggest that it would be more useful to think about contract as a framework for cooperation, the central element of which is the set of relationships whose terms are potentially regulated by the state.18 This conception is both a better account of judicial practice, and a way to improve on that practice by ridding it of those commitments that have the effect of limiting contract’s fairness-promoting, or redistributive potential.19 Contract is a conception, and thus, it may be reconceived, or reimagined. A prod to our imagination, and a reminder that the current conception is neither timeless nor transcendent, is the fact that only a hundred and fifty years ago, contract was conceived of quite differently. The transformation of contract is tied to complex economic and social changes, but its technical doctrinal manifestation is visible in the work of classical theorists. My claim here has been that what classical contract theory undertook piecemeal, it achieved wholesale. The rhetorical framework that made enforcing promises into the centerpiece of contract retains its power today, and perhaps is the major factor limiting contract’s transformative potential. 17 Grant Gilmore famously commented that classical scholars, primary among them Holmes, Langdell, and Williston, had to perform “major surgery” on the cases in order to arrive at their general theory of contract, and he offered competing readings of several leading cases to justify his viewpoint. See Grant Gilmore, The Death of Contract 24 (2d ed. 1995). Gilmore’s history and theory have become objects of routine disparagement, but Gilmore’s first calling was literary criticism, and his insights into the Nietzschean mode by which the classical interpretation of contract became dominant, and its violence in ousting previously popular interpretations of contract, remain salient. By subjecting the cases to a rereading, and by emphasizing how controversial the classical interpretations and classifications of the cases were when they appeared, Gilmore reminds us of the creative power of classical theorizing. 18 One of the important parts of such a view of contract would be some account of how potential regulation works, not only when the potential is exercised, but also when it remains in the shadows, since the refusal of the state to exercise power over a given relationship allows whoever wields power within the relationship to violate the relationship’s norms with impunity. 19 At least one scholar has made the case that the best reading of the history of contract should place the fairness of distribution at its center, while retaining the focus on promise enforcement. See James Gordley, “Enforcing Promises,” 83 Cal. L. Rev. 547, 548 (1995).

    Unlike many forms of casino gambling, in parimutuel betting the gambler bets against other gamblers, not the house. The science of determining the outcome of a race is called handicapping It is possible for a skilled player to win money in the long run at this type of gambling, but overcoming the deficit produced by taxes, the facility's take, and the breakage is difficult to accomplish and few people are successful at it. Parimutuel betting (from the French language: pari mutuel, mutual betting) is a betting system in which all bets of a particular type are placed together in a pool; taxes and a house take are removed, and payoff odds are calculated by sharing the pool among all placed bets. The parimutuel system is used in gambling on horse racing, greyhound racing, jai alai, and all sporting events of relatively short duration in which participants finish in a ranked order. A modified parimutuel system is also used in some lottery games. Parimutuel betting differs from fixed odds betting in that the final payout is not determined until the pool is closed – in fixed odds betting, the payout is agreed at the time the bet is sold. different types of bets, in which case each type of bet has its own pool. box – a box can be placed around exotic betting types such as exacta, trifecta or superfecta bets. This places a bet for all combinations of the numbers in the box. A trifecta box with 3 numbers has 6 possible combinations and costs 6 times the betting base amount. A trifecta box with 5 numbers has 120 possible combinations and costs 120 times the betting base amount. In France, a box gives only the ordered permutations going along an ordered list of numbers such that a trifecta box with 6 numbers would cost 20 times the base amount http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spread_betting Spread betting is a term used to describe various types of wagering on the outcome of an event, where the pay-off is based on the precision of the wager, rather than a simple binary outcome (win or loss). A bet is made against a 'spread' (or index), on whether the outcome will be above or below the spread. The general purpose of the spread is to create an active market for both sides of a wager, even if, a priori, the expected outcome of the event may be tilted in favour of one side or the other Spread betting was invented by Charles K. McNeil, a math teacher from Connecticut who became a bookmaker in Chicago in the 1940s His students included John F. Kennedy. He was also a securities analyst in Chicago. In 2004 Cantor Fitzgerald launched the spread betting exchange Cantor Spreadfair which matches up spread bettors opposing views and allows them to bet with each other. This removal of the faceless bookmaker allows clients to bet at the spread size and monetary level that they request, and in turn this creates tighter spread magin which in turn allows users to lose less and win more than with the non exchange spread betting firms. Spreads in the financial industry By far the largest part of the official market in the UK concerns financial instruments; the leading spread betting companies (IG Index/IGMarkets, City Index, Cantor Index, Financial Spreads, CMC being amongst them) either make all their revenues from financial markets or have sports operations dwarfed by the financial side. For example, in the figures for the second half of 2006, the income derived from financial spread betting at IG Group, the largest of the companies, was £29.3m, compared to £3.8m in sports. Financial spread betting in the United Kingdom closely resembles the futures and options markets, with the major differences consisting in (a) the fact that the 'charge' occurs through a wider bid-offer spread and (b) the different tax status of spread-betting compared to exchange instruments (c) the flexibility of spread betting, which, not limited to exchange hours or definitions, can create new instruments relatively easily (e.g. individual stock futures), trade 24-hours, guaranteed stop losses and (d) the trading being off-exchange, with the contract existing directly between the market-making company and the client, rather than exchange-cleared. Unlike fixed odds betting the amount won or lost can be very large, as there is no single stake to limit the maximum losses. However, it is usually possible to place a "stop loss" with the bookmaker, automatically closing the bet if the value of the spread moves against the better by a specified amount. A betting exchange is a peer-to-peer gambling website acting as a broker between parties for the placement of bets. The concept is similar to that of a stock exchange or a futures exchange, where in this case the commodity being traded is a bet, rather than a stock or futures contract The concept was first brought to the public by the UK website Flutter.com in May 2000 in person-to-person betting form, followed closely by UK-based Betfair in June 2000. Betfair embraced a pure exchange model - one Flutter later adopted and even improved upon in places - but first-mover advantage proved decisive for Betfair. Though Flutter managed to climb to a reported 30% market share, Flutter's backers were content to broker a merger which left Betfair the dominant partner by a reported ratio of 84:16. Post merger, Flutter's customers were transferred to Betfair's system, which was later upgraded to embrace some of Flutter's functionality. Betfair went from strength to strength and controls a reported 90% of global exchange activity today Gamblers whose betting activities have traditionally been restricted by bookmakers (normally for winning too much money) have found these sites a boon since they are now able to place bets of a size unrestricted by the exchange. Exchanges are not suited to unrestricted multiple parlay betting Exchanges also offer the opportunity to lay, which is to bet that a selection will lose. This is the position bookmakers have traditionally taken when offering a bet to somebody to back that the outcome will win. As every bet transacted requires a backer and a layer, and the betting exchange is not a party to the bets transacted on it, Laying one horse in a race is just the same as backing all of the other horses to win. The fact gamblers can now lay outcomes on the exchanges has resulted in criticism from traditional bookmakers In the summer of 2004, Betfair provided data to investigators, including the City of London Police which on September 1 lead to 16 arrests on charges related to race fixing. Among those arrested was champion jockey Kieren Fallon, whose case remains before the courts. The advent of the betting exchange has given rise to a new type of gambler - the trader. Traders are generally not concerned with the final outcome of an event, but instead bet on both sides of a proposition prior to the start of the event. If he can back the proposition at longer odds than he lays he will make a profit. Almost all betting exchanges charge commission on net winnings only, which suits the trader's high turnover, low profit strategy. The profit or loss for a trader will typically be no more than 10% of the total amount of his combined back and lay stakes - so to make meaningful amounts of money a trader needs to commit a relatively large amount of capital. The parimutuel system was invented by Parisian perfume maker Joseph Oller in 1865 when asked by a bookmaker friend to devise a fair system for bettors which guarantees a fixed profit for the bookmaker.
    The large amount of calculation involved in this system led to the invention of a specialized mechanical calculating machine known as a totalisator, "automatic totalisator" or "tote board".
    The first was installed at Ellerslie Racecourse, Auckland, New Zealand in 1913; U.S. introduction was 1933 at Arlington Park near Chicago IL.

    Parimutuel gambling is frequently state-regulated, and offered in many places where gambling is otherwise illegal.
    Parimutuel gambling is often also offered at "off track" facilities, where players may bet on the events without actually being present to observe them in person.

    With introduction of Internet gambling has come "rebate shops".
    These off-shore betting shops in fact return some percentage of every bet made to the bettor. They are in effect reducing their take from 15-18% to as little as 1 or 2%, still ensuring a profit as they operate with minimal overhead.
    Rebate shops allow skilled horse players to make a steady income.

    The recent WTO decision against the United States of America by the small island nation of Antigua opens the possibility for offshore horse betting groups to compete legally with parimutuel betting groups.

    Weighing up the options at Lloyd's http://www.elbornes.com/index.php?section=articles¶m=8 The Moral Hazard Myth August 29, 2005 Dept.  of Public Policy http://www.gladwell.com/2005/2005_08_29_a_hazard.html New Yorker In the late nineteen-seventies, the Rand Corporation did an extensive study on the question, randomly assigning families to health plans with co-payment levels at zero per cent, twenty-five per cent, fifty per cent, or ninety-five per cent, up to six thousand dollars.  As you might expect, the more that people were asked to chip in for their health care the less care they used.  The problem was that they cut back equally on both frivolous care and useful care.
    "Because the costs are hidden, there is an illusion that the benefits cost nothing"
    … In a moral point of view, the superiority of frugality over luxury is indisputable. It is consoling to think that it is so in political economy.  
    Bastiat, 1850   "Ce qu'on voit et ce qu'on ne voit pas"
    (That which is seen and that which is unseen)
    In the movie The Fifth Element, the parable of the broken window is retold (without recognizing the fallacy) by Zorg (Gary Oldman) as a way to justify that his self-centered actions as an economic superpower benefit society as a whole.
    Some would say that this interprets the proverbial "Broken Window" as a positive, and that some form of Genuine Progress Indicator would be a more realistic indicator of economic health. The credit default swaps market is growing at a rapid pace. Credit default swaps are derivative instruments based on underlying fixed income securities such as corporate and government bonds. Swaps are privately negotiated contracts traded on over-the-counter markets.

    The buyer of a credit default swap pays a premium to the seller to assume the risk of the issuer of the underlying security defaulting on the coupon or interest payment. Credit default swaps are used for hedging as they enable investors to insure their bond holdings against the risk of default. They are also traded for investment purposes.

    Credit default swaps traders look for sophisticated information and analysis tools to help them perform effectively. They need fast and reliable credit default swap pricing data and easy-to-use search functionality. They also require tools that enable them to perform a variety of analyses from calculating swap values to comparing swap prices and spreads against those of other instruments.
    Credit default swap traders have to monitor the fixed income markets and the factors that could cause debt issuers to default because credit default swap prices are linked to those of their underlying instruments and are affected by the market’s view of default probability.

    And if traders are dealing in default swaps based on corporate bonds, they need to track the equity markets as well. So they need access to a wide range of information, in addition to derivatives data, to analyse credit.
    This range of information includes bond pricing; bond terms and conditions; information on issuers with details of their credit ratings, capital structure and issued debt; stock performance; company fundamental data; and brokers’ estimates.
    Comprehensive news coverage of the markets and the events that drive them is also essential.

    Reuters premium cross-asset information products include a credit default swaps service tailored to meet the needs of financial professionals trading in the fast-growing credit derivatives market. Reuters offers integrated access to news, market data, analysis and instant messaging tools.
    Reuters provides extensive credit default swap pricing data, information on more than 1.9 million debt instruments, and coverage of more than 12,000 companies. Reuters global network of journalists includes 500 specialists who report on the issues affecting the credit derivatives, fixed income and equity markets. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bataan_Nuclear_Power_Plant Moral hazard can also refer to questionable lending practices by creditors. In the context of international debt, Jubilee USA argues that the IMF and other international creditors create a "moral hazard" when they "lend irresponsibly in the full knowledge that they will not be held accountable for pushing bad loans. Instead, impoverished countries bear all consequences of ill-advised loans and their repayment." [3] The concept of moral hazard is also closely linked with the concept of odious debt. One example of a moral hazard in lending is the Bataan Nuclear Power Plant in the Philippines: "A good example of moral hazard is a nuclear power station built by former Philippine president Marcos that was constructed on an earthquake fault line in the province of Bataan in the Philippines. EXIM, a U.S. government backed Export Credit Agency, began negotiations with the Filipino government about a nuclear power plant that would be built by Westinghouse. Westinghouse won the contract by bidding $500 million. EXIM guaranteed the loan, ensuring that no matter the result, Westinghouse would be paid, removing any risk for Westinghouse. The actual project cost was $2.3 billion. Westinghouse was paid even though the plant could never go on-line as it was built on an earthquake fault line. Marcos, a known dictator, received $80 million commission from Westinghouse on the plant that he authorized, but did not pay for. The Filipino people pay this debt at a rate of $170,000 a day in interest and will continue to do so until 2018, even though they have not received even a single watt of energy. This project alone accounts for more than 5% of the country’s total debt." [4] Note, this example applies equally to EXIM, Westinghouse and Marcos since all parties knew or should have known that the plant would not become operational. The ultimate lender/insurer of this project is the Filipino people. Debt for Sale: A Social History of the Credit Trap Brett Williams 7.22.04 http://www.amazon.com/Debt-Sale-Social-History-Credit/dp/0812238176/ Should Policies Nudge People To Make Certain Choices? 5.25.07 http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB117977357721809835.html Wall St Journal Mario J. Rizzo is an associate professor of economics at New York University. He is the director of the Program on the Foundations of the Market Economy and an advisor to the NYU Journal of Law and Liberty. He is the co-author of "The Economics of Time and Ignorance" and the author of many articles in law journals. He is associated with the Institute for Humane Studies and the Mercatus Institute at George Mason University. He has also been a visiting professor of economics at George Mason University. Most of his research in paternalism has been jointly undertaken with Glen Whitman of California State University, Northridge. * * * Richard H. Thaler is the Ralph and Dorothy Keller Distinguished Service Professor of Economics and Behavioral Science at the University of Chicago's Graduate School of Business, where he directs the Center for Decision Research. He is also a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research, co-directing the behavioral economics project there. Professor Thaler's research lies in the gap between psychology and economics and he has specialized in the study of decisions surrounding saving and investing. His books include "The Winner's Curse," and "Quasi Rational Economics." He also writes a series of articles in the Journal of Economics Perspectives under the heading "Anomalies." He is now working on a book on libertarian paternalism with Cass Sunstein. The tentative title is "Nudge." Driven by research in behavioral economics that suggests people don't always act in their own best interests, some economists are arguing for new policies that would challenge traditional "hard" tools for changing behavior, such as sin taxes and outright bans. Such policies would often rely on default options that nudge, steer and coax -- but don't force -- individuals to make certain choices. Is this sensible governance? The Online Journal asked Mario Rizzo, a professor of economics at New York University and director of NYU's Program on the Foundations of the Market Economy, and Richard Thaler, professor of economics and behavioral science at the University of Chicago's Graduate School of Business, to hash it out. Richard Thaler writes: Behavioral economics is founded on the unremarkable observation that human beings are imperfect decision makers. They have limited information-processing abilities, willpower, memory and attention. As a result, they make predictable errors by their own lights. Many Americans think of themselves as overweight; most 401(k) participants think they are saving too little; and nearly everyone thinks of himself as forgetful. In light of human limitations, Cass Sunstein and I argue for policies that we call libertarian paternalism. Although the phrase sounds like an oxymoron, we contend that it is often possible to design policies, in both the public and private sector, that make people better off -- as judged by themselves -- without coercion. We oppose bans; instead, we favor nudges. Consider two examples, both designed to increase savings. The first is to enroll people, automatically, into savings plans -- while allowing them to opt out. The second is the Save More Tomorrow plan, which allows employees to commit themselves now to increasing their savings rates later, when they get raises. Both approaches have been remarkably successful. Well-chosen default rules are examples of helpful "choice architecture." Since it is often impossible for private and public institutions to avoid picking some option as the default, why not pick one that is helpful? Mario Rizzo writes: The decisions of individuals may be imperfect but can the legal paternalist successfully steer them toward better decisions? I say legal paternalist because Cass Sunstein and Richard Thaler clearly do not object to using coercion at the level of framing decisions. For example, they seem to approve of employers' being legally required to provide automatic 401(k) enrollment unless the employee opts out. But they also approve of mandatory cooling-off periods for consumer purchases; these cooling-off periods absolutely prevent individuals from concluding immediate exchanges even at lower prices. It is a good thing to help people make better decisions. But law requires us to go beyond intention. What is the appropriate standard for better decisions? Thaler and Sunstein say it's what people would do if they had "complete information, unlimited cognitive abilities, and no lack of willpower." This is a very ambitious standard that could tax the abilities of even well-meaning policymakers. Can we discover "true" preferences through individuals' statements that they are too fat and save too little? Talk is cheap. These could be expressions of mere desire, not a real willingness to make trade-offs between values. We all want to have more savings and more consumption, too. Moreover, the public sector is not governed by science or even by behavioral economists, but by ambitious people with limited cognitive abilities, lack of willpower, and faulty memories, not to mention expanding waistlines. Whom should we trust more: individuals who face the costs and benefits of their own choices, or politicians and bureaucrats who do not? * * * Richard Thaler writes: It is both wrong and misleading to characterize libertarian paternalism as primarily an activity of governments. Automatic enrollment and Save More Tomorrow have been adopted in thousands of companies with no governmental involvement. When the government does get involved, we prefer nudges to requirements. A good example is the 2006 Pension Protection Act. Under that law, firms that offer to at least partially match their employees' contributions, enroll their employees automatically, and automatically escalate their contribution rates are given a waiver from some burdensome paperwork. No coercion is involved. We agree that it can be difficult to determine people's true preferences. And it is an axiom of behavioral economics that intentions do not always -- or even usually -- lead to action. But statements of good intention can signal a desire for help in following through. Many employees have voluntarily signed up for the Save More Tomorrow program, and very few subsequently quit. We do not think that many people would sign up for "Smoke More Tomorrow," or "Eat More French Fries Tomorrow." We agree that government workers are human. We are also happy to go on the record stipulating that politicians are boundedly rational. Some are also dishonest. Some are even fat. However, what are the implications of these obvious facts? Do we want to charge our political leaders with the task of making people worse off? Often nudges are inevitable. Where they aren't, we agree that unless there is a good showing of need, government might do best to stand aside. * * * Mario Rizzo writes: Is New Paternalism primarily about advising private individuals and firms? If so, why use a political term -- libertarian -- to identify it? It's true, some firms have adopted automatic 401(k) enrollment policies -- while fewer have adopted the Save More Tomorrow program. The market allows for this diversity while eliminating ineffective or inappropriate plans. No libertarian I know of has ever opposed privately adopted options. If this is all Thaler is saying, what's new? But Thaler and Sunstein do go beyond this. Elsewhere, they've argued for costly contractual provisions like vacation time, allowing only termination for cause, non-waivable cooling-off periods, maximum 40-hour work weeks, and -- presumably -- the legal requirement of automatic savings plan enrollment, if not enough firms voluntarily adopt it. All this is said to be consistent with "libertarian paternalism." Thaler says that those automatically enrolled in 401(k)s haven't quit, so they must be benefiting. This is an odd claim for a behavioral economist. Why would failure to change indicate a benefit? When the default is non-enrollment, Thaler says that individuals tend to stay in it because they're irrationally biased toward keeping the status quo. The mistakes of bureaucrats, politicians and voters aren't as likely to be corrected by individual or social processes as errors made in the private sphere. Why? Because bureaucrats and politicians don't care about private welfare as much as individuals do and voters don't have much incentive to become informed. So people -- who make imperfect decisions -- tend to do less harm if they "nudge" only themselves and not others through policy choices. * * * Richard Thaler writes: I am glad Mario agrees with our private initiatives on retirement savings in which firms have nudged rather than required employees to take certain beneficial actions. Surveys of employers suggest that a majority will be offering automatic features by next year, a big step forward. Of course, the fact that few employees opt out is partly due to inertia, but most employees do get around to joining the plan under opt in, so the main gain from automatic enrollment is to get people to join sooner, something they appreciate. Mario's major complaints are with positions that we do not advocate, namely what he calls the "legal imposition of costly contractual presumptions." We have never suggested that any particular contractual form be imposed, including automatic enrollment. See my previous post. Instead we stress that when governments do write laws, especially those mandating -- rather than nudging -- some action, they should do so with an eye toward making people better off. We do admit to liking some mandated -- and thus non-libertarian -- cooling-off periods under certain circumstances, as when buyers are especially likely to have made decisions under undue selling pressure. Who amongst us has not bought something under pressure that he would like to undo the next morning? Mario's main misconception is that government can avoid nudging. It can't. The rules of the common law are legal rules that governments write. Whether governments are more or less corrupt than the private sector is an empirical question, and there are surely many examples of dumb or unethical behavior in both sectors. But this is beside the point. We favor better government, not more government. We urge both sectors to adopt libertarian paternalistic policies. * * * Mario Rizzo writes: I repeat: "Is New Paternalism primarily about advising private individuals and firms? If so, why use a political term -- libertarian -- to identify it?" It is simply a management-consulting philosophy. If a firm chooses a default option, it is by no means inevitable that it must choose on the basis of paternalistic criteria. Under purely voluntary conditions, it will choose so as to enhance the attractiveness of its compensation package, that is, according to the actual preferences of its employees. Its goal is to maximize profits. To anticipate what employees or consumers want is the market principle, not paternalism. I repeat: "If this is all Thaler is saying, what's new?" If automatic enrollment proves popular in the long run, then, at least most people must be aware of their procrastination bias -- assuming it exists -- and want to overcome it. The previously hostile legal environment had prevented employers from responding to this de-biasing preference. As to the more intrusive examples of paternalism mentioned in my previous post, Richard and Cass Sunstein have indeed argued that they are consistent with libertarian paternalism. Let the reader decide. The standard Richard advances that "when governments do write laws, especially those mandating -- rather than nudging -- some action, they should do so with an eye toward making people better off" may seem innocuous, but it is actually dangerous. This is because just about anything can slip by. (Satisfaction of informed preferences is an obscure criterion of "better off.") Such a standard could set in motion a slippery slope to much more intrusive interventions, especially in a world of boundedly rational individuals who tend to view the world in a narrow frame. It does not take corrupt public officials to go down this road. Self-interest and bounded rationality are quite enough. * * * Richard Thaler writes: Let's recapitulate. People make mistakes, so sometimes they can be helped. It is possible to help without coercion. That is libertarian paternalism. The concept can be and is used in both the public and private sectors. For example, in London, pedestrians from abroad are reminded by signs on the pavement to "look right" because their instincts from back home are to expect traffic to approach from the left. No one is forced to look right, but fewer pedestrians are hit by trucks. Another example comes from Sweden, which launched a partial privatization of their social security system in 2000. The plan was open to any fund, which meant that participants faced 456 options. There was also a very well-designed default fund -- using private managers selected by the government -- that offered global diversification at very low fees (16 basis points). By any standard, both ex ante and ex post, the participants who selected their own portfolio of funds did worse than those who took the default plan. The main mistake the government made in designing this plan was to discourage participants from choosing the default fund, perhaps thinking, as Mario does, that choosing for oneself is always the best approach. Mario thinks we are naïve about government. We think he is naïve about firms. Does he think that the companies that offered stock options to student loan officers to induce them to feature their loans had the "actual preferences" of the students at heart? Maximizing profits does not always mean maximizing the welfare of the customers. Finally Mario seems to have a phobia about slippery slopes. I guess he thinks that if governments start with signs that say "look right," the next thing you know we will have Prohibition coming back. By the same logic, we should worry that if libertarians succeed in eliminating rent control that we will be soon down the slippery slope toward anarchy. Slippery slope arguments should be avoided unless there is proof that the slope is greased. In our case, by insisting, as we do, on only libertarian paternalism, the slope runs into a brick wall before it even gets started. And besides, what is the alternative? Inept neglect? * * * Mario Rizzo writes: Libertarianism is a political philosophy that seeks to reduce the activities of the state to a very low level. It is very much about less government. Paternalism is a political or moral philosophy that seeks to override the actual or operative preferences of individuals for their own benefit, however defined, according to Donald VanDeVeer's 1986 book on the subject. When applied to the actions of government, paternalism cannot be libertarian. It can only be more or less intrusive. Does Richard wish to reduce his "libertarian paternalism" to the appropriate management of government-owned streets or other enterprises? In the London case, what people want is obvious: They don't want to get hit by cars. London is doing what entrepreneurs generally do: satisfying actual preferences. London is mimicking the market. In Sweden, the government actively discouraged people from relying on the default investment option. People probably interpreted this as meaning the default option was not very good. They succumbed to this unfortunate inference because they viewed the government as an authoritative investment adviser. Government provision of investment advice is not consistent with libertarianism. But if it does provide advice, is it paternalistic to provide it in such a way that people make reasonable inferences? If Vanguard provides good advice, is that paternalism? In each case, this is just satisfying actual preferences for advice. (Note that none of this requires reference to the idea of "true" or "informed" preferences about which so big a deal was made.) Richard wants to use the word "libertarian" to differentiate his paternalism from the traditional variants. Yet he uses the word in a fuzzy way. He wants to define libertarian along a continuous variable -- the cost of exercising the exit option. However, libertarianism, as every libertarian understands it, uses a bright-line test -- who imposes the cost? The authors of the concept of "libertarian paternalism" have said that clearly intrusive/coercive interventions are consistent with it. See my previous post. And they have also said, explicitly, that there is no sharp line between libertarian and non-libertarian paternalism. Thus, Richard cannot claim that his standard creates a bright-line rule that would help us resist the slippery slope. Christopher Moran cit. link to movie re Baring's rogue trader. Queen gives seal of approval to Moran's palace on Thames http://72.14.253.104/search?q=cache:IyTH8rkKNZwJ:findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4153/is_20050609/ai_n14660702+Lloyd%27s+Christopher+Moran&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=3&gl=us Evening Standard (London),  Jun 9, 2005   A MOMENT of satisfaction for financier Christopher Moran. Tonight Crosby Hall, his Tudor palace in Cheyne Walk, will host a reception attended by the Queen. The 15th century building is the venue for the 25th anniversary dinner of Co-operation Ireland, a charity which promotes peace on both sides of the border. The Queen is its UK patron. Since he bought Crosby Hall 17 years ago Moran has spent at least Pounds 50 million restoring it. Built in Bishopsgate between 1466 and 1475, the palace was moved to its present location near Battersea Bridge in 1908 after it had fallen into disrepair. Previous owners and occupiers include Sir Thomas More and Richard III. Moran, a former Lloyds broker and now chairman of the University College London Hospitals trust, has published a study on Tudor and Jacobean furniture and owns one of the most important collections. "The privilege of being able to do something like this is so onerous that you've got to do it precisely," Moran has said of restoring the palace. October 18, 2006 Party chairman admits purchase deal that escaped paying GBP 600 000 in tax http://bvi-grey-area.offshore-journals.com/category/politician-deals/ BVI Business Grey Area blog The allegations that the UK Conservative party had an illegal property deal to raise money secretly from a foreign source using a complex real estate transaction connected with its former London headquarters have already been described  previously. By means of this transaction, the party avoided stamp duty of more than GBP 600 000. Before the deal, the property had belonged to a BVI company Platinum Overseas Holdings Ltd. Now, new data regarding this matter has emerged. The Tory party chairman, Francis Maude, appears to be the senior figure authorising the Conservatives’ controversial deal in order to buy their former headquarters through an offshore company. Christopher Moran, a businessman, admitted that in 2005 he worked for the Tories to negotiate the deal. The party expects to sell the properties for more than GBP 30 million and to use a profit for funding the party’s election campaign. However, Moran emphasized that there had been nothing improper in the deal. In 2005, Moran approached the US financial institution Citigroup, which acted for foreign investors who owned the property’s freehold through a BVI-registered Platinum Overseas Holdings. Moran said he could not have known who controlled Platinum, and Citigroup had not disclosed the identities of the investors to him. To buy the freeholds, he had to buy the offshore company. In 1982 Moran was expelled by Lloyd’s of London insurance market for discreditable conduct, in 1986 he was censured by the Stock Exchange, and in 1992 he made a USD 2 million settlement after which he was accused of insider trading in New York. Liberal Democrats stick to the opinion that even if everything is legal, buying the offshore company id not the way political parties should behave. Camerlot confidential: The big money barons and brokers at the court of King Cameron While all eyes have been on Labour's loans for lordships scandal, it has been business as usual in the Tories' push for financial power and influence. Francis Elliott reports Published: 01 October 2006 http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/article1777825.ece IndePendent UK On Tuesday afternoon - while Tony Blair celebrated his final speech to conference as Labour Party leader - David Cameron was preparing to address a very different audience. The venue was the Dorchester Hotel in Mayfair, the dress code formal evening wear. Mr Cameron, who does his best to avoid black tie, made an exception for the 400 invited guests, who were waiting expectantly for him amid the cigar smoke and brandy balloons. But then this was an event attended by a high-rolling group of donors, and since some had paid £50,000 for the privilege of hearing the Tory leader speak, he wasn't about to disappoint them. Tony Blair's cash-for-peerages scandal has - for the most part - obscured the Tories' own funding arrangements behind the parade of Labour donors, officials and even peers who have marched in and out of police interviews. But Mr Cameron has been quietly overseeing a new fundraising operation that aims to fill the party's coffers ahead of the next general election. His aides deny flatly that there is anything secret about the elite donors' club that met on Tuesday night. They point out that both the club, named the Leader's Group, and its events are heavily advertised in mailshots to ordinary members. The Conservatives won't tell us who is a member but they do say that around 50 wealthy businessmen belong to the club, which helps to bring in around £2m a year once the costs of arranging the various events it hosts are deducted. Privately, Mr Cameron's aides argue that - far from being some sinister attempt to sell access to the leader for cash - it is actually a way of reducing and not increasing the influence of the rich over the Tory leadership. During its long years in opposition, the Conservative Party has became ever more dependent on a handful of wealthy businessmen who have stayed with the sinking ship. But with its finances perched on such a narrow base, the Tories were prey to accusations that a clutch of rich men held an unhealthy amount of clout over the leadership. Michael Ashcroft became a source of particular controversy under William Hague's leadership when he served as the party's treasurer. But he fell out spectacularly with a number of the party's dynastic figures, who suspected him of wielding undue influence. Despite being the Tories' biggest donor, Lord Ashcroft, who was ennobled by Mr Hague, infuriated Michael Howard when he gave around £2m to what amounted to a private campaign among marginal seats. Mr Cameron made Lord Ashcroft a deputy chairman and the peer still provides occasional trips in his private plane for frontbench Tories. (His jet flew Mr Cameron to Prague and back last March, for example.) But insiders say that a new class of donor - people who are loyal to Mr Cameron personally as well as politically - is gradually supplanting the old guard. The new breed is typified by Andrew Feldman, who met Mr Cameron at Oxford and remains a close friend. It was Mr Feldman who oversaw the fundraising during his leadership bid last year and it is Mr Feldman who organises the Leader's Group. Unlike many of Mr Cameron's inner circle, he is not an Old Etonian but went to school in Elstree and runs the family clothing firm, Jayroma. He had never held political office until he was made deputy treasurer and his remit is to broaden the party's funding base, as well as its electoral appeal. There is little that is stuffy or secretive about this new breed of donor. At Mr Feldman's recent 40th birthday party in an exclusive nightclub in South Kensington, the theme was "bling". Howard Leigh, who is managing director of Cavendish Corporate Finance and who helps to organise the Leader's Group, set the tone with what was described at the time as a "purple and zebra combo". He sported a dollar medallion, he said, because "I'm a senior Tory treasurer." Asked about the elite group, Mr Leigh said: "Perhaps £50,000 sounds like a lot of money but, for the people who give, it is a small part of their total wealth. The objective is to have no large donations." Beneath the Leader's Group is a host of less prestigious donor associations: the Two Thousand Club (entry fee £2,000), the Front Bench Club (entry fee £5,000) and the Renaissance Forum (for which donors are asked to part with £10,000 a year). Other key figures include Jonathan Green, who also flew Mr Cameron to and from Prague in his private jet when the leader revisited the Czech capital in June. Entering Mr Green's support on the register of MPs' interests, the Tory leader describes him as a "retired businessman from London" which, while accurate, omits the fact that, at 42, he has a £160m stake in Europe's largest hedge fund and is said to have property in Monaco. Mr Green is one of a number of nouveau hedge-fund plutocrats brought in as part of the new fundraising operation. Many of them are around the same age as Mr Cameron. Interestingly, Mr Green is also a backer of the City Academy programme, serving as a governor of Harefield Academy. It is expected that Mr Cameron will attend an event at the school in the near future. Another important City figure who, with Messrs Green and Feldman, backed Mr Cameron from the start is Michael Spencer, head of Intercapital. Mr Spencer flew the Tory leader to India for his recent visit, and is seen by some as likely to take over from Lord Marland as the party's treasurer. There is one significant point about the annual £50,000 fee for joining the Leader's Group: it will be the maximum allowed under Mr Cameron's proposals to the official review on party funding that is being overseen by Sir Hayden Phillips. Mr Feldman believes that donations greater than this would open the party to the same sort of allegations that have dogged Labour. But for some, the mere presence of the very rich around politicians raises uncomfortable questions in the wake of the cash-for-peerages scandal. Already, some of Mr Cameron's backers have been the subject of unflattering press attention. It has been pointed out, for example, that the property mogul Firoz Kassam, who gave £10,000 to Mr Cameron's leadership campaign, made some of his fortune providing accommodation to asylum seekers. Mr Kassam is also a former owner of Oxford United Football Club. Another property millionaire and backer of the Tory leader, Trevor Pears, recently forced two newspapers to carry corrections to reports on his business dealings. Then there is the lingering issue of the "secret lenders" - the group of wealthy individuals whom some believed to be resident abroad - who lent the party a total of around £5m. Mr Cameron over-ruled those advisers who urged him to name the lenders, preferring instead to pay them back and keep their names secret. The Independent on Sunday revealed that one of these figures was Christopher Moran, who was expelled from Lloyds for "discreditable conduct" in 1982. Far from being embarrassed about its association with Mr Moran, the Tory party made him a director of C&UCO Properties Ltd, the party's property arm. The firm also owns the lease to the Tories' former headquarters, 32 Smith Square. But Mr Cameron may yet be required to reveal the names of the secret lenders. The Electoral Commission has suspended its investigation into the Tory loans until the police have concluded their investigation. However, it is understood the commission will press hard for the Conservatives to come clean on the issue of the secret loans, regardless of whether formal charges are to be brought. A spokesman for the party last night confirmed it still owed £16m to individuals. The party insists that these loans were all taken on a commercial basis and that, therefore, they do not count as political donations. This claim is also under investigation by the police, however. The story of the "secret club" of businessmen who pay £50,000 to dine with the Tory leader was oversold. But it should serve as a sharp reminder to Mr Cameron and his new team of fundraisers just how careful they need to be in filling the war chests for the coming election. "There's been a danger that the Conservative Party has been seen too much as just standing for whatever big business wants. I didn't go into politics to be the mouthpiece for big business," David Cameron wrote last month. His remark is likely to have irritated many of the traditional high-rolling Tory donors of the past. They are among his leading critics on the issue of tax and are pressing for a clear commitment to "roll back the Blairite state". Mr Cameron's aides say that he is determined to resist this pressure and the forthcoming shake-up of party funding gives the Tory leader a unique opportunity to wean the Conservatives off their dependence on big business for its cash. He should seize the chance with both hands. After all, it was not so long ago that a young, popular leader was riding a popular wave of disgust against political sleaze and promising to clean up politics. Almost a decade later, Mr Blair faces the police, accused of selling peerages for cash. CAMERON'S COURT Firoz Kassam Tanzanian-born entrepreneur who started with a Brixton fish-and-chip shop before making millions in Londonhotel property. He made an estimated £3m-a-year profit providing accommodation for 500 asylum seekers. Howard Leigh Head of Cavendish Corporate Finance, Mr Leigh is helping to find a new generation of Tory donors. He donned a purple-and-zebra outfit with a dollar medallion for Andrew Feldman's 'bling-themed' 40th birthday party. Michael Spencer A City star who spotted David Cameron's potential early and has backed the new leader to the hilt. Mr Spencer has repeatedly lent his private plane to the Tory leader. He is tipped by some as a future party treasurer. David Cameron Mr Cameron is no stranger to wealth - his own background is moneyed. The new Tory leader has said he 'didn't go into politics to be the mouthpiece for big business'. Has so far refused to name the 'secret lenders' who provide funds for his party. Michael Ashcroft By far the single biggest donor to the Conservative Party, Lord Ashcroft has given it £6.5m. He was close to the former leader William Hague but had an uneasy relationship with Mr Hague's successor, Michael Howard. He was made a deputy chairman by David Cameron. Andrew Feldman Messrs Cameron and Feldman once organised a May Ball together at Oxford University. Now the textiles boss dons his black tie in the service of raising cash to help get his old university friend into No 10. He is attempting to broaden the Conservative Party's funding base. Christopher Moran A key Tory supporter. He throws his London home, Crosby Hall, open for Conservative Party events and was recently made a director of the Tories' property company, C&UCO Properties Ltd. He was expelled from Lloyds in 1982 for 'discreditable conduct'. Christopher Moran: So is this the rich donor with a racy past that Cameron is desperate to keep secret? He's not talking. Neither are the Tories. But the name of property tycoon Christopher Moran won't go away By Francis Elliott, Whitehall Editor Published: 09 April 2006 http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politics/article356663.ece The Independent It's just the sort of rags-to-riches story that David Cameron might have used to inspire his party's faithful as they gathered in Manchester yesterday to hear his message of compassionate conservatism. Christopher Moran was born in modest circumstances in north London, and estimates of his wealth nowadays hover around the £200m mark. But Mr Cameron made no mention of Mr Moran yesterday - nor is he likely to in the immediate future. Instead, The Independent on Sunday has been told, the party has been desperately trying to conceal his financial support. The property tycoon is said to be one of several secret lenders to whom the Tories paid back a total of £5m to prevent their identities from being revealed last week. At the time, the party suggested that the hurried repayments on the eve of a deadline set by the Electoral Commission were to honour confidentiality agreements made with the lenders. The truth, insiders suggest, was in most cases to spare the party's own blushes. Mr Moran made his first million by the age of 21, only to see his reputation ruined when, in 1982, he was expelled from Lloyd's of London, for "discreditable conduct". He was censured by the Stock Exchange four years later and in 1992 fined $2m (£1.15m) in New York for insider dealing. None of this has stopped him from becoming, by his own reckoning, "astronomically wealthy". He owns the 48,000-acre Glenfiddich sporting estate in Scotland and has a passion for first-growth clarets and the opera. But it is his ownership of Crosby Hall that excites most interest. He bought the freehold to the 15th-century Tudor masterpiece on the banks of the Thames in Chelsea's Cheyne Walk for just £100,000 in 1989. He quickly succeeded in displacing the tenants and has spent an estimated £25m building a 30-bedroom home. But the project has been far from universally applauded. Public access to the historic marvel - granted under the previous owners - has been denied by Mr Moran, and he lost a High Court battle against his initial architects when they sued for unpaid fees. It was also the backdrop to the painful breakdown of his marriage to his former wife, Helen, who ran off with a local flower seller in 1998 amid rumours she had been virtually ignored by her husband for years. The former Mrs Moran said of him, "He doesn't say things in jest - ever. When he wants something he will stop at nothing to get it. He wants people to remember what he has achieved and he's very persuasive - quite ruthless, really." Despite his fervent support for Conservative principles, successive leaders and treasurers of the Tory party have been wary about accepting cash from the tycoon since Margaret Thatcher. It is thought that John Major flatly turned down the offer of a donation and it is understood that Lord Kalms rejected a renewed offer during his tenure as treasurer under Iain Duncan Smith. The loophole in funding laws that allows parties to accept cash as loans from undeclared supporters seems to have offered the Tories a chance to take Mr Moran's money without any embarrassment. If that was indeed their decision it must now be regretted deeply. "They know they screwed up taking Moran's money," one senior Conservative said. "They have been trying desperately to get it back to him so that they won't have to admit to it." Mr Moran has failed to reply to questions about whether he lent the Conservative Party money. The party itself has hardly been more forthcoming. "The loans that are repaid are confidential and we won't comment on speculation about the lenders' identity," a spokesman said. The identity of the secret lenders may yet be forced out of the Conservatives. A senior figure at the Electoral Commission disclosed yesterday that the watchdog has yet to receive a promised list of lenders as well as any details of the loans that have now been repaid. Until it does so it cannot verify the Conservatives' claims that they were all made on commercial terms. If Mr Moran did make a loan but failed to charge the market rate of interest, he will be named as a donor. In an irony that won't be lost on those he has done business with, a bout of generosity might land the tycoon in fresh controversy. Weighing Up The Options At Lloyd's By Timothy Brentnall of Elborne Mitchell First published: The Insurance Insider [1st September 2004] http://www.elbornes.com/index.php?section=articles¶m=8 The long-established practice of issuing "Tonners" - policies that can pay out even though there is no insurable interest - was banned by legislation nearly 100 years ago. Now that the Lloyd's market is more familiar with Alternative Risk Transfer techniques the time has come to consider their reinstatement, argues Tim Brentnall of Elborne Mitchell. Mention the word "tonner" in the market and, as likely as not, at least one member of the audience will make the sign of the cross. However, tonners, or "PPI" policies (Policy Proof of Interest) have not always been viewed thus. The Marine Insurance Act 1906 declared marine tonners void as a matter of civil law: the Marine Insurance Act 1909 made anyone engaging in such contracts guilty of a criminal offence. This notwithstanding, tonners were not officially banned in Lloyd's until June 1981. The then Chairman, Peter Green, later Sir Peter Green (quondam holder of Lloyd's Gold Medal) wrote on 8 June 1981: "The Committee has decided that from today's date no Lloyd's underwriter will be allowed to place or write a "Tonner" or similar policy relating to any class of business". On 8 June 1993, the Manager of the Solvency Department at Lloyd's wrote: "Subject: Tonner Policies Action Points: Ensure immediate compliance Deadline: Effective immediately The above subject was last addressed in the Chairman of Lloyd's letter dated 8 June 1981, a copy of which is attached for your ease of reference. It has been brought to Lloyd's attention that despite the content of the Chairman's letter, tonner or similar type policies are once more being offered to Lloyd's syndicates ... This bulletin is being issued as a reminder that policies lacking insurable interest are prohibited within the Lloyd's market". Was this just a case of Lloyd's being slightly behind the times, or was it more in tune with commercial reality? What in fact lay behind the Chairman's proclamation in 1981 were the activities of Christopher Moran, who was then expelled from Lloyd's. Until then, tonners and PPI policies seem to have enjoyed, if not a recognised place in the market, at least a tolerated one. So named because the risk was frequently defined by the tonnage of shipping disasters in any particular year, the practice later spread to the aviation market. There, they were (and are) sometimes referred to macabrely as "blood tonners" in that the risk can be defined by the number of lives lost in any particular year in air disasters. It would be a misrepresentation to say that all PPI policies were out-and-out tonners, red in tooth and claw. There were frequently perfectly understandable reasons why a policy should be marked "Policy Proof of Interest", where the precise insurable interest of the Assured, or the market value of cargo at the time of loss was uncertain. The example always given is of cargo being bought and sold while still on the high seas. The market value of such may have changed very dramatically from the day on which it was shipped. Another example given is the uncertainty surrounding the loss of anticipated freight on a vessel that becomes a total loss, which may be difficult to prove and ascertain. When the Marine Insurance Act 1909 was introduced in the House of Commons by the President of the Board of Trade, a certain Mr Winston Churchill, Mr W W Rutherford MP made an impassioned speech against the Bill: "A very large number of policies of insurance are taken out in respect both of vessels and cargoes that are for various reasons "interest admitted" policies ... in order to prevent any possible questions being raised as to the exact nature and exact extent of the [insurable] interest. I entirely deny on behalf of the Commercial Community ... that there is any great practice of simply gambling in policies of marine insurance. I very strongly deprecate those attempts to set up and impose moral standards, so- to-speak, upon other people, which have the effect of interfering in any way with legitimate business". Clearly, this was a sentiment that was shared by the insurance market at large because PPI policies continued to be written after the Marine Insurance Acts 1906 and 1909 were enacted, although it was a truth that dared not speak its name. Insurers developed the practice of pinning the PPI clause to the front of the policy so that it could be removed in the event that the policy had to be produced in court in connection with some other dispute between the parties. The Commercial Judges could frequently be seen running their fingers over the policy document to see if there were pinholes in it! If it became apparent that a policy was a PPI policy, the court would take the point of its own motion and declare the policy void. But, provided it wasn't obvious, insurers rarely resorted to defending a claim on the basis that it was a PPI policy and therefore void. I recall a case where brokers were sued in connection with a PPI policy. The brokers' legal representatives kept saying orally that they would tell the judge that the policy was a tonner. In the event, they didn't and paid up like lambs. The potential loss of reputation of taking the point that it was a tonner was too great. However, the purpose of this article is not just to give an historical perspective to tonner policies, but to ask whether the reasons that lay behind the Marine Insurance Acts 1906 and 1909 remain relevant and compelling today. As we have seen, there was doubt even when the Acts were passed as to their commercial validity. Two discernable reasons can be seen behind the Marine Insurance Acts. First, a wish to outlaw insurance contracts which were in effect purely gambling. Second, to avoid situations where an insurer might profit from a loss. Churchill, when introducing the Marine Insurance Act 1909, commented on the mysterious loss of the "SS Firth of Forth" and quoted from an article published in the "Shipping Gazette": "It must be obvious to all that to stand to make a large sum by the wreck of a ship or the loss of her cargo is not a contingency which makes for the greater safety of ships or the lives on board them". Much the same point can be seen in the press commentary in the UK on the recent scandal in the horseracing world of alleged race-fixing. Previously, anyone who was not a licensed bookmaker could only guarantee a profit from betting that a particular horse will not win by placing a bet on all the other horses in the race. However, with the advent of spread- betting indices and vehicles such as betfair.com, anyone can now bet on a particular horse losing. Further, there is not the same transparency as when, for example, someone destroys insured property and then makes a fraudulent claim under a policy. It is nigh on impossible to ascertain with any certainty who is the real counter-party to all the spread bets placed and who therefore has benefited from the race being lost. However, nobody suggests that the sensible way of tackling this potential problem in the racing world is to legislate to banish spread-betting. There comes a stage when it is futile to try and push back the boundaries of financial and technological sophistication. In the insurance and reinsurance markets, it is now possible, perfectly legitimately, for an insurer or reinsurer to profit from a loss without recourse to tonner contracts. Derivative contracts (swaps, options, caps, floors) are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade and CATEX in New York. Positions can be taken whereby the purchaser of an option stands to make a large profit from a natural catastrophe, notwithstanding that he may have no insurable interest in the underlying loss. That position might become murkier if such contracts were available by reference to specific property or specific lives. Then, as now in the racing world, there may be the faint whiff of suspicion of those with control over the insured property taking an understandable adverse position in the sure and certain knowledge that there will be a loss. Banning pure tonners where the Assured or Reassured has absolutely no insurable interest may still not be anachronistic. But insurable interest can be an elusive concept in law. In a loose sense, the aviation market is always likely to have an insurable interest in the crash of western airlines, although it may take a while to establish how much of that interest is direct or indirect, immediately quantifiable or only quantifiable over a very much longer period. Is it really morally or commercially repugnant for an aviation underwriter to take out a tonner which pays a quantifiable amount in the event of a major loss without regard to what the Reassured's actual insurable interests or his actual ultimate loss? Is it morally or commercially repugnant for a catastrophe reinsurer to take out a similar policy to pay in the event that there is a hurricane or earthquake of a certain magnitude? How do you distinguish in any real sense a contract of that nature with buying or selling options on the Chicago Board of Trade? To a certain extent, there are signs that the English courts are beginning to relax the legal requirements of insurable interest - see the recent case of Feasey v - Sun Life. But there remains a weight of complicated case law on what is needed to ascertain insurable interest in relation to particular classes of business. And of course there remain the absolute prohibitions on tonners and PPI policies contained in the Marine Insurance Acts, 1906 and 1909. Perhaps it is time to ask Parliament to revisit these questions and pay closer regard to what Mr Rutherford MP said in reply to Winston Churchill in 1909. RISE OF THE 'SLOANE RANGERS' By Keith Dovkants, Evening Standard 16.07.04 http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/article-12010317-details/Rise+of+the+'Sloane+Rangers'/article.do Helen opened her door wearing a white negligée, smiled coyly and, negotiating a huge mattress covered in a tigerskin-pattern rug, took up a provocative pose on a chair. She said she was 23, but looked younger. She said she was Finnish; her "agency" said she was Latvian. As Helen chatted about her recent arrival in London, she said the small flat was not home but "just for work". She giggled and repeated: "Just for job." The accent was Russian. There was immense pathos in the scene. She was clearly nervous and, by her own admission, new to being a prostitute. She stared at the carpet when she talked about what was on offer - sex, at £300 an hour. We were on the first floor of a building in Sloane Avenue, where shops and restaurants such as Kenzo, Joseph and Bibendum suggest a certain cachet. For the criminals behind a new boom in London vice, the street has become very desirable indeed. They have targeted the area with the establishment of no fewer than 20 micro-brothels, where mainly east European prostitutes work for up to £350 an hour. The women are controlled by escort agencies operating through the internet on websites such as UK Belles, Panache Escorts and City Butterflies. At least one recent entrant to the business of internet prostitution claimed links to drug smuggling. We tracked him down through his website and, with an undercover reporter posing as an Albanian gangster, learned of his ambitions to traffic in women. The sheer scale of what is happening in Sloane Avenue is surprising. In two blocks of flats, we found prostitutes operating on nearly every floor. According to the owner of a local chemist, the influx began over a year ago: "I suddenly found we were always selling out of condoms because girls were coming in and buying boxes at a time," he said. London is a grown-up city and prostitution has always thrived here. Indeed, it is not illegal for a woman to sell sex in her own home. But the Government and police have become concerned over the explosion in vice linked to organised crime, and today Home Secretary David Blunkett issues a consultation document that could lead to sweeping changes in the law. The proposals could see the decriminalising of brothels and a switch in emphasis from action against prostitutes themselves to the pursuit of pimps and clients. But the cluster of micro-brothels we uncovered in Sloane Avenue shows just how difficult it will be to deal with the new, internetbased, vice-masters. Through a number of easily-accessed websites, we made appointments with 21 women at addresses in Sloane Avenue. All the appointments were made after negotiations with an "agency". The bargaining was based on an hourly rate for sex which ranged from £150 to £350. The process varies little between websites. At UK Belles, a link to London Incalls offers appointments in Sloane Avenue for £150 an hour. Asked how many women were available in the street we were told: "About six." Clients give a first name and are allotted a time slot. Posing as clients, we interviewed and secretly filmed a number of young women, including Helen. Kate, a vivacious brunette who said she was from Estonia, opened her door dressed in bra and knickers. She said she had been working in the street for four months, for an agency. Her hourly rate was £150. She did not say how much of this she received, but the usual rates for women in similar roles are between 25 and 40 per cent of the take, less a contribution to overheads. The flats are usually rented by companies set up by the internet pimps. Nadia, in a seventh-floor flat, said she was Italian, although it emerged during our conversation she could not speak the language. She said she had been in London for just one week and, like the others, worked for an organisation. These women operate from several blocks of flats on Sloane Avenue, including Chelsea Cloisters, near the Conran shop at the north end of the street. The freehold of the building is owned by property tycoon Christopher Moran. He said: "In the 15 years we have owned the building we have acted on two occasions against owners where prostitutes were operating from the flats. It is the last thing in the world we want going on in our building. We have 'triple A' clients and a security staff that works 24 hours a day, walking the floors, keeping a very close check." The flats being used by prostitutes in Chelsea Cloisters were owned by absentee landlords who had rented them out. It was probable that they, like Mr Moran and his staff, had no idea who their tenants were. The size of Chelsea Cloisters - it houses 1,000 flats - and the rapid turnover of tenants, allow women like Helen and the others to work without attracting undue attention. A similar building that has found favour with the internet vice-masters is Nell Gwynn House, an imposing 1930s block on the east side of Sloane Avenue. It is owned by a property investment company, Fairbriar PLC, which runs it through a subsidiary, NGH Properties. The subsidiary company rents out around 160 apartments, mainly to corporate tenants. One of its flats, number 436, was used by Karina, a blonde in her twenties who said she was from Poland, to sell sex. She said she had worked from the fourth-floor apartment in Nell Gwynn House since January, acquiring a substantial clientele. When her working day starts at 11am she could expect anything up to seven or eight appointments, all at £300 an hour. Shortly after we began our investigation, however, NGH Properties cancelled the rental contract on her flat. Manager Mr Jamal Watfa said: "The contract clearly states that no form of business can be conducted from the flat. It's very hard to stop this sort of thing going on, but when the porters notice too many gentleman callers, we investigate. The building appeals to them because it has good security, but we would rather not have them. Our main business is with corporate clients." Escort agency websites have flourished in recent years and the business has moved away from contact magazines and telephone kiosk card advertisements. When we telephoned City Butterflies about its link to the Sloane Avenue micro-brothels a man said: "We offer ladies for companionship. Whatever the ladies agree with their clients is up to them and nothing to do with us." People answering the telephone at the UK Belles and Panache Escorts websites refused to handle our enquiries about vice. Because of the location, far from the less salubrious backdrop of a mainline station like King's Cross, the denizens of the new micro-brothels of Sloane Avenue can be marketed at top rates. No one knows this better than a man we shall call Simon, one of the new breed of internet-based vice-masters. During our investigation into websites marketing women, we used internet links to make contact with Simon and, posing as a representative of an Albanian criminal gang, an undercover reporter arranged a meeting. He told Simon he was able to bring in illegal women from eastern Europe. The prospect excited him: "I need girls who will do stuff the others won't," he said. "I'm operating three girls at the moment, but they won't work without condoms. The punters don't like condoms. Now is a brilliant time to expand. The business is there and I could use more girls." He said he had been operating through his website for two months and already had a steady number of clients, around 12 a day. Asked if he thought the explosion in numbers of women being offered for sex would reduce profits, he said: "No way. The business is definitely there. One of my girls has been through a convenience marriage and is legal here. That's no good. The best deal is to get girls from eastern Europe who are smuggled in. When they are illegal, you can control them." He said that he had financed his website vice business through profits from drug smuggling. "Are you interested in nose-stuff?" he asked. He claimed he could provide cocaine at £20,000 to £22,000 a kilo through a contact who had a direct link with suppliers in Colombia. "I don't do small," he said. "It's kilos, or nothing." It is impossible to say precisely who is financing and profiting from the many micro-brothels of Sloane Avenue, or indeed, others that are beginning to proliferate throughout London. But Scotland Yard's criminal intelligence indicates that the vice trade has, over the past three or four years, become dominated by east European gangsters. The police have identified some individuals and have acted against a number of them. But the scale of what is happening, as evidenced by the Sloane Avenue phenomenon, appears to be overwhelming current resources. There is a reason for this. Because prostitution itself, under current legislation, is not of interest to the police or, in its isolated form, illegal, action has to be taken under the terms of the 2003 Sex Offences Act. This made causing or inciting prostitution for gain a criminal offence with a maximum penalty of seven years' imprisonment. There are also severe penalties for keeping a brothel and living off immoral earnings. And Proceeds of Crime legislation renders profits liable to confiscation. With many hundreds of women being offered for sex, all over London, it might be thought the Yard's detectives would be spoiled for choice. But the last big police operation against an internet-based vice ring took place more than a year ago and it took nearly two years to bring to a conclusion. In that case, a Russian-born woman, Svetlana Whitley, and her husband, Thomas, were both jailed after being convicted of pimping offences. It was found they ran up to 60 women, many of them illegal immigrants, from a suite of offices opposite Harrods in Knightsbridge. The women were installed in flats in Knightsbridge and Chelsea and operated precisely in the manner of the Sloane Avenue prostitutes, taking clients who had made appointments through websites. The Whitleys were receiving £100,000 a month from their network and more than £400,000 found in their bank accounts was confiscated. The Whitley case was a success for the police, but the proliferation of microbrothels in places like Sloane Avenue suggests current law enforcement simply cannot cope with the explosion in internet-based vice. Mr Blunkett's proposals might help. If not, the growth of sex-for-sale clusters like the one we uncovered in Sloane Avenue may be unstoppable. * Additional reporting by Muhamed Veliu. Insurance mandate at heart of plan
    5.29.07   Bill Ainsworth
    SD UT

    Sacramento   Last year, Nancy and Todd Warrington spent nearly 10 percent of their income on a health insurance policy. But the policy didn't buy the Pacific Beach couple a sense of security. When Nancy Warrington was sick with excruciating stomach pain, she refused treatment all day, fearing huge medical bills because of the high deductible and the cost-sharing provisions of her policy. Eventually, she had her appendix removed. She recovered quickly, but her family finances are still ailing: With an income of $41,000 a year, the Warringtons will spend years paying off $5,000 in medical debts. “We thought we would have a portion to pay that was within our means,” said Nancy Warrington, “but it was just too much for a family with one income and three people.” The Warringtons are among thousands of low-and moderate-income California residents who have struggled to pay the high premiums of individual health insurance only to be buried under an avalanche of medical bills when they use the coverage. Under Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's sweeping health care plan, people like the Warringtons – whose incomes amount to less than 250 percent of the federal poverty level – would get some help in the form of limits on premiums, deductibles and out-of-pocket expenses. But they would still end up spending a significant portion of their income on health insurance. The Schwarzenegger plan requires everyone to buy insurance. Although that mandate hasn't received the same amount of attention generated by other parts of Schwarzenegger's proposal, it is a crucial component. Schwarzenegger argues that the best way to cut costs is to eliminate what he calls the “hidden tax” – higher premiums that insurance companies charge to cover the higher fees of hospitals struggling with losses from treating the uninsured, including expensive emergency room visits. At least 15 percent of Californians don't have health insurance. Critics of the Schwarzenegger plan say requiring everyone to buy insurance will force people – especially those who don't qualify for subsidies – to pay too much for too little. Their deductibles would be so high that they wouldn't see much economic relief and they still would have a strong incentive to stay away from the doctor. “My fear is that you are forcing people to pay a lot of money for something they aren't going to use,” said Assemblywoman Mary Salas, D-San Diego. Moreover, opponents argue that the mandate would amount to a semantic fix. They say the proposal would turn the problem of the uninsured into a problem of the underinsured. “The vast majority of people will not see a benefit, and they will be discouraged from getting the preventive and ongoing chronic care they need,” said Anthony Wright, executive director of Health Access, a consumer group. Under Schwarzenegger's plan, most of California's 6.5 million uninsured people would gain coverage through expanded public insurance and a new purchasing pool for low-income workers, including people like the Warringtons. But up to 1 million residents would have to buy insurance on the individual market, which currently serves about 2.1 million Californians. People with incomes of more than 250 percent of the federal poverty level wouldn't get subsidies. For example, a family of three earning more than $43,000 a year would be over the income limit. The family would still have to buy a $5,000-deductible policy, which frequently costs more than $250 a month for those older than 40. Schwarzenegger and his top aides say cost-cutting components of his plan, combined with new regulations, could lower these prices. With up to 1 million new customers in the mix, they say, insurers should be able to cut costs by spreading risks among more people. The governor's plan would also require insurers to guarantee coverage for all, regardless of health history, and make insurers spend 85 cents of each premium dollar on patient care. Currently, California is the Wild West of the individual market. Insurers are free to charge what they wish and reject anyone with health problems. By contrast, many other states place regulations on insurers serving the individual market. Chris Ohman, president of the California Association of Health Plans, an industry trade group, said consumers benefit from light regulation in California's individual insurance market because their premiums are up to 17 percent lower than the national average. Consumer advocates have complained for years that the unrestricted market allows insurers to get rich selling policies to those least likely to need them – the young and healthy. Schwarzenegger, a business-friendly Republican, now agrees. He frequently criticizes the industry for picking and choosing whom to cover. Some consumer advocates want the governor to go further. “There's nothing in the governor's plan that would require health insurance to be affordable. Consumers would have to pay what insurers charge,” said Jerry Flanagan of the Foundation for Taxpayer and Consumer Rights. The foundation is sponsoring legislation that would regulate health insurance in the same way auto insurance is regulated. The state requires auto insurance companies to justify rate increases and sets standards for industry profits. But Schwarzenegger opposes that plan, saying he prefers a market-oriented solution. Schwarzenegger's communications director, Adam Mendelsohn, said requiring everyone to buy health insurance protects those who are now uninsured from the largest problems: bankruptcy, lack of access to care and denial of coverage based on medical history. “You don't solve the problem unless everybody has health insurance,” Mendelsohn said. “A lot of the problem is people who are leaving hospitals and doctors with unpaid bills. The system doesn't work without universal coverage.” Schwarzenegger hasn't described how to enforce the requirement but has considered tax penalties or even garnisheeing wages. Democratic leaders are promoting their own health care plans. A proposal by Assembly Speaker Fabian Núñez, D-Los Angeles, doesn't require everyone to have insurance. A plan by State Senate President Pro Tempore Don Perata, D-Oakland, requires people to buy insurance only if they earn above 400 percent of the poverty level. Under Schwarzenegger's plan, people like Robin Lewison, a San Diego resident who earned $48,000 a year at her last job, would be required to buy insurance. Lewison wouldn't qualify for subsidies but would have her out-of-pocket expenses limited to $7,500 a year. Lewison said she pays $425 a month for an individual plan with a $2,500 deductible and cost-sharing after the deductible. Her deductible is so high that she often puts off recommended preventive care measures. Instead of getting a yearly mammogram, Lewison, 51, waited 2½ years. “It's a huge percentage of my budget,” said Lewison, who is single. “But I feel like I'm paying for nothing.” Richard Figueroa, health adviser to Schwarzenegger, said that under the governor's proposal, preventive care – including recommended mammograms – would be covered before the deductible is reached. “We want to establish a minimum benefit that has value for the consumer,” Figueroa said. But Wright of Health Access said Schwarzenegger's plan takes a narrow view of preventive care. It doesn't pay for chronic disease management programs, which are designed to keep people with conditions like diabetes out of emergency rooms, until the deductible has been reached. “If you are unfortunate and have a health emergency, a catastrophic plan would help,” Wright said. “But it wouldn't do any good for most people.” Health Access arranged to make the Warringtons and Lewison available to provide examples about the difficulties of being individually insured. Wright and others argue that the problem of high-cost insurance would go away if the governor adopted a single-payer plan, which seeks to save money by eliminating insurance companies. The Clinton administration made a push for single-payer coverage in the mid-1990s, but the effort spearheaded by first lady Hillary Rodham Clinton collapsed under the weight of opposition, largely from Republicans and the insurance industry. Such a plan is used by Canada and other developed nations, but Schwarzenegger has ruled it out, calling it “socialized medicine.” Some Democrats in the Legislature have introduced a bill for a single-payer plan even though Schwarzenegger has vetoed such legislation in the past. Under the governor's plan, Nancy and Todd Warrington would have had their premiums capped at about 6 percent of their income, or about $2,460 a year instead of the nearly $4,000 they paid. Their deductible would be limited to $500 and their out-of-pocket expenses capped at $3,000 a year. The Warringtons sought private insurance five years ago after Nancy Warrington quit her job to be a full-time mom. At the time, Todd Warrington, now 41, worked for a company that was too small to afford health insurance for its employees. Now the Warringtons believe they would have been better off without their individual policy. They paid $330 a month for a policy that had a $2,500 deductible, and accumulated thousands of dollars in bills after needing a series of medical procedures, including the removal of a cyst from Todd Warrington's back and the removal of a basal cell carcinoma from Nancy's head and nose. Last year, with their premiums set to go up, they opted to increase their deductible to $5,000 a year. Dealing with the bills was stressful. Bill collectors called Todd Warrington at home. He put off treatment of his hernia. The couple considered bankruptcy. “We were being buried,” said Nancy Warrington. And then she got the stomach pain. She refused treatment initially but finally went to an urgent-care doctor because she knew her co-pay would be only $45. The physician immediately diagnosed appendicitis and sent her to a hospital. “I was going to lie there all day,” she said. “Taking care of your health shouldn't be that way. You shouldn't have to worry about bills all the time.” Growing pains of private medicare plans
    5.8.07   Jane Zhang Wall St Journal

    Wash.D.C.   A decade ago, the National Right to Life Committee began worrying that managed-care health plans' expanding role in Medicare might mean some seniors would be denied costly life-prolonging treatments to save money. To protect against such rationing, the antiabortion group pressed Congress to approve a new breed of private Medicare plans that would provide as much care as patients wanted to pay for. The plans, called private fee-for-service plans, or PFFS, are surging in popularity among seniors who want the freedom to choose their doctors and avoid the restrictions of managed-care plans. In little more than a year, enrollment has increased fivefold, to 1.3 million, though that is still a small slice of the total 43 million Medicare beneficiaries. The plans are coming under increasing fire. Medicare officials are worried about tactics used to market them. Some Democratic lawmakers are taking aim at what they describe as exorbitant government payments to the plans, arguing that the program benefits insurance companies more than seniors. Some health-policy experts fault the plans for doing little to restrain costs or coordinate care. A person eligible for Medicare -- the federal entitlement that provides health coverage to people aged 65 and over and the disabled -- has a couple of choices. There is the basic government-run program, a fee-for-service approach with government-set deductibles, co-payments and payments to doctors and hospitals. For things Medicare doesn't cover, there are private Medigap insurance policies. Or a person can opt for a government-subsidized private insurance plan, known as Medicare Advantage, which combines benefits of both basic Medicare and some features of Medigap plans. These come in two flavors: managed-care plans with limits on the choice of providers, and the PFFS, an open-access option with few restrictions. "What Medicare doesn't need is a Medicare look-alike whose only purpose seems to be to get extra money to private insurers, which has the potential to undermine the traditional Medicare program," says Robert Berenson, a Medicare official during the Clinton administration and now a senior fellow at the Urban Institute, a Washington think tank. Insurers defend the plans. "This is all about choices for beneficiaries," said Gary Jacobs, senior vice president of Universal American Financial Corp., an insurer in Rye Brook, N.Y., which has 150,000 seniors enrolled in its PFFS plans. Reining in the plans won't be easy. PFFS plans often offer extra benefits with lower out-of-pocket costs to seniors, and in some rural areas, they are the only private Medicare plans available. That makes lawmakers of both parties, including Montana Democrat Max Baucus, the chairman of the Senate Finance Committee, wary of doing anything that might prompt the plans to drop out of rural markets. "A cut in private fee-for-service is a cut in rural health," says Dan Mendelson, a budget official during the Clinton administration and now president of Avalere Health LLC, a Washington consulting firm that issued a detailed paper on these plans. The National Right to Life Committee, among the strongest advocates for their creation, remains a staunch backer. "Our position is that people shouldn't be denied the right to live," says Burke J. Balch, the group's director of medical ethics. He adds that the group doesn't lobby Congress on specific payment rates. About 17% of all seniors enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans are in PFFS. As of February, Humana Inc. had 42% of the enrollees, while Blue Cross Blue Shield of Michigan had 11%, according to an Avalere analysis for the Kaiser Family Foundation. In recent months, Medicare officials have started warning about the sales tactics employed by some brokers to recruit people into PFFS plans. "What we are particularly concerned about is some brokers don't make clear" that PFFS plans don't work like traditional Medicare, says Abby Block, director of Medicare's Center for Beneficiary Choices. For example, while most doctors accept patients who are in the traditional program, some have declined to treat patients in PFFS plans. These physicians have little experience with these new plans and are concerned that they may not be adequately or quickly paid. To try to remedy the problem, Medicare says it will require PFFS plans next year to call all new enrollees to make sure they understand what PFFS plans are. The government also will use a "secret shopper" to try to police marketing practices and require insurance companies to train brokers about how PFFS plans work. Vic Shaner, who is 74 years old, signed up for a PFFS plan when it was introduced in Grants Pass, Ore., earlier this year. The plan, sold by Sterling Life Insurance Co., charged $9 a month for additional benefits such as preventive care. That was in addition to Medicare's regular monthly premiums for physician-and-outpatient services. Mr. Shaner soon discovered that his doctor wouldn't accept PFFS payments, though, and that no other internists were available in his area. So before the end of the 90-day trial period, he switched back to traditional Medicare. He says he would consider a PFFS plan if he could see the doctors he wants, adding, "I'd like to save a couple of grand." Debbie J. Ahl, president of Sterling Life in Chicago, says the insurer tries to educate patients and providers, but that doctors don't always know that PFFS plans pay the same rates as Medicare, and sometimes turn away patients. Sometimes doctors "might confuse us with an HMO," she says. Though PFFS plans were created in 1997, they were bolstered substantially by 2003 prescription-drug legislation that increased payment rates to private plans. The rates vary across the country, but on average the government spends 12% more on patients in Medicare Advantage plans than on people in traditional Medicare and 19% more on enrollees in PFFS plans, according to the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, which advises Congress on Medicare issues. The panel recommended the government cut payments to all Advantage plans, including PFFS, to the same level as those for traditional Medicare. The proposed cuts are being championed by some Democrats, including California Rep. Pete Stark, chairman of the House Ways and Means health subcommittee. "We are now losing money for every person who enrolls in a private plan," he said, adding that the money saved could be used to soften scheduled payment cuts to doctors, improve benefits for seniors or help cover uninsured children. Insurers argue that they need the higher government subsidies to cover the rising costs of providing care in rural areas. In a recent analysis for Blue Cross and Blue Shield Association, researchers Kenneth Thorpe and Adam Atherly of Atlanta's Emory University said cutting Medicare payments to private plans to the same level as those paid to traditional Medicare "would effectively eliminate PFFS as a plan offering." Those kinds of gloomy predictions, some analysts say, will help private Medicare plans, including PFFS, fend off big payment cuts moral depravity is invariably at odds with the extreme purity that he now exhibits and is the antithesis of his past. In another play L'Hermine, the main character finds himself in a world that his hostile to his romantic idealism. In L'Hermine, love is made to fight an inexorable and futile battle against money, social status, ambition, and lax morals. This is the essence of what Jean Anouilh offers us: a battle between idealism and realism - man, a hopeless romantic, is locked in a perpetual battle against a society that his hostile to his purity. In his Pièces Roses, the protagonist finds a compromise - not an ideal one - but an acceptable accommodation with which he can live his life. But in Anouilh's 'Pièces Noires', the battle is lost from the beginning and the character is doomed to a harrowing fate. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean_Anouilh


    cit. unpax Suicidal rebellions and the moral hazard of humanitarian intervention Author: Alan J. Kuperman http://www.informaworld.com/smpp/content~content=a714023318~db=all Ethnopolitics, Volume 4, Issue 2 June 2005 , pages 149 – 173 emerging norm of humanitarian military intervention, which is intended to prevent genocide and ethnic cleansing, perversely causes such violence through the dynamic of moral hazard. The norm, intended as a type of insurance policy against genocidal violence, unintentionally encourages disgruntled sub-state groups to rebel because they expect intervention to protect them from retaliation by the state. Actual intervention, however, is often too late or too feeble to prevent such retaliation. Thus, the norm causes some genocidal violence that otherwise would not occur. - - - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window Some claim that war is a benefactor, which historically often has focused the use of resources and triggered advances in technology and other areas. The increased production and employment associated with war often leads people to claim that "war is good for the economy." Others claim that this is an example of the broken window fallacy. The money spent on the war effort, for example, is money that can't be spent on food, clothing, health care or other needs. The stimulus felt in one sector of the economy comes at a direct--but hidden--cost to other sectors. More importantly, however, war literally destroys property, buildings, and lives. The economic stimulus to the defense sector is offset not only by immediate opportunity costs, but also by the costs of the damage and devastation of war. This then becomes the basis of a second application of the broken window fallacy: it is claimed that the rebuilding that follows war and its destruction provides a further stimulus to the economy, this time mainly in the construction sector. However, immense resources are spent merely to restore things to the condition they already were before the war began. After the war, the nation has a rebuilt city; before the war, it had a city and time in which its labour could have been used for more fruitful purposes. An example of this in America is that many highway and bridge projects that were planned in the late '30s had to be put off until after the end of the Second World War, and the pent-up demand for not only roads, but houses, cars, and even radios led to massive inflation in the late '40s. The war also delayed the commercial introduction of Television, among other things, and the resources sent overseas to rebuild the rest of the world after the war were not available to directly benefit the American people. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tanstagi Tanstagi, an acronym standing for There Ain't No Such Thing As Government Interference, is the motto of the Invisible Hand Society, an originally fictional organization invented in the Robt Anton Wilson's Schrödinger's Cat trilogy. The acronym was deliberately intended as a reference to Robert A. Heinlein's TANSTAAFL principle. The Tanstagi principle is meant to imply that the invisible hand of the free market applies to government as well. In other words, contrary to traditional ideas of Laissez-faire capitalism, government interfence in the free market is impossible, since governments are inextricably a part of the market as a whole. Thus, true laissez-faire conditions are impossible, since the government will always affect the market. An example of this is the defense industry: since the government is the single biggest customer of this industry, it logically follows that this sector of the free market is inextricably tied up with government interference.

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