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LORNE CRANER supplement of CULPRITS page |
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THE IRI AT WORK
Since collapse of Communism, IRI has concentrated activity in former Soviet bloc, and on
elections in particular. Senator McCain himself has often been there, right at the coal-
face. Dec.
1993 he led mission of 25 IRI observers to Russia's first post-Soviet parliamentary
election.
Institute's report published afterwards make no mention of the brutal assault on the
Russian
parliament the previous Oct.. Instead the rapporteurs concentrate exclusively on the
conduct of the
poll; their response is ecstatic. They found "the emergence of a multiparty system within
2 years of
the collapse of the Communist's single-party monopoly to be a truly remarkable
development." The
poll also sought approval for country's first post-Communist constitution which was
passed by a
small margin. Despite strong suspicions at the time that the vote had been fiddled, the
IRI was
unperturbed: "The Russian people also deserve recognition for their endorsement of a
post-
communist constitutional order providing a clear division of power " In statement the
following
April, even the head of Russia's Central Election Commission admitted that votes in the
constitutional ballot had been augmented as a result of election fraud. But IRI &
Sen. McCain
had moved
2
One of McCain's election promises is to put a stop to the funding of corrupt Russian
mafia &
and business activities. People most implicated in bleeding Russia dry over the past
decade have
been 'democrats' supported by the IRI, their task made easier by 1993 constitution which
concentrated power, almost exclusively, to the president. IRI assistance recipients in
Central
& E.Europe :
Consider Albania. During the mid-nineties leftist human rights groups joined the Clinton
administration in criticizing Sali Berisha's Democratic Party for its perceived totalitarian
policies.
Despite early support for the Albanian Democrats from George Bush's administration
there was no
support from the Republicans in the US when attempts were made to destabilize the
government
in Tirana. IRI, which had an office in the Albanian capital, parroted all the accusations
against
Berisha's party. An IRI official in Washington called the hero of the anti-Communist
forces, Azem
Haijdari, "a pig" in an interview in 1998 while supporting bona fides of ex-Communist
Socialist
Party of Albania. European right-wing parties also have their own 'trade-union', the
European
Democratic Union, and, although it was less than combative, the EDU made some
attempts to
understand the problems faced by Berisha's party and put its case in international
forums.
Haijdari was murdered in Sept. 1998, but only after the country had been plunged into
lawlessness
during widespread unrest the previous year. A new Socialist govt made up of former
Communists
has not improved situation. Albania is now recognized as a Mafia state where the
collapse of law
& order has led to widespread smuggling of drugs & people to W.Europe.
In the last few years both IRI & NDI expanded their involvement in election
processes of
certain countries. They began by simply monitoring conduct of polls; they extended
activities by
opening local offices from where they offered assistance to political parties while
monitoring the
overall 'democratic process'. In many areas the IRI has been even more active than its
sister
organization. Providing expertise for improved polling practices is one of its specialties.
On the
surface this looks innocent but conduct of opinion polls can affect election outcome.
Those most
likely to act as pollsters are young people. During 1998 election campaign in Slovakia
where the
IRI was particularly active, anti-govt newspaper, The Slovak Spectator, noted some
people were
obviously unprepared to divulge their voting intentions to their young interlocutors
because they
suspected them of being opposition supporters. Polls which show surges of support for
one party
or another can affect peoples' voting intentions. IRI-sponsored poll produced shortly
before recent
Croat election showed governing HDZ party with only 18% support. Although the party
was
trounced on election day itself, it gained 26% of the total vote, 8% more than the IRI's
pollsters
predicted.
Pretence of objectivity is negated by reading IRI letter of invitation sent to prospective
observers to
the Croat elections. Dated 12.6.99 & signed by Lorne Craner, IRI's executive
president, it
announces "Croatia's brand of govt has been nationalistic & authoritarian"
and "not a
single election held in Croatia since 1990 has been reported upon favourably by intl
observers."
This statement grossly distort the facts and also raises the question of why such a pariah
state
should have been allowed into such intl organizations as the Council of Europe which
promote
human rights & democracy. In spite of its manifest bias, the letter concedes that the
(authoritarian) govt in Zagreb will officially accredit foreign observers like those from the
IRI. It did
so.
THE YOUTH COMPONENT
Concentration on youth is part of IRI's strategy. Middle-aged & older voters in
former Soviet
Bloc show scant enthusiasm reformed Communists loved by the West. They are aware
of the
background of such people repackaged as reform proponents. The young have no such
memories; to the U.S., they want only to make money and go to rock concerts. But they
tend to be
apathetic. So, supply them with the money and the music and they will vote as required
or, at least
once registered can be voted for as "dead souls." The IRI's first venture into serious
'youth politics'
began in the winter of 1996-7 when it helped to organize opposition protests to President
Milosevic
in Belgrade. People may remember the crowds with their whistles, keys and cooking
pots rooting
for change. The protests failed and Milosevic survived. Things fared better in
neighbouring
Bulgaria where similar groups of angry young people forced the Socialist govt from
power.
For 1998 Slovak elections, IRI imported an American ingredient. Rock the Vote was set
up in the
US in 1991 with aim of getting apathetic young Americans to register amp; vote by
providing
youth culture rock & pop concerts as well as promotions in record stores,
restaurants and
clubs. Rock the Vote also proposed more substantial changes to the American political
system by
urging two-day voting & a proportional system, both available in some Central
European
countries where election fraud is not unknown.
In Slovakia, for example, apathy was a serious problem. In some regions less than
20%
between 18-25 had voted in 1994. IRI
hired a young Slovak, Martin Kapusta, to
set up
Slovak equivalent of Rock the Vote, Rock Volieb. With generous funding from IRI,
among others,
Rock Volieb was able to pay for the best bands and flood the media with its message.
For the
benefit of those who believe that foreigners should not interfere in another country's
internal political affairs, IRI's Kapusta claimed that "this campaign does not promote any
political party, candidates or coalitions." But even sympathizers predicted that "certain
parties" would benefit from the activities of Rock Volieb more than others.
The project worked. 84% participation in the Slovak election and the 'reformers' won.
Some Slovaks suspected that groups of young people traveled around the country
voting more than once; it is possible to vote away from home in Slovakia where 2 days
are allowed for the poll. No concrete evidence was produced. The 'dictatorial' govt of
Vladimir Meciar seemed totally unprepared for and unaware of what was going on.
IRI crowed victory, in particular over its own contribution. "IRI polls changed the
nature of the campaign" boasts its winter 1998 newsletter. Sen. McCain added a
special pat on the back: the result was "a victory for reformers in Slovakia …it was the
latest example of "men and women who a decade ago lived behind the iron curtain and
are now on the leading edge of democracy's advance."
IRI AND ITS LESSONS FOR McCAIN
IRI's experience
IRI-NDI 7.28.98 prelim statement indicated second test, Election Day administration,
was as good as many seen over past 5yrs; deserves high mark. Admin ran very
smoothly at most places observed; few saw any sign of Election Day intimidation; over
90#37; of registered turned up at the polls.
After promising start, 3rd counting process part immediately following Election Day
deliberately incomplete. Counting proceeded smoothly until halted mid-afternoon 7.27.98
According high NEC source, pause ordered by CPP officials after opposition took ballot
count lead. Legally obligated to do so, NEC declined to address all but a few of 800+
Election Day & counting irregularities charged by the opposition; the constitutional
council, supposedly the final arbiter of elections appeals, like the NEC refused to hear
the majority of opposition complaints and sided completely with the NEC on issues
important to the opposition, including used & unused ballots, recounts, and
assembly seat allocation; during the counting process, with little explanation, the NEC
revealed that the formula relating ballots won to assembly seats won had been changed
before the election.
Excuses
After every bad election, 2 most common are:
Ramifications of accepting Cambodia's election
Cambodia's election & U.S. policy
The IRI delegation coordinated with selected observers organized by the National Women's Civic
Association (ANCIFEM), a Mexican civic group. ANCIFEM deployed nearly 1,500 Mexican
observers nationwide, a dozen of whom teamed up with IRI's delegates. This cooperation allowed
IRI to leverage its resources while tapping the experience of local civic leaders. In a statement
issued the morning after the election, IRI delegation leader, California Sec.State Bill Jones, noted,
"Voting in most parts of the country was orderly, and turnout was high for a mid-term election." He
added, "There is increasing evidence that Mexico's political system is moving toward greater
pluralism. While much attention has focused on the mayoral race in Mexico City, the fact that no
single party will dominate the Chamber of Deputies may have more significant implications for the
consolidation of democracy in Mexico. This development heralds a new era in which the
three largest political parties will have to negotiate with one another."
"IRI is proud for serving like a catalyst for reopening political dialogue in Albania
and pleased with first signs of concrete progress in electoral reformation," said IRI's
President Lorne Craner. "IRI incites the govt & all political parties to
continue dialogue and assure electoral reformation." IRI issued 31 recommendations on
the electoral reformation after 5.26.96 elections. 8 forcefully addressed legislation
Albanian Parliament passed during its sessions of 9.11-12.96 IRI asks further addtl
actions by Central Election Commission or govt for fulfillment of many other IRI's
recommendations agreed in principle in the conference.
The Parliament specifically passed a law which regulates public gatherings, total
amendments on local election law, amendments on parliamentary elections and a
decree of the President of the Republic about the CEC. IRI considers these changes as
important steps taken by Albanian govt in the improvement of electoral proceedings
& people's confidence. Govt has also agreed to issue regulations &
recommendations to fulfill some other IRI's recommendations on issues which do not
ask legislative actions, most important of which is publishing regulations about police
position on polling day (Rec#4), training election commission members (Rec#10),
[ Training by IRI ? ]
easing procedure of assuring observer's card for local & foreign observers (Rec#
11) and creation of regulations for division of govt & party financial sources
(Rec#12). IRI continues observation of law, election campaign and poll day activities,
esp. 10.20.96.
Daughter Sydney McCain works in the 'music business' and her father let slip at
New Hampshire meetings that his favourite band is Nine Inch Nails
He also
boasted of being the only candidate to have attended the MTV awards.
In
much of post-communist Europe the IRI has helped restore ex-Marxists to the
top of society.
GOP Selection2K counting strategy from 1998 Cambodia election
spent much of 1980's working on foreign policy issues, incl
Nicaragua, El Salvador and Cambodia. Election standards & observation
has come long way since. 10yrs ago whether citizens were able to cast ballots in orderly
fashion was the standard by which democratic process was judged. In late 1980's &
early 1990's, Latin American & east European dictators taught us lesson that
events surrounding election are often more important than the day itself. Specifically,
authoritarians realized that, to steal an election, they did not have to stuff the ballot
boxes, but could instead achieve their objective in the months surrounding Election Day
by means less apparent to traditional observers. In effect, for IRI & other
observation groups, a one part test for judging an election had to become 4 part test if
we were to accurately evaluate how representative of a country's democracy an election
was.
Testimony of Lorne W. Craner pres., Intl Republican Institute
10.2.98 HIRC E.Asian
& Pacific Affairs subcomm Cambodia & China
[ U.S. Selection2K did not clearly pass #2 & #3; It also challenges whether
#4 respect is appropriate if result is same as complacent Selection2K. When not one of
100 senators would endorse even a discussion of electoral college results' certification
despite clearly consequential & widely contested irregularities, democracy suffers by
respecting process over protest. Thanks for trying Rep. Cynthia McKinney, Rep. Bob
Filner & Cong. Black Caucus ]
Since 1983 IRI observed more than 70 elections in over three dozen countries.
We have only one asset that matters, reputation for impartiality,
willingness to call an election process like we see it without regard to who won or lost.
Most recently, called 1995 Haitian elections flawed, earning democrats' criticism. Judged
1996 Albanian elections flawed, criticism from own party by President Berisha admirers
Cambodia's election
Judge Cambodia's 1998 election flawed & among worst observed since 1993.
Condemn not for Election Day, but days, weeks & months before & after
balloting. 7.26.98 Election Day impressed many observers incl IRI. Pre-election and
counting & longterm post-election below acceptable standard. 4 Cambodia election
phases:
7.14.98 joint IRI/NDI statement judged pre-election phase " fundamentally flawed "
because of
In short, during pre-election, CPP wrote the rules & controlled process.
After return to Phnom Penh, PM Ranariddh able to have one element of the election law,
location of ballot counting, changed.
Per question of pre-Election Day intimidation pre-ordaining votes, most voters we asked
directly said not intimidated. If subsequent election portions smoothly run as observed
Election Day activities, some pre-election problems, though unacceptable, were, in
context, significantly ameliorated. Unfortunately not so.
Orig. formulas left CPP with minority of assembly seats; formula finally decided upon
gave CPP a majority. [ Selection2K ] Longer
term, after voting & counting ended Cambodia's govt failed to act democratically:
In last few days, FUNCINPEC & Rainsy party agreed to attend Cambodia's
parliament opening under duress. Beyond intl pressure Japan & Asian countries
exerted on opposition to come to terms with Hun Sen, King Sihanouk said "
in a Cambodia that is not a state of law & not a full fledged democracy, I have
no other choice than to advise the weak to choose a policy that avoids misfortune
for the people, the motherland and themselves. " One-sided negotiations don't make
lasting coalition. '98 Election constitutes deliberate exploitation of weaknesses in
1980's -style election observation to attain legitimacy declaration. Cambodia's govt
conducted Election Day at intl standards, hoping observers ignored hundreds of days of
repression surrounding it. Strategy worked.
IRI's experience observing 6 dozen elections make such arguments specious. Textbook
elections in countries as poor as Cambodia while other countries have not experienced
trauma of Cambodia's killing fields. Many have a longer history of dictatorship. Ex. a
ruling party does not need to head a wealthy, long-time democracy to refrain from
murdering its political opponents. Mongolia, a nation nearly as poor in Cambodia, with a
longer history of dictatorship, had an election run & lost by former communists in
1996 without any election-related murders. Nor must a country be a longstanding,
wealthy democracy to properly count & recount ballots. One of the most well
conducted elections IRI has observed was the 1994 Autonomous Council Election on
the remote Miskito Coast of Nicaragua, poorest region of a poor country emerging from
decades of dictatorship.
[ IRI democracy in place of Sandinista admin having brought trade zone
sweatshops & Malay corp. deforestation as dominant economic engines to appease
intl development loans conditional on certified elections. Unsecret ballots aren't only form
of pre-election vote intimidation. Choice between economic predation vs. foreign funded
civil war usually compels voting for the former. Hispanola has long memory of peonage
preferable to cannon fodder. Neither choice seems to stop narco$ corruption of
democratic "processes" which enrich interlocked National Security boards of directors
lending like the planet is a company town. ]
To accept this election devalues worth of elections in building democracies around the
world. Other dictators would feel free to kill opposition members, gut opposition party
infrastructures, name a biased election commission, intimidate voters, conduct
questionable ballot counts and refuse recounts confident that intl community will certify
process as long as Election Day looks good. U.N., parts of Europe, China, Vietnam, and
Burma observers apparently willing to give such a certification to Cambodia's election,
but U.S. has a duty to billions around the world
[ Hyperbole. IRI is not the US & the world's billions did not ask or vote
the U.S. to define elections' justice. There are plenty of sufficient ethical appeals but this
global imperialist cant of nationalist "duty" is an emotional appeal indefensible from
logical challenge. ]
Basic choice between accepting the election process or not. Both House & Senate
FY99 foreign operations bill makes clear the unwillingness of congress to accept
Cambodia's elections. Not a case of trade sanctions
Asia satisfied with
election, the Europeans (with exception France) not. U.S. leadership position &
working with others to follow it has in past produced results.
Worldwide disgust that followed last July's coup had much of the desired effect on Hun
Sen, largely because, unlike the 1980's, Moscow & Vietnam are unable to bankroll
& guard his rule. Hun Sen ultimate legitimacy, U.S. acceptance. Events of the
1980's, 1993, 1997 and 1998 have shown Hun Sen is not a democrat. Democracy in
Cambodia lies not with Hun Sen, but with Cambodia's opposition, whom we should
support. Pressure should be placed on Hun Sen to change his ways, and not on the
opposition to simultaneously risk their lives while debasing their understanding of
democracy. Further steps, including whether the U.S. should back intl financial
institution assistance for Cambodia, Cambodia's U.N. seat, and whether new U.S.
ambassador. Results of FBI investigation into Easter 1997 grenade attack on Sam
Rainsy should be made public
for 2 reasons: Rainsy is threatened with arrest by
Hun Sen's security forces for supposedly attacking himself (a charge dismissed by head
UN HRts Office, which itself investigated the attack), and second, because IRI employee
Ron Abney was injured in the attack.
Conclusion
Cambodia suffered conflict for almost 30 years. I am not among those who believe U.S.
policy during Vietnam war resulted in 1975 Khmer Rouge victory, but I do believe that,
with the exception of 1991-1993, Cambodia for too long has suffered from the neglect of
the intl community,. especially during last 5 years when U.S. Cambodia policy at best
consisted of building roads at the expense of building democracy, and at worst suffered
from egregiously poor judgement. The U.S., including the U.S. congress, should help
give Cambodians the future they deserve.
putting Fox in charge with Mexico Cong. prelims using U.S. tax$
For first time in 68 years, Mexican voters denied the governing Institutional Revolutionary Party
(PRI) absolute majority in federal Chamber of Deputies. In balloting for 32 members of the 128-
seat Senate and local officials in seven states, voters also swung toward the opposition Party of
the Democratic Revolution (PRD) and National Action Party (PAN). The PRD's Cuauhtémoc
Cárdenas was elected mayor of Mexico City, and PAN candidates prevailed in two important
gubernatorial races. Politicians & pundits cited two key factors contributing to the erosion of
the PRI's electoral prospects. First, sharp recession brought about by Dec. 1994 peso devaluation
cut living standards and undermined govt's popularity. Second, 1996 reforms significantly leveled
electoral playing field, providing opposition parties with far more money & media access than
ever before. Domestic & intl observers boosted voter confidence. With support through
USAID's Consortium for Elections & Political Process Strengthening (CEPPS) agreement, the
International Republican Institute (IRI) organized a 37-member observer delegation,
largest intl group monitoring the Mexican elections. The delegation deployed to 16 states,
including all 7 states where local elections were held. The delegates focused on rural areas &
areas with a history of electoral fraud.
USAID Supports Election Observers in Mexico
7.6.97 John Murphy, IRI LatinAm pgm officer Global Ctr for Democracy & Governance
IRI's delegates found Mexico's electoral institutions have made real progress toward winning
voters' confidence. 1996 reforms gave the Federal Electoral Institute an unprecedented degree of
independence, and political party representatives, civic leaders, and the media described the vote
as "a triumph for democracy." IRI is continuing to monitor the post-election conflict resolution
process, which has been contentious in past elections. The Electoral Tribunal of the Federal
Judiciary will examine results in many individual races. IRI will pay special attention to the rulings
of the state electoral tribunals, which are the ultimate arbiters of state elections. In some states
these tribunals are distrusted, and close gubernatorial races in Campeche, Colima, and San Luis
Potosí suggest that some decisions may not be universally accepted.
IRI appreciates progress of electoral reformation in Albania
TIRANA & IRI appreciated today the electoral reformation in Albania from
the Parliamentary elections of last May & incites the govt to conclude reformation
started by Parliament and issues all political parties agreed on, during IRI's Electoral
Conference Aug. this year.
9.14.96 Albanian Telegraphic Agency
[ Coaching & facilitating elections, not just observing. ]
[ dictating legislation & terms of holding office because they are
certification authority for elections' degree of democracy required to qualify for intl foreign
aid & loans ]
POWs and Truth Held Ransom
review The Men We Left Behind Henry Kissinger, Politics of Deceit
& Tragic Fate of POWs After Vietnam War, Mark Sauter & Jim Sanders
National Press Books, Bethesda, MD 1993
1.24.94 Wm P. Hoar The New American
Consider USAF pilot Robert Craner, who endured more than 5 years in captivity
and was assigned to be "memory bank" of names & other vital information of POWs
with whom he came in contact while in Vietnamese POW camps. His debriefer upon
returning to the states was a career military intelligence officer named John Halachis.
Some 50 to 60 names that Craner memorized were neither returned nor accounted for
by the Vietnamese communists. "'Some were just taken, some were taken off away for
disciplinary reasons, for a variety of reasons. Some were considered by the camp
guards [to be] high risk for escape,' he says. "For each of 50-60 named POWs, Halachis
filed a report that contained all information stored in Craner's memory. But none of
Craner's names were released by the Senate Select Committee on POW/MIAs.
Presumably, they remain in classified Senate or Pentagon files."
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