P  ACIFIC   RIM Ç Ø N T R A
junta proxima / next meeting
Salvemos Nuestras Costas   info 619.865.6763
E T R O Miercoles / Wed.   12.18.02
Latitude 32 cafe   6pm
    2 luces al sur de toreado Playas,
      oeste al mar y derecha 15m
& links

Shell Oil Corp. LNG import tanker terminal
  at Costa Azul 14 mi. north of Ensenda, Baja MX
    2 stoplights south of seaside bullring in Playas west of Tijuana, then west toward shore & go right at water 40 ft
area topo map

Oceans have no boundries; those placed there are created to protect interests of global rulers.
Humans have the inalienable right to the oceans as a center of life for the planet. The people of the world are the genuine owners of our oceans, not multi-national corporations.   Defend your right to life by preserving the planet.

Shell Corp. has already begun building this liquid gas terminal & ship port. Its environmental impact in the region will have disastrous consequences to already imperiled marine life and sets a dangerous precedent for the oil industry.

Why is Shell moving to Baja California?   In a country with such a corrupt govt, environmental impact studies cannot be relied upon at all. Bribes in U.S. currency are the goal of this mafia designated govt, not preserving marine environment, putting at risk even tourist industry on which Baja California is vitally dependent.
Shell uses Mexico ¹ to access U.S. markets while subverting U.S. environmental laws and avoiding U.S. opposition to ocean polluting industry.
T.A. attended & spoke during public comment
click to view   corp. mktg brochure
click pix for full size image / tecla para leyendo

There is more than enough natural gas throughout the Western Hemisphere to meet current & future demand, let alone need. There is neither development impetus nor market incentive to justify despoiling Mexican coastline to compensate Shell Corp. losses from Enron's collapse, esp. Dabhol defaults.

Shell Gas & Power anunció hoy su intención de desarrollar una nueva terminal de regasificación de gas natural licuado (GNL) en Baja California, en la Costa Oeste de México. Shell ha contratado inicialmente el suministro de 7.5 millones de toneladas de GNL al año, mismas que serán obtenidas de los recursos de proyectos en el Pacífico de Asia.

La terminal tendrá una capacidad de envío de hasta 1.3 billones de pies cúbicos al día y se espera que arranque en el año 2006. Se estima que los costos de inversión asociados sean de aproximadamente $500 millones de dólares. Shell pretende comercializar gas a plantas generadoras de energía y otros clientes potenciales en Baja California, así como vender gas excedente en el mercado del sur de California en los Estados Unidos.

    contactos:
    Shell México (DF) Barbara Blakely 011525.687.4088 x1130
    Shell México (Tijuana) Julio Ledesma 01152664.634.2214, 634.3544
    Shell intl media relations (EUA) Mike McGarry 212.218.3107
    Shell intl media relations (London) Kate Hill 44 (0) 20 7934 2914

    Shell México, SA de C.V.
    Av. Paseo de las Palmas No.425 piso3
    Torre Optima 3
    Col. Lomas de Chapultepec C.P. 11000
    e-mail: shellmex@shellus.com
    Tel. 52 55 50895700   fax 52 55 50895790

    Av. Diego Rivera 2532-600
    Edificio Cortez Carbajal piso6
    Zona Rio, Tijuana, B.C. C.P. 22320
    Tel. 664.634.2214, .634.3544, 634.7550

    Mexican Consulate
    1549 India St   San Diego, CA 92101
      (downtown/Little Italy)

    870 Market, ste 528   San Francisco, CA 94102

Shell Gas & Power dir. Jon Chadwick, quien sostuvo el día de ayer una reunión con Baja Calif. gobernador Eugenio Elorduy Walther, comentó: "El contrato es significante en virtud de que garantiza el suministro de GNL a la nueva terminal, proporcionando a México una nueva fuente de gas para cubrir las crecientes demandas de energía del noroeste de México, mientras que provee una salida para comercializar el gas excedente en los Estados Unidos".

Shell México presidente Peter Kidd, , dijo: "Nos complace estar trabajando con México para realizar este importante proyecto, el cual ayudará a estimular la economía del país al proveer una fuente confiable y limpia de gas natural. Es una buena noticia para México y una buena noticia para las personas de Baja, quienes recibirán los beneficios ambientales del acceso a una energía más limpia".

Shell propone ubicar la terminal en Costa Azul, en el municipio de Ensenada. La compañía llevará a cabo consultas exhaustivas con las comunidades locales y las autoridades relevantes sobre el impacto ambiental y social del desarrollo planeado.
    links
Shell

NGO

industry

addtl

LNG

LNG
MD

NC

GA

LA

TX
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) is natural gas (primarily methane) that has been liquefied by reducing its temperature to minus 260 degrees Fahrenheit.
It has traditionally been used for supplemental supplies, particularly for winter peak periods. It is also important to helping maintain system pressures at different points of the regional natural gas system. There is growing interest in LNG in the last few years in the region and nationally to supply power generation and provide supply flexibility to an increasingly competitive natural gas & energy marketplace.

LNG has an excellent safety record in all its facets, shipping, trucking and storage. The New England Gas Association (NEGA) runs an annual program with the Massachusetts Firefighting Academy on LNG safety. The school has been in operation over 20 years, training personnel from utilities, pipelines, and local fire depts.

U.S. import facilities
There are currently 4 LNG import facilities in the U.S.:

  •   Distrigas of Mass., Everett, MA
  •   Cove Point, Lusby, MD
  •   Elba Island, Georgia
  •   CMS Energy, Lake Charles, LA Everett, MA & Lake Charles, LA facilities have been operating; the other 2 were mothballed. But now those 2 facilities are gearing up for reactivation: Williams bought the Cove Point facility from Columbia Energy; and El Paso has acquired the Elba Island facility (which reopened late in 2001).
    In addition, there are several proposals for new receiving terminals throughout North America in coastal U.S., Canada and Mexico. use of LNG in New England
    LNG is a major fuel for New England, providing as much as 25% of the daily peak supply in the winter. LNG provided about 15% of New England's total gas supply in 2000, according to U.S. Energy Dept statistics. There are liquefaction & satellite storage tanks in localities in the region that are owned and operated by the local distribution companies.
    In 2001, according to NEGA, the LNG storage capacity in New England among the local distribution companies (LDCs) was 14.6 Bcf (which does not include the storage at the Distrigas terminal). Vaporization capacity for daily sendout was approximately 1.3 Bcf/day; and liquefaction capability by the LDCs was 45,000 MMBtu/day. As noted by Distrigas, "the storage represents about ten days of sendout, but since not all storage & regasification assets are identical, the actual days of capacity varies between 2 & 20 depending on the customer."

    about Tractebel LNG N.America / Distrigas
    LNG importer to the New England region is Tractebel LNG North America LLC, based in Boston. It acquired Cabot LNG Sept. 2000. Its subsidiary is Distrigas of Massachusetts.
    The region's import facility is the Distrigas of Massachusetts facility in Everett, MA. It has storage of 3.5 billion cubic feet (Bcf). It has sendout capability of 450,000 MMBtu/day by vapor and 100,000 MMBtu/day by truck. It is connected to the region's 2 main interstate pipeline systems, Algonquin & Tennessee.

    Co. LNG shipments to U.S. ports grew by almost 50% during the first 6 months of 2001 over the same period in 2000. Construction is underway to increase the LNG vaporization capacity at the Everett terminal to over one billion cubic ft per day. This upgrade will enable Tractebel LNG America to fuel a 1,550 megawatt power plant currently under construction near the Everett terminal.
    In addition, Tractebel LNG North America recently secured long-term charters for 2 brand-new 138,000 cubic meter LNG carriers to significantly bolster its transportation capabilities for many years to come. May 1999, Distrigas received its first shipments of LNG from the Atlantic LNG Project, from Trinidad & Tobago. Distrigas holds a 20-year contract for 60% of the plant's design capacity of approximately 400 million cubic feet per day. Further finds in this Caribbean region indicate substantial reserves (perhaps as much as 65-70 Tcf).

    Year 2001 LNG imports to New England
    According to preliminary data from U.S. Energy Dept Office of Natural Gas Import & Export Activities ¹, in 2001 Trinidad provided 74 Bcf or 82% of Distrigas's imports at Everett. Distrigas also imported 16.4 Bcf from Algeria.
    LNG imports into New England have risen substantially in recent years: 90 Bcf in 2001 compared to 37 Bcf in 1998.

    future potential of LNG
    U.S. Energy Information Administration Dec. 2001 report on U.S. natural gas markets included the following observations about LNG:

  •   "LNG has becomes a more viable source of future natural gas supply because of the extent of world natural gas resources and the significant decline in LNG costs in all segments of the supply chain."
  •   "Between 1996 & 2000, cost of a new [LNG] tanker dropped by approximately 30%. Construction costs for regasification terminals have seen similar decreases. Because of the capital-intensive nature of LNG trade, more than 70% of the cost of regasified, delivered natural gas is made up of processing & transportation costs."
  •   "The results of EIA's analysis suggest that increased imports of LNG could have a positive effect on U.S. natural gas markets, especially in an environment of high demand. LNG can meet demand that otherwise would have to be met by higher costs sources, thus tempering price increases."
  • more re LNG, esp. import terminals

    DOE National HAZMAT Spill Ctr nee LGFST (Liquified Gaseous Fuels Spill Test Facility) Frenchman Flat, Nevada; Sect. 901(b) amends Sect. 103(f) of the Clean Air Act to require EPA to assist the Dept of Energy and the Federal Coordinating Council for Science, Engineering, and Technology in a research program regarding the accidental release of liquefied gaseous fuels.
    Liquid natural gas (LNG) transportation into the Port of Boston is expected to increase by 300% during 1998/99. This project is intended to manage this increase while maintaining the current level of safety of life, property, and the environment, and to optimize available Coast Guard resources. The risk assessment technique described in Appendix I of the PTP QAT report was used to analyze the risks associated with this expected change. The policies contained in the current LNG vessel movement & emergency procedures manual will be revised to reflect recommendations derived from this project.

    Supply areas to the U.S., ranked by volume, 2000

  •   Trinidad & Tobago
  •   Qatar
  •   Algeria
  •   Nigeria
  •   Oman
  •   Australia
  •   Indonesia
  •   United Arab Emirates


    Gas tanker to pass within miles of Calvert nuclear power plant
    First such trip in 20 years to test Bay anti-terror measures
    4.1.03   Raymond McCaffrey Wash.Post

    For the first time in 2 decades, a foreign tanker carrying liquefied natural gas will enter the Chesapeake Bay sometime later this year, passing within 3 miles of the Calvert Cliffs Nuclear Power Plant and, in the process, triggering the most intensive maritime security operation ever in the region. It will begin 4 days before the tanker reaches bay waters, when the Coast Guard is notified of its impending arrival and begins cross-checking crew members & passengers against terrorist watch lists. As the tanker approaches the bay from the Atlantic Ocean at Cape Henry, it will be stopped by an armed Coast Guard team that will inspect the mammoth vessel, the length of more than 3 football fields.
    Once the ship is cleared for its 8 to 10-hour journey to the reactivated Cove Point liquefied natural gas facility in southern Calvert County, "a moving safety security zone" will form around it, ensuring that no other vessels get closer than a prescribed distance. The web of security, which probably will include air surveillance, will be drawn tighter as the tanker approaches the Calvert shoreline.

    Lt. Cmdr. Brendon McPherson said the operation, which will continue until the tanker finishes unloading and returns to sea, will be typical of the Coast Guard's "unprecedented" security measures. Neighbors of the facility say they are not so sure the security be enough, unprecedented or not. Months before 9.11.01, residents told federal regulators that they feared that terrorists could commandeer a LNG tanker. Should its massive storage tanks be breached, either by grounding or explosion, the gas would vaporize on contact with the air and could, if ignited, send a giant fireball hurtling toward the nuclear plant and their community.
    "We were afraid of terrorists before and 9.11.01 came," said Lusby resident Mary Robinson, whose home is within several miles of the Cove Point LNG plant. Sen. Barbara A. Mikulski D-MD said she has concerns, despite expressing confidence in the Coast Guard when, in Dec. 2002, it judged the bay to be suitable and safe for LNG traffic. "We're in a war against terrorism," Mikulski said in a recent interview. "I continue to be concerned and therefore I don't believe any nautical operation is risk-free."

    Debate over the merits of resuming LNG tanker traffic has gone on for 3 years, ever since the Williams Co. proposed a $120 million plan to reactivate the Cove Point facility. It closed in Dec. 1980 because of falling domestic natural gas prices and a dispute with exporters from Algeria, then the prime source of the product. But increased domestic demand and the economic advantages of shipping natural gas in liquefied form (it takes up 1/600th the space of gas in its vapor form) have made the terminal financially viable again.
    Officials with Williams & Dominion Power, which bought the Cove Point plant last year, have said that reactivating the plant would pose no danger to the surrounding community. Dominion spokesman Dan Donovan said LNG importation is "the safest way to transport natural gas." Federal Energy Regulatory Commission concurred Oct. 2001 when it approved the plan to reactivate and expand Cove Point. But the timing of that decision, one month after 9.11.01, drew criticism from Mikulski, who called it "cavalier." Days after Mikulski's comments, the commission hastily convened a conference to take another look at the possible security risks. The approval was affirmed, although the Coast Guard has final say on shipping safety measures.

    Mikulski did not drop the matter, sending a letter to then Coast Guard commandant Adm. James M. Loy saying that Maryland residents "need to know that LNG shipping to the Cove Point terminal will not be permitted if this would create a new vulnerability to terrorism." Mikulski also wrote that she was "gravely concerned that the U.S. Coast Guard, already stretched to perform added homeland security missions, simply does not have the vessels necessary to take on the added burden LNG shipping would impose."

  • McPherson said the Coast Guard's ability to handle the load will depend on how heavy the ship traffic becomes. He said the agency can handle "several" ships a month. But in an interview, Dominion spokesman Donovan said that the company expects "30 to 40 ships" to arrive this year, meaning that, if shipping commences as anticipated in late Aug. 2003, 7 to 10 LNG tankers could enter the bay each month at the outset. That pace would continue; Dominion expects to receive about 100 ships a year at Cove Point, Donovan said. Moreover, Donovan said it could take a "couple of days to unload" a tanker.

    The Coast Guard anticipates that it will have more help when it formally joins the Homeland Security Dept next month. McPherson said that "undoubtedly that will have benefits," allowing the Coast Guard & other agencies "shared resources, shared communications, shared intelligence."
    Officials have taken other preventive measures. Security has been upgraded at the LNG facility and the nuclear plant. The state has distributed potassium iodide pills to residents within 10 miles of the Calvert Cliffs plant to protect them from possible radiation poisoning. That is little comfort to neighbors of the Cove Point plant, however. Robinson said that she is "feeling less secure, period." She, like many other Americans, no longer believes she is protected from "terrorism by the big Atlantic Ocean." "I feel that whatever happens will happen quickly and unpredictably," she said.

      blowback
    According to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission the major safety concerns related to LNG are:
  •   The spillage of the entire contents of a full LNG storage tank that can ignite creating a large unusually hot fire that produces thermal radiation. This intense heat causes severe burns in as little as 3 seconds; spontaneous combustion of clothing and wood; and the loss of structural integrity in metal.
  •   An LNG tank spill can also produce a flammable vapor plume. The danger zone can extend to a radius of up to approximately 4,000 ft. in diameter, creating the potential for serious personal injury & property damage or destruction.
  •   Another major safety concern is an LNG tanker spill on the water. The hazard from such an accident is the creation of a flammable vapor plume that can travel up to 2 miles creating fire risk for everything in its path.
  •   According to U.S. Dept of Transportation, LNG can also explode in confined spaces. DoT warns that spills on water are particularly dangerous because the vapors can travel into sewers or other confined spaces where they might be ignited and explode putting public safety and property at extreme risk.
      more

    Shell warns of explosion as Nigerian villagers scoop oil from spill   12.4.02   Glenn McKenzie AP

    LAGOS, Nigeria   Shell Oil warned Tuesday of a "potential disaster" as hundreds of slum-dwellers scooped crude oil spilling from a ruptured pipeline that the company said could explode at any time. A spokesman for the Nigerian subsidiary of Royal Dutch-Shell, speaking on customary condition of anonymity, said large numbers of residents were scooping oil into buckets & barrels from the spill in the heavily populated slum of Maroko on the outskirts of the southern port city of Warri.

    It was not known when or how the spill began. Breaking pipelines to siphon off fuel, a practice known as "scooping", is common in Nigeria despite the risk of a deadly fire or punishment, including being shot on sight by police.

    The size of the latest spill was impossible to immediately determine, the spokesman said. The company shut off the pipeline but residual oil continued to gush from the pipe. Authorities of the multinational oil co. feared the pipeline could catch fire as a result of the villagers' actions, the spokesman warned. Several pipeline spills in Nigeria have exploded in recent years, killing thousands of villagers.
    "We are making efforts to prevent any loss of lives," the spokesman said. A team of company officials, local govt employees, and residents' representatives had been dispatched to try to "isolate the danger," he said, without giving details. The pipeline transports crude oil from wells in the Niger Delta to a refinery in Warri.

    In Dec. 1998, a pipeline blast in the Niger Delta village of Jesse killed more than 700 people. Since then, the govt has tried to educate villagers about the danger of scavenging pipeline fuel. But poverty and residents' anger at the govt & oil industry for allegedly polluting the environment and neglecting the Niger Delta, an area with few roads and little electricity or running water despite its immense petroleum wealth, have kept the illegal practice alive. Victims often include young children who scoop the fuel into containers to sell along the roadside.
    Nigeria is the world's sixth-largest oil exporter.

    Shell, El Paso may invest in Indonesia's 4th LNG plant   7.17.02   PetroMin

    Bloomberg reported July 8 that Indonesia said Royal Dutch/Shell Group & El Paso Corp. have expressed interest in investing in what may be the Southeast Asian country's fourth liquefied natural gas plant. Indonesia, world's top LNG exporter with 2 plants in production and a third planned, may build another after state- owned oil co. Pertamina & PT Medco Energi Internasional doubled the gas reserves of the Donggi field in Central Sulawesi.

    Indonesia & BP Plc are bidding to win contracts to sell LNG to China before building the country's third LNG plant in Papua province. "We've been approached by Shell, El Paso,'' said Pertamina's upstream affairs vp Iin Arifin Takhyan. "This year we hope to be able to certify that Donggi has 9 trillion cubic ft of proven reserves instead of 5 trillion.'' The reserves in Donggi may reach as much as 20 trillion cubic feet, Iin said.
    The latest natural gas find adds to Indonesia's reserves, already Asia's biggest. Indonesia expects to earn 66 trillion rupiah ($7.4 billion) from the oil & gas industry this year, making up one-fifth of the country's budget revenue. Pertamina has signed an initial agreement with Marathon Oil Corp., Iin said. While he declined to elaborate, in May, Pertamina said Marathon may want to market natural gas from the Donggi field in the U.S.

    Marathon, fourth biggest U.S. oil co., will build a $900 million receiving terminal in Baja California, Mexico, to turn liquefied fuel back into gas. Pertamina & Golar LNG Ltd., a Bermuda-based shipping co., are partners in the project that is expected to start operation in 2005.
    Indonesia and its rivals including Malaysia are looking toward the U.S. as a potential market for their LNG after demand from Japan, which buys almost 60%#37; of the world's LNG, slowed.


    B00-099   correction: The Maritime Administration has given approval to Wilmington Trust Co., as owner trustee, Wilmington, DE, to transfer to Marshall Islands registry and flag the eight LNG carriers LIBRA, AQUARIUS, ARIES, CAPRICORN, GEMINI, LEO, TARUS, and VIRGO, without change in the ownership of the vessels.
    7.24.00     U.S. DoT Maritime Admin press book
    B99-128   The Maritime Administrator has denied a request by District No. 1, Pacific Coast Dist., Marine Engineers' Beneficial Association, for a stay of MARAD's 11.3.99 Order conditionally granting approval to transfer registry from the United States to the Republic of the Marshall Islands of 8 LNG vessels . MARAD believes that its Nov.3 Order approving the transfer of the vessels is lawful and that a stay of the Order is not warranted.
    MARAD also noted MEBA has not provided any new information that was not considered during the extensive evaluation of the transfer applications and the preparation of its (MARAD's) Nov.3 Order, has not demonstrated a strong likelihood that it would prevail on the merits of its claim, and has not demonstrated that it would suffer irreparable hard.
    12.23.99   U.S. DoT Maritime Admin press book

  • some places, fisheries have collapsed from overuse, … "The lobster is gone. The abalone is gone. All we have left is tourism,"
    Anita Grosso de Espinosa, 94-year-old restaurant owner in El Rosario, along Baja's main hwy
    Proposed gas terminal fuels protests in northern Mexico   5.21.02   Ben Fox AP

    Rosarito, Mexico   It's the biggest thing to hit Rosarito since the invention of spring break: a proposed $400 million terminal to import natural gas and distribute it in the energy-hungry U.S.-Mexico border region. But this beach town 20 miles south of the border isn't exactly welcoming what would be the largest private investment project in its history.
    Instead, the plan to bring in natural gas from SE Asia is leading to boisterous street demonstrations and complaints about safety & potential harm to tourism, the mainstay for this city of 100,000. It's also contributing to concern that global energy companies want to use northern Mexico as a backdoor into the U.S.-energy market.

    "We need the money. Mexico needs the money," said Eduardo Orozco, who sells hand-crafted furniture to tourists at his shop on Rosarito's dusty main street. "But because we need it doesn't mean that you can come down here and do whatever you want." The Rosarito terminal is one of at least 4 natural gas terminals proposed by some of the world's largest energy companies for the Baja California coast. Combined, the projects would transform the region into a major supplier of natural gas for power plants & industrial users in northern Mexico & California.
    In the minds of many in Rosarito, the promise of dozens of permanent jobs and a flush of spending in the local economy hasn't outweighed concerns about potential harm to the environment and the image of a town best known for the revelries of college students on spring break.

    So far, there's enough opposition that Rosarito's mayor says he might block the land-use permit required to develop the natural gas terminal. "I think it's going to be very difficult to convince people this is a good project," Mayor Luis Enrique Diaz said. Phillips Petroleum Co. & El Paso Corp. already have spent millions buying land. Denial of the permit would be a costly setback and could also spell trouble for 3 other natural gas terminals that foreign firms have proposed in the area.

    Mexico's Baja California state is attractive to energy companies because it suffers from chronic power shortages, has a growing industrial base & population, and can share surplus power with its neighbors across the border in California, which has power shortages of its own. Liquefied natural gas, or LNG, is a solution to an energy dilemma. It is a cleaner, more efficient fuel than oil or coal.
    But vast natural gas deposits lie in remote areas, beyond the reach of pipelines. To ship it, natural gas is cooled until it becomes liquid then put in tankers. At terminals like those proposed for Rosarito, the LNG would be warmed with sea water before being piped out.

    Rosarito residents say they believe company assurances that the technology is safe. But they worry about the terminal's proximity to a govt-owned power plant and a fuel oil storage facility operated by Pemex, Mexico's state- owned oil company. Pemex has a well-documented history of environmental & safety violations, and some fear the 3 facilities together would be a combustible combination. "I don't have any confidence in the govt and it's ability to enforce safety standards," said Rosarito high school teacher Victor Sanchez.

    People living near the site oppose any further industrialization in the two adjacent, largely working-class neighborhoods. "They shouldn't put it in the middle of a neighborhood," said Edubijez Medina, a mother of nine. "It's too much risk."

    Phillips & El Paso Corp. have met with local officials & community groups to sell the concept. They downplay opposition, insisting support will be won over in time to start construction later this year and open the terminal in 2005. "It's a question of making sure our neighbors & the local officials are comfortable with the safety & the economic benefits of the project," said , Bartlesville, OK based Phillips' Mexican subsidiary external affairs dir. Ricardo Reyes.
    Mexico has no LNG receiving stations. Federal regulations to authorize the terminals are expected later this year. Presently, no LNG facilities serve the U.S. West Coast. 4 in the U.S. are in Maryland, Massachusetts, Louisiana, and Georgia. Baja California is seeing a rush of energy development. 2 power plants are under construction near the border town of Mexicali, as is a 215-mile natural gas pipeline between Blythe, Calif., and Tijuana.

    Other U.S. firms are following the progress of the Rosarito LNG project. Marathon Oil of Houston & Pertamina, Indonesia's state oil co., are part of a consortium proposing a $900 million project for Tijuana that includes a liquid natural gas terminal and a 400-megawatt power plant.
    Two LNG projects are proposed for the port city of Ensenada, 70 miles south of the border: one by a unit of the Royal Dutch Shell Group; another is a partnership by San Diego's Sempra Energy & CMS Energy Corp. of Dearborn, MI. ChevronTexaco Corp. is also considering a liquid natural gas terminal in Baja California.

    Analysts doubt there's enough demand to support all the proposals. "I think more than one would be too much," said San Diego State Univ. dir. Center for Energy Studies Alan Sweedler. The projects also must overcome mounting opposition from Mexican & U.S. environmental groups. The Rosarito project is drawing the most vocal & organized protests. Last month, teachers & parents pulled children from 2 elementary schools to present 1,000 protest letters to Rosarito's mayor & Baja California Gov. Eugenio Elorduy.

    The project has yet to win the backing of the city's most prominent association of business leaders, which is awaiting results of a risk assessment, said the group's president Hugo Torres. "Clearly, there are benefits," said Rosarito Beach Hotel owner Torres. "But there aren't so many that they could overcome any risk. We'll just have to see."

    Tijuana city plan does not permit energy complex
    12.4.02   Diane Lindquist
    SD Union-Tribune

    Marathon Oil's proposed energy complex in Tijuana violates the city's urban development plan and can't be built on the site the co. chose next to an upscale beachfront suburb, according to Tijuana's city manager. But another Tijuana official contends the matter is not yet settled, and Marathon officials say they will forge ahead with the $1.5 billion project at that site.
    The huge complex would include a liquefied natural gas re-gasification plant, desalinization and waste water treatment facilities, an electrical power plant and a long pier to receive LNG-filled ocean tankers.

    But city manager Raul Leggs Vazquez said industrial development isn't permitted in the city's coastal zone, which includes both the La Joya site where the plant would be located and the adjacent Playas de Tijuana neighborhood. Tijuana's urban development plan permits only housing & related development, Leggs told The San Diego Union-Tribune. "We suggest they look for another site," he said.
    Tijuana economic development secretary Humberto Inzunza Fonseca, however, said the urban plan is not set in stone. "Sometimes those plans change," he said. Inzunza said other Tijuana residents, including members of several local business associations, believe such a project is needed to sustain Baja California's economic growth.

    Marathon recently picked up the expenses for Inzunza & Maximo Garcia Hernandez, a member of Tijuana's human development staff, to travel to Japan to visit the company's liquefied natural gas facility near Tokyo. "We saw a very impressive facility there," Inzunza said. "But in the end, the entire city of Tijuana has to be involved in the decision."
    Marathon spokesman Paul Weeditz said the company worked diligently in settling on La Joya as the best site for its regional energy complex. La Joya, he noted, already has several industrial facilities, including Tijuana's waste water treatment plant. "We plan to continue to pursue obtaining the necessary permits for the regional energy center," he said, "and will continue to work with local, state and federal authorities to develop this important project that will bring substantial economic, social and environmental benefits to the region."

    Playas residents, who compare their neighborhood to Coronado & La Jolla in San Diego, said they were encouraged by the city manager's position. But Gabriela Johnston, who is among those leading the campaign against the project's development at La Joya, said they know the urban plan can be amended under certain circumstances. "We can't be completely sure until we hear it from the mayor and the city council," she said. "That's our next step, to work with them so we can relax and stop fighting."

    Marathon's complex is the second of nearly a score of controversial energy projects in Baja California to be affected by community pressure. Gov. Eugenio Elorduy Walther and Rosarito Beach Mayor Luis Enrique Diaz, in response to complaints from Rosarito Beach residents, have spoken against construction of a ConocoPhillips-El Paso Corp. liquefied natural gas re-gasification plant on Rosarito Beach's northern outskirts. Federal officials have refused to grant that project an environmental permit.
    But the energy companies plan to reapply for the permit, ConocoPhillips spokesman Bill Taylor said. And they hope eventually to win local residents' support. "If the community wants it or if they decide it's not what they want, that is what will make the determination," Taylor said.


      So. California
    Flynn seeks allies in fight against offshore gas plant
    4.22.03   Catherine Saillant
    L.A. Times

    Hoping to put a quick end to plans for an offshore natural gas plant, Ventura County superv. John Flynn is asking the Board of Supervisors to oppose the project before it even comes to them for a vote. Crystal Energy of Houston wants to ship liquefied natural gas to Platform Grace, 11 miles offshore, convert it there into vapor and funnel it via an underwater pipeline to an area near the Mandalay Bay power plant in Oxnard.
    Converting the oil platform would invite environmental disaster, Flynn said. Risks such as accidental explosions, release of methane vapors and rips in high-pressure tanks are well-documented, making the project incompatible with the heavily populated coastal area, the supervisor said. "We don't want this off our shore in Ventura County because of safety issues primarily," said Flynn, whose Oxnard district abuts the planned pipeline facility. "But secondarily, these people are shopping for a site and we should go tell them to shop someplace else."

    Flynn said Crystal Energy has already been turned down by Vallejo, Calif. Co. officials could not be reached for comment. But Crystal Energy president Wm O. Perkins previously said environmental effects would be minimal. If approved, the $125-million project would provide a safe and much-needed natural gas supply for California's consumers, Perkins has said.
    The project must go through a lengthy approval process before several agencies, incl U.S. Coast Guard, California State Lands Commission and the California Coastal Commission. The Board of Supervisors would also have to sign off on the project. Flynn said he will present a formal opposition resolution to his colleagues on 5.6.03

    ChevronTexaco's proposed 800 million cubic foot per day LNG receiving terminal platform 36 miles off the Louisiana coast in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico looks to be moving briskly through the new streamlined US approval process for offshore LNG terminals. The Coast Guard & the Maritime Administration (Marad) filed a report in Monday's Federal Register indicating their intention to embark on the Environmental Impact Study (EIS) for the plant (WGI Jan.22,p1).
    The platform, located in Block Vermillion 140, would be connected to 2 undersea storage tanks that could each hold the equivalent of a 138,000 cubic meter LNG tanker cargo and that would constitute Chevron's only LNG receiving capacity in the US. Port Pelican would deliver the gas to market through existing supply and gathering systems in the Gulf of Mexico (WGI Feb.5,p1).
    A new law mandates that an application for an offshore terminal be processed within a year of its delivery to the Coast Guard, and Commander Mark Prescott says that he does not expect any scheduling delays for the Chevron project, despite the fact that a standard EIS could itself take up to a year to process.
    Chevron is currently developing gas reserves and an LNG project in Nigeria as a potential supply source to the US. The only other company to put in an application for an offshore receiving terminal is El Paso. Unlike the Port Pelican plan, which entails an actual regasification platform & ship berth, the El Paso EnergyBridge scheme calls for an undersea pipeline hookup directly to ships specially equipped with regasification capacity. A notice of intention for the Energy Bridge EIS is expected within the next few weeks, according to Prescott.

    In the wake of El Paso's financial troubles, however, one of the 3 regasification ships scheduled for delivery in 2005 has been cancelled, shipping sources say. Coast Guard sources add that El Paso is looking for another co. to come in as a partner in its EnergyBridge concept (WGI Mar.26,p6)

      background
    Intl Energy Outlook 2002: Natural Gas
    excerpt   DOE

    As a result of the renewed interest in LNG, numerous additional facilities are being considered, including sites in the Gulf of Mexico, North Carolina, and Florida; however, siting an LNG receiving terminal in the U.S. can be a formidable task.
    Aside from the geographical requirements, the NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) factor can be close to insurmountable and is likely to be the most important factor in whether a facility is built at a particular location.

    To avoid this problem, there have been proposals to site the facilities outside US borders, notably, in Baja California (Mexico) and in the Bahamas. Local opposition makes the prospect of new facilities to serve U.S. markets uncertain for the near future.

    Opposition to new LNG receiving facilities does not preclude expansion at existing facilities, however. El Paso subsidiary Southern LNG has plans to expand its Elba Island facility by 80%, … added capacity is expected to be in place by 6.1.05

    Talk of new facilities continues in spite of a significant drop in natural gas prices over the past year, with many developers stating that even with the current U.S. prices of under $3 per thousand cubic ft, they expect LNG to be economical in the future and are proceeding with their plans. AEO2002 forecast projects expansion of existing facilities and increases in gross LNG imports averaging 7.1% per year from 2000 to 2020.

    In addition to pipeline imports, LNG is expected to meet some of Mexico's growing demand, and several LNG receiving facilities have been proposed to serve markets in northwestern Mexico and southern California.

  •   Sempra Energy & CMS Energy have proposed a joint venture for a terminal north of Ensenada in Mexico's Baja California with a sendout capacity of 1 billion cubic ft per day;
  •   Phillips Petroleum & El Paso Corp. have proposed a 630 million cubic ft per day facility;
  •   El Paso is also considering a terminal to be located offshore California;
  •   Chevron is evaluating both offshore California & Baja California for a 750 million cubic ft per day facility.
  •   Shell Oil, in partnership with El Paso, is planning a 0.5 to 1.0 billion cubic ft per day receiving facility in Mexico's east coast Tamaulipas state at Altamira that would receive gas from Africa, the Carribean, and S.America.

    Turning towards South America, Mexico has had preliminary talks outlining an economic agreement with Bolivia that would allow the Pacific LNG consortium (Respol-YPF, British Gas, and British Petroleum), to use Mexico's pipelines and plants to process LNG from Bolivia to be exported to the U.S. for use in southern California. The arrangement would also provide Mexico with Bolivian gas for its own use.

    Mexico is also struggling to restructure its natural gas industry in order to develop its vast natural gas resources. Two factors that hinder more rapid expansion of the gas market in Mexico are the complete control of the exploration & production sector of the market by Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex), the state oil & gas co., and lack of infrastructure to move gas from the main producing areas in the south to the major consuming regions in the north.

    While the distribution segment of the industry has been open to private investment since 1995 and has seen significant growth in recent years, exploration & production continue to be controlled by Pemex. Mexican govt feels it is imperative that progress be made in opening the natural gas production sector, because the govt does not have the financial resources to fully develop the country's reserves.
    To this end, Pemex is working to develop a multiple-service contract that can be used to get foreign investors to help develop Mexico's natural gas. According to Pemex technology & professional development first vp Dominguez Vargas, the initial emphasis would be on getting contracts in place for development efforts in the Burgos basin in northeastern Mexico, where the largest production increase could be achieved.

    The situation is a difficult one for Mexican Pres. Fox, who took office 12.1.00. Most of Mexico's current natural gas production is associated with light crude oil production; the declining ratio of light crude to total crude production yields a corresponding decline in associated gas production.
    According to Energy Minister Ernesto Martens, Mexico will need to increase its gas production from the current 5 billion cubic ft per day to 12 billion cubic ft per day by 2006. The Fox administration favors restructuring Mexico's energy markets, but it will be difficult to implement any sweeping reform, because the party lacks a majority in both of the Mexican govt's legislative bodies. At a minimum, Fox has indicated that he intends to open up exploration & development of nonassociated gas to private investment.

    W. Europe
    Greece began importing LNG from Algeria late 1999 into the Revithoussa LNG terminal near Athens. The terminal is small, with a receiving capacity of 23 billion cubic ft per year. It is possible that the terminal could be expanded, or that an additional terminal could be built: however, an undersea natural gas pipeline from Italy to Greece is currently in the feasibility study phase

    Spain currently has 3 LNG receiving terminals, all operated by Enagas, located in Barcelona, Huelva, and Cartagena, with combined capacity of 500 billion cubic ft per year, which became operational in 1969, 1988, and 1999.
    There is also considerable growth in LNG receiving capacity on the horizon, with 2 new terminals currently under construction and a third in the planning stage. The first of those under construction is scheduled to come online in 2003 in the port of Bilboa in the northern Basque region and be operated by Bahia de Bizkaia Gas. The second is expected to come online in 2005 in Valencia and be operated by Union Fenosa.
    The proposed terminal, to be located in Murgardos, will be operated by Union Fenosa, Endesa, and Sonartrach, in addition to local companies

    Central/South America
    Trinidad & Tobago is currently supplying gas to the EcoElectrica facility in Puerto Rico and has also signed an agreement to send LNG to a new import terminal in the Dominican Republic as early as late 2002. This highlights the potential for increased use of imported LNG in smaller markets. Asia
    While China is promoting expansion of domestic gas supplies, development of an LNG import facility in Guangdong province is also proceeding. BP Amoco won the right to build the terminal but not necessarily the right to supply LNG to the facility.
    In addition to the Guangdong facility, CNOOC signed an agreement with the Fujian provincial govt to build a 2 million metric ton LNG receiving terminal. CNOOC would take responsibility for the terminal and an attached trunk pipeline; Fujian govt would take care of the provincial distribution network. A detailed study must be done and submitted to the State Development Planning Commission for approval, but CNOOC would like to begin operation by 2005 or 2006. Fujian province is located on the south China coast between the LNG facility planned for Guangdong and the West-East pipeline that is intended to extend to Shanghai.

    Enron's Dabhol project in India had collapsed long before the company itself. The Maharashtra State Electricity Board accused Enron of overcharging and refused to pay for the power from Dabhol. Enron-controlled Dabhol Power Co. then defaulted on interest payments to international lenders on the gas-fired 1,440MW second phase of the project, which was 90% complete.
    A 2.5 million ton LNG receiving terminal was said to be roughly 85% complete. Indian financial institutions are laying claim to the Enron assets, but their success at taking over the assets remains unclear. Petronet LNG, which is planning to begin importing gas at its 5 million ton LNG facility at Dahej in Gujarat Dec. 2003, is also preparing to select a contractor to build a 2.5 million ton per year terminal at Kochi in Southern India.

    LNG policy confusion & backpedaling on market liberalization could complicate LNG projects. Policy differences among ministries are delaying the adoption of an integrated policy on importing, consuming, and transporting LNG.
    Another measure under consideration would require 26% Indian ownership in any venture shipping LNG to India, gradually rising to 50% in 5 years. In order to ensure domestic control, the govt is also likely to insist on free-on-board (f.o.b.) contracts that obligate the buyer to arrange for transporting the product.

    Malaysia is expanding its Bintulu LNG facility without the long-term contracts in place that normally accompany an LNG project. The 6.8 million ton per year expansion will increase total capacity to 23 million metric tons per year, making Bintulu the largest LNG producing facility in the world. Jointly developed by Petronas & Royal Dutch/Shell, The project had a letter of intent for 2.6 million tons per year from Enron's subsidiary in India, but that is highly unlikely at this point.. That leaves a firm contract for only 0.9 million tons per year with Tohoku Electric. Malaysia is desperately seeking Japanese & South Korean customers to absorb the gas and could be a large contributor to the nascent LNG spot market.



    Report: Shell to boost its natural gas
    6.3.03  
    Reuters

    NYC   Royal Dutch/Shell Group plans to grow its natural gas business relative to its oil assets and intends to supply gas to U.S., Wall St Journal reported Tue. Demand for gas may overtake demand for oil in the next 2 decades, Sir Philip Watts, Anglo-Dutch co.'s committee of managing directors' chair told the Journal.
    Watts listed U.S. & Asia Pacific region, incl India & China, as places where demand will rise. "We've taken the view that the relative growth of gas to oil leads to the clear possibility that gas will overtake oil," Watts told the newspaper. Watts also told the newspaper that he expects an increasing need for U.S. to import gas. "The reality is that gradually basins get more mature, return on effort (diminishes); inexorably, as more oil is being imported into U.S., more will need to be imported," he said, according to the newspaper's report.

    Shell is world's #2 publicly traded oil co. Watts told the newspaper that while the company may take advantage of a good opportunity to acquire gas-producing assets in U.S., the company intends for now to focus on importing into the country. Shell spokesman told the Journal that sales of natural gas were about 41% of its total hydrocarbon output last year.


  • Intl Energy Outlook 2001: Natural Gas
    excerpt   DOE

    Around the world, gas use is increasing for a variety of reasons, incl price, environmental concerns, fuel diversification and/or energy security issues, market deregulation (for both gas & electricity), and overall economic growth. In many countries, govts hold equity in natural gas companies, and this can be used as a policy instrument.
    In Asia, examples include Kogas (Korea), Petronas (Malaysia), Pertamina (Indonesia), China National Petroleum Corp., and Gas Authority of India Ltd. In MidEast & Africa, examples include Oman LNG, Adgas (subsidiary of Abu Dhabi National Oil Co.), National Iranian Oil Co., Sonatrach (Algeria), Nigerian National Petroleum Corp., Egyptian General Petroleum Co., and Mossgas in South Africa.
      [ If his suppliers are typically nationalized industry, why is
    Fox seeking to denationalize the industry? ]

    Barely 20% of the natural gas that the world consumed in 1999 was traded across intl borders, as compared with 50% the oil consumed. Trade of both fuels grew steadily in the late 1990s, but natural gas is more complex to transport and generally requires larger investments. In addition, many gas resources are located far from demand centers.
    Future world gas consumption will require bringing new gas resources to market. Currently, economics of transporting natural gas to demand centers depends on the market price, and the pricing of natural gas is complicated by the fact that it is much less traded than oil.

    reserves
    Global natural gas reserves doubled over the past 20 years, outpacing growth in oil reserves over the same period. Gas reserve estimates have grown particularly rapidly in the former Soviet Union (FSU) and in developing countries in the MidEast, South & Central America, and the Asia Pacific region.

    Pipeline capacity between U.S. & Mexico has increased by 70% since 1998, from 1,150 billion cubic ft per day to 1,970 billion cubic ft. The increase resulted from 3 projects:

  •   Sept. 1999 opening of the Tennessee Pipeline near Alamo TX;
  •   Oct. 2000 opening of Coral Energy pipeline between Kleburg County and Hidalgo County, TX, to the border that will serve the state oil co. Pemex, at Arguelles, MX;
  •   April 2000 opening of the Rosarito pipeline from San Diego County to Rosarito, Baja California (300 million cubic ft per day).
    Tennessee & Coral Energy pipelines are bidirectional. Most capacity between U.S. & Canada flows into the U.S., approximately 75% of the capacity between the U.S. & Mexico is bidirectional.

    A number of additional projects have been proposed and may proceed if the trend of increased trade with Mexico continues. Current plans include 2 El Paso Natural Gas projects, one that will add 130 million cubic ft per day of capacity at the Arizona/Mexico border and the other a project to increase compression on the Samalyuca pipeline, which will add 60 million cubic ft per day at the Texas/Mexico border.

    Although North America accounted for 5% of the world's total natural gas proved reserves at the end of 1999, it accounted for 31.8% of the world's total production, most consumed internally. U.S. accounted for 23.2% of world's total production, second only to Russia's 23.7%. Canada was the world's third largest natural gas producer, accounting for 7.0% of the total.
    Mexico produced only slightly more gas than it consumed in 1999, whereas Canada produced more than twice as much as it consumed. Almost all the excess production in both Canada & Mexico was exported to the U.S. to fill the widening gap between U.S. production & consumption.

    U.S. exports to Canada from the U.S. were negligible, but exports to Mexico, primarily to satisfy demand in areas where Mexico did not have the infrastructure to get its own domestic supplies to market, exceeded imports by 12.5%. In 1999, U.S. net imports of natural gas represented 15.8% of consumption; imports are projected to make up 16.7% of U.S. consumption in 2020.
    Canada, which supplied 95% of U.S. natural gas imports in 1999, is expected to continue to be the primary source of U.S. imports.

    A growing source of U.S. imports is liquefied natural gas (LNG). 4 LNG receiving terminals exist in the U.S., but two (Cove Point, Maryland, and Elba Island, Georgia) have been mothballed for many years. Higher natural gas prices, reductions in the costs of producing & transporting LNG, and development of new sources have caused renewed interest in LNG, and there are plans to reopen both the Cove Point and Elba Island facilities by 2002.
    In conjunction with the reopening Cove Point facility owner Willams has announced plans to add a fifth storage tank to the 4 existing tanks. When it is open, Cove Point will be the largest of the 4 U.S. terminals.

    Algeria was once the only source of LNG supply for the U.S., but Trinidad & Tobago has now become the primary source of supply, with cargos coming also from Qatar, Nigeria, Australia, Oman, and UAE. In addition, spot market sales are now becoming routine. For the first 9 months of 2000, 36 out of 74 cargoes received were spot sales, with long-term contract sales only with Trinidad & Tobago and Algeria.

    All indications are that LNG imports will grow in the future. Aggregate existing sustainable capacity of the 4 U.S. facilities is 840 billion cubic ft per year, and their capacity could be expanded. Lake Charles LA facility owner CMS Trunkline LNG Co. is considering expanding the facility to add 110 billion cubic ft per year of deliverability. CMS is currently conducting an open season through 2.15.01 to assess interest in long-term contracts starting in early 2002, and will base its decision on the outcome.
    Although LNG is not expected to become a major source of U.S. gas supply, it does play an important role in regional markets, including New England. Gross LNG imports are projected to grow from 90 billion cubic ft in 1998 to 810 billion cubic ft in 2020.

    Although Mexico has the resource base needed to become a source of increasing future imports for the U.S., the country's own consumption is rapidly increasing, and its indigenous production is not expected to increase sufficiently to meet the growing demand. Pemex is anticipating demand growth of approximately 9% per year over the next 10 years. To meet rising demand, Pemex is actively promoting the expansion of cross-border capacity to allow increased imports.
    Over the longer term, Pemex hopes to develop more of its own resources, both to reduce Mexico's dependence on imports and to increase its exports to the U.S. It is unclear, however, whether Mexico will be able to increase production significantly, and it is likely that Mexico will remain a net importer of natural gas for the foreseeable future.

    Driving behind the growth in N.America is increased consumption of natural gas for electric power generation. In the U.S., natural gas consumption for electricity generation (excluding cogenerators) is projected in to triple from 3.8 trillion cubic ft in 1999 to 11.3 trillion cubic ft in 2020.
    Partly as a result of increasing demand for natural gas with new gas-fired power plants coming on line, and partly due to the decline in drilling that resulted from low natural gas prices over the past few years, natural gas prices rose sharply in 2000 in all of N.America, with prices at the U.S. Henry Hub more than quadrupling from those seen just a year earlier. Consumers have seen, and will most likely continue to see, substantial increases in natural gas costs.

    In California, where insufficient pipeline capacity both at the border and within the State has severely limited the availability of supply to meet rapidly growing demand, border prices that exceed the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) price more than sixfold have been seen.
    Several manufacturers that have hedged their gas supplies have found that it is more profitable to either shut down or cut back and sell the gas at considerable profit margins. High prices that have caused problems for natural gas consumers also spurred considerable interest & investment in exploration & development.
      [ That VP Cheney & Pres. select Shrub directly participated in engineering energy industry collusion in manufacturing these gross artificial shortages of course is unmentioned in this govt report. ]

    Projected domestic natural gas production in 2001 will exceed 2000 level by about 5.4%. U.S. natural gas rig count grew from 371 in April 1999 to 840 as of 11.10.00. Thus, although wellhead prices are projected to rise from an estimated $3.73 (nominal dollars) per thousand cubic ft in 2000 to $4.95 in 2001, they are expected to retreat in 2002 to $4.52.

    Mexico
    In Mexico, where the price of natural gas is set by Pemex based on U.S. benchmarks (specifically, Houston ship channel prices plus transport costs to Mexico), industrial consumers are facing similar problems. Mexico's second largest steel manufacturer Hylsa announced 9.21.00 partial suspension of operations at 3 iron mines & related ore-processing plants, stating high gas prices had made them uneconomical.

    Facing additional layoffs, production cutbacks, and possible closings, many industrialists, particularly in the glass, mining, and steel industries in northern Mexico's Monterrey, have been pressuring Pemex to revise the pricing mechanism or provide some other form of relief.
    While Pemex did announce plans to develop resources more aggressively and increase cross-border pipeline capacity, the only immediate relief it has offered major consumers has been a willingness to finance a portion of their natural gas costs.

    Mexico's Energy Regulatory Commission (CRE) took steps in August to ameliorate the situation in the longer term by announcing plans to begin a restructuring of the gas industry in order to reduce the effects of price volatility. The initiative, which will allow private investors to participate in the development of transportation, storage, and distribution infrastructure, has resulted in commitments of $2.2 billion to build about 24,000 miles of pipeline.

    CRE issued a call 10.4.00 for public consultation to solicit proposals on how to open the market to more private sector suppliers. Proposals relating to the public consultation were due in November, and they are scheduled to be published Jan. 2001, followed by an issuance in March of the CRE's proposals based on the suggestions.
      [ Hopefully for Mexican citizens, this pgm will have a speedy quiet death, since it was "private investors" (i.e. world record setting corporate welfare speculators) "participation in development" that intentionally skewed markets to grossly inflate energy costs during the period mentioned. ]

  • The CRE also implemented a month-long program during Aug. 2000 in which industrial customers who could show proof of either having purchased futures contracts or put some other form of hedging instrument in place were offered a 25% discount on natural gas prices. Approximately 355 companies, representing 85% of Mexico's natural gas consumption, took advantage of the discount offer.
    The primary purpose of the offer was to promote the use of hedging instruments, and the CRE president at that time, Hector Olea, initially indicated that it would not be repeated and other subsidies would not be introduced. In subsequent discussions, Olea did not rule out future subsidies that might be implemented by the incoming Fox administration after Fox took office 12.1.00. Olea, at the end of his 5-year term as chairman, resigned in November.

    While the incoming administration favors restructuring Mexico's energy markets, Fox may have difficulty implementing any sweeping reform, because his party lacks a majority in Congress.
    Pres. Fox would in particular like to encourage an opening of the upstream portion of the market to competition so that Mexico's natural gas resources could be developed at a more rapid pace. The distribution segment of the industry has been opened to private investment since 1995, but Pemex by constitutional mandate still controls exploration & production. Mexico remains the only North American country in which a segment of the natural gas market is directly controlled by the govt.

    Pemex announced plans to develop gas reserves in a number of areas, incl northern Burgos basin, to increase gas production and reduce imports to zero by 2004.
      [ Then why are "private investors" in the form of giant multinational oil corps. proposing LNG import terminals instead of domestic development? ]
    The Pemex program calls for $12 billion in spending, according to Energy Undersecretary Mauricio Toussaint 9.26.00 statement. Heavy industry has still been clamoring for a loosening of Pemex control, however, indicating that the current plans will not develop resources rapidly enough to meet rising demand or to alleviate the current short-term situation.

    U.S. Pres. GWBush during his election campaign expressed concern over the future of Mexico's gas market and called for a "hemispheric energy policy where Canada & Mexico and the U.S. come together." He indicated that he & Pres. Fox discussed expediting gas exploration in Mexico for transport to the U.S. In Sept., a delegation from the Texas Railroad Commission met with CRE members to discuss ways the agencies could cooperate to encourage the construction of more cross-border capacity between S.Texas & northern Mexico.

    Central/S. America
    Natural gas reserves in represent less than 5% of the world total; however, much of the region remains to be explored for gas, and new discoveries have accompanied recent exploration activity. 2 developments in Latin America highlight the potential for increased use of imported LNG in smaller markets. In July 2000, Atlantic LNG began natural gas deliveries from Trinidad & Tobago to Puerto Rico, where the gas is used largely for power generation.
    Also in the summer of 2000, an AES (Applied Energy Services) subsidiary and BP Amoco signed an agreement to send LNG from Trinidad to Dom.Republic. The deal involves 720,000 metric tons of LNG per year arriving in the Dominican Republic via a new LNG import terminal (reportedly now under construction) from as early as the end of 2002. A second terminal & associated power project were announced by Union Fenosa & Enron Oct. 2000, with construction expected to begin in the first part of 2001. Gas demand in the Dom.Republic may not be sufficient, however, to support two LNG import terminals.

    Trinidad & Tobago Atlantic LNG facility is initiating new trade routes with contracts that cover smaller volumes than have been common in the Asian dominated LNG trade. Gaspetro of Petrobras and Shell have announced plans to build an import terminal at NE Brazil deepwater port & industrial complex Suape.

    Asia
    Developing Asia includes the first, second, and fourth most populous countries in the world, China, India, and Indonesia. As a region, developing Asia accounts for more than 50% of the world's population, roughly 10% of its GDP, and about 7% of its natural gas consumption.
    Much of the gas that will be used in developing Asia is expected to cross intl borders to reach markets. Toward increasing domestic gas supply, Shell, BP Amoco, and Enron all have agreements to develop gas resources & infrastructure in China.

    Petronet moved forward in 2000 toward finalizing aspects of its first LNG import scheme. The evolution of Petronet in India is significant because it is a govt-led undertaking with substantial state participation in an arena where private companies are competing fiercely.
    India's LNG import schemes tend to involve gas sales to power producers as a critical component; however, many of India's state electricity boards (utilities) are in poor financial condition, in part because of their practice of selling power at subsidized rates. In Tamil Nadu on India's southernmost east coast, efforts have continued to solidify a project involving the Dakshin Bharat Energy Consortium & its Ennore terminal. The Ennore project appeared to be in trouble at one point during 2000 because of the financial status of the Tamil Nadu Electricity Board (TNEB). TNEB could not provide escrow cover for power purchase payments, let alone purchase the entire output as earlier promised.

    In Japan, as in Europe & U.S., deregulation is changing both gas & power industries as gas companies move into the power sector and power companies pursue gas ventures. Chubu Electric and Iwatani announced plans for a joint venture to sell retail LNG to large industrial plants, using tank trucks for transportation from the LNG terminal next to their Kawagoe power plant in Mie Prefecture, central Japan.

    MidEast
    MidEast region has the second largest natural gas reserves after the FSU. Estimates also continue to grow. British Gas (BG) LNG export from Iran (South Pars at southern border) to receiving terminal planned for Pipavav in northwest India starting around 2006.

    In early 2000, the first commercial gas deposit was discovered offshore Israel by British Gas with two local partners, Isramco & Delek. In April, Samedan (operating in partnership with Avner, Delek, and RB Mediterranean) made another important gas discovery about 15 miles off Israel's southern coast. Samedan is estimating that reserves at the Mari-B structure will exceed 1 trillion cubic ft. Israel aims to increase gas-fired power generation to avoid a looming electricity crisis.

    During 2000, both Qatar & Oman brought new LNG export facilities on stream and pursued domestic gas development. In Qatar, RasGas began production from its second LNG train, doubling capacity at the Ras Laffan facility to 5 metric tons per year. Most of the gas will go to Korea under a long-term contract.

    W.Europe
    2000 was important for natural gas in Western Europe because the European Union (EU) set 8.10.00 deadline for members to have in place for
    third-party access to gas infrastructure. European Parliament & Council Directive 98/30/EC of 6.22.98 set common rules for EU internal market in natural gas. By 8.10.00, all gas-fired power generators and customers using more than 883 million cubic ft of gas per year were to be "eligible" to choose a gas supplier. EU distinguishes between "eligibility," or the legal right to choose a supplier, and truly competitive markets in which customers have a real choice. Under the directive, further deadlines expand eligibility, first to customers of at least 530 million cubic ft per year by 2003 and then to those using at least 177 million cubic ft per year by 2008. The directive also gives the emerging markets in Portugal & Greece more leeway.

    Not all member countries met the deadline because of many issues & politics of EU gas industry. Spain & Belgium are partly compliant, with some third-party access to gas infrastructure, and have plans to become completely compliant over the next 10 or so years. UK is already 100% compliant with the EU directive.
    France, Portugal, and Luxembourg were sent warning letters about their failure to comply by EU Energy Commissioner Loyola De Palacio, and have also received formal "infringement notice" from the European Commission, which could lead in theory to legal action by the Court of Justice.
    EU has also scrutinized & questioned German compliance, but no formal action has been taken. Germany has struggled with setting fees to exit points in its transportation system, which involves more than 700 operators. Ultimate impact of the EU directive on creating a "single European gas market" is uncertain, but the EU has not ruled out taking further measures, and EU energy ministers have discussed tougher draft amendments.
      [ This abrogation of national autonomy is miniscule compared to likely consequences if the oil corps. choose to apply FTAA Chapt. 11 against local opposition to LNG import terminals. ]

    Other catalysts for change in the European gas market may also come from growing trading opportunities (such as via the Interconnector pipeline between UK & continental Europe) or from forces of abundant supply. In Spain, plans to expand LNG imports continue with 2 new receiving terminal projects. One terminal is scheduled to begin operations in 2003 in the northern Basque region in the newly expanded port of Bilbao. The project involves the company Bahia de Bizkaia Gas (BBG), owned by BP Amoco, Iberdrola, Repsol YPF, and Ente Vasco de la Energia (the Basque energy authority). Gas imports would initially be delivered to an 800MW power plant in addition to Repsol and the Basque gas distributor (Gas de Euskadi). A turnkey contract for the terminal was awarded in summer 2000 to a consortium led by SN Technigaz.

    Another Spanish LNG terminal project involves Spain's third largest power company, Union Fenosa, which has signed a deal with Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. (EGPC) for LNG supply. Providing Fenosa with its own gas source from 2004, the agreement calls for Fenosa to invest $1 billion in a liquefaction terminal, shipping arrangements, and participation in regasification. The project would help Fenosa compete with Repsol-Gas Natural as a supplier in the newly opening market.
    During the spring of 2000, Union Fenosa and Spanish subsidiary of U.S. energy co. Enron were awarded gas supply licenses for the Spanish market. More than 8 other licenses for capacity in the pipelines of Gas Natural were awarded in the preceding months. Gas Natural also moved up investment plans for extending its pipeline network following a govt decision to take only 10 years (not 14) for the transition to an open market.

    Planned projects and jockeying of various companies to compete in Spain reflects battles or issues raised in Europe as EU plans for electricity & gas industry deregulation move forward. Repsol YPF, Spain's premier oil and gas group, sought entrance to the electricity market, but electric utilities initially fought the move, arguing that it would not be reciprocal (providing unfair advantage to Repsol) until the gas market also opened and offered similar access.

    Portugal's state gas distribution co. Transgas, began receiving Nigerian LNG via regasification terminal at Huelva in southern Spain. Portugal is also constructing its first LNG terminal at Sines (55 mi. south of Lisbon) in conjunction with a 1GW combined-cycle gas turbine power plant.
    In Italy, projects, plans, and proposals for new LNG terminals are also linked with deregulation. Italy now has one LNG receiving terminal in operation. Edison/Exxon Mobil's plan for a terminal in the Adriatic Sea around the Po River delta (offshore Rovigo) received several first-stage approvals in 1999, and in early 2000 the Italian environment ministry approved the environmental impact study. The project is targeted for completion in 2003. Rivaling the Edison/ExxonMobil plans is a British Gas (BG) proposal to build a terminal in the southern city of Brindisi, for which there is already local clearance.

    Eastern Europe & former Soviet Union
    Russia is both the world's largest natural gas producer & largest exporter; all the country's excess production goes to exports. Russia far surpassed all other countries in gas production in 1999, providing 23.7% of the world's total supply, only slightly ahead of the U.S. share of 23.2%.
    Because Russian govt has mandated artificially low domestic prices for natural gas, Gazprom must cover its domestic losses with profits from the sale of gas at considerably higher prices in foreign markets. Gazprom indicated domestic gas prices might have to double in order for Russian gas producers to stop losing money, and increases of at least 50% would be needed to attract needed investment. Russian president Vladimir Putin indicated desire to reform Gazprom, which is partially owned by the govt.

    In addition to receiving lower prices domestically for its gas, Gazprom still struggles with the issue of nonpayment both domestically & within the EE/FSU. In other countries, payment arrangements and/or barter deals continue to help satisfy the huge debt owed Gazprom. Russia & Ukraine worked out a Dec. 2000 restructuring of Ukraine's debt under which Ukraine has been given an 8-year grace period, with the debt to be repaid by the Ukrainian govt in cash.
    In turn, Ukraine has provided Russia with some security guarantees on the transit of Russian gas to Europe through Ukraine, and Russia has guaranteed the supply of necessary quantities of gas to Ukraine. Ukraine is the transit route for approximately two-thirds of Russian gas destined for European markets, and Russia contends Ukraine siphons gas during transit for both internal use & resale.

    Slovakia is already the world's second largest conveyor of natural gas, with up to 25% of the natural gas consumed in W.Europe crossing Slovakian territory. Choice of routes has been contentious, with Poland until recently being opposed to a route that bypasses its strategic ally, Ukraine. Polish law mandates that no one natural gas supplier may provide more than 49% of the country's natural gas supply. Poland's plans are to replace Russian supplies with Norwegian supplies transported via the Baltic Sea

    Of particular note were production increases of 71.4% in Turkmenistan and 20.7% in Kazakhstan. Most of the excess production was exported to other EE/FSU countries, and about one-third went to Iran. Turkmenistan's sizable increase in production in 1999 resulted mainly from a resumption of exports to Ukraine, which Turkmenistan had cut off in 1997 & 1998 in response to Ukraine's nonpayment for previous deliveries.

    Africa
    Africa's gas reserves, est. 394 trillion cubic ft, account for nearly 8% of global reserves. Egypt, Algeria and Nigeria combined to about 80% of the total. Gas production activity is concentrated in north & west Africa, where proposed export projects and plans for domestic use are also accumulating. In western Africa, esp. Nigeria, production of associated gas has risen with development of crude oil resources and reductions in gas flaring.

      Punto Colonet
    NAFTA plundered buffer
    Property frenzy in Baja California As megaport is planned 50 miles south of Ensenada, secrecy surrounds land sales in impoverished area
    4.24.06   Diane Lindquist
    SD UT

    Punta Colonet, Mexico   After Mexico picked this uninhabited inlet as the site for a new west coast megaport 2 years ago, beachfront land that held value only to surfers and a handful of fishermen suddenly became hot property.
    Since then, global and domestic business executives, Mexico City lawyers, consultants, engineers and even a former Baja California governor have been beating a path along a pot-holed dirt road from the town of Colonet on the trans-peninsular highway to the water's edge 5 miles away.

    Federal officials have yet to announce a bidding competition, but the project has set off a land grab in this impoverished area 50 miles south of Ensenada. Buyers have snatched up 132 prime acres along a strip of tideland likely to be transformed over the next decade into docks for container ships arriving from Asia with goods destined for America's heartland.

    Former Baja California Gov. Ernesto Ruffo Appel and a partner have bought one such parcel, and also a nearby mountaintop and rights of way to move rock that might be used for the massive project.
    “We have purchased 2,500 hectares (more than 600 acres),” Ruffo said. “We've spent about $3 million so far. That shows how serious we are.”

    Additional groups are said to be maneuvering for other choice sites. Secrecy obscures much of the wheeling and dealing.
    The Punta Colonet property frenzy is changing life in a rural region populated in part by families who have held the unproductive land for a half century in collective ejido arrangements. The influx of cash has split apart communal groups, pitting family against family, brother against brother.

    José Luis González learned he was being cut out of a windfall coming to Ejido Villa Morelos last August, a day before 18 other members of the group gathered at a bank to receive checks for selling several parcels of oceanfront property. González, his brother Rubén and two uncles have since taken their fellow ejido members to what is known as an agrarian resolution court, seeking a slice of the proceeds.
    “I don't know exactly how much they got. They aren't letting us know,” González said recently while taking a break from preparing a cornfield for planting. “But now they're driving fancy cars and wearing nice clothes.”
    Several sources with knowledge of the transaction estimate that $10 million to $15 million was paid for the land.
    “No one is against the development,” González said. “We're glad the port's being built because it's needed. We're against how we're being treated.”

    condemned beach   foto Charlie Neuman Numerous individuals refused to be quoted for publication because of the sensitivity of the subject or fear of financial repercussions. Others didn't return phone calls and e-mails. Baja California Economic Development Secretary Sergio Tagliapietra declined to comment through a spokeswoman because he “doesn't want to contribute to the speculation.”

    A federal official said the govt plans to encourage investors from across U.S. & Asia to take part in the competitive bidding process that is expected to start in the next month or two. The port project is being driven by the inability of other ports, esp. those at Long Beach and Los Angeles, to handle increases of cargo coming from eastern Asia.
    Shipments from there are growing 15 percent annually and are expected to double by 2020. Together, those ports handled 13 million TEUs in 2004, or $200 billion worth of cargo. TEU, or 20-foot equivalent units, is the standard measurement in the shipping industry to quantify container traffic.

    Punta Colonet will serve only container ships, said Ensenada port director Carlos Jáuregui González, who will be involved with the govt's marketing and bidding process.
    The port will be configured in a U-shape, with each leg having several berths and cranes to handle cargo. One leg will also comprise the project's breakwater. Nearly 7,000 acres, 97 percent of them water and 3 percent tidelands, will be devoted to the project. A harbor must be dredged deep enough to accommodate several megaships at once.
    Within 7 years, Punta Colonet could be processing the equivalent of a million 20-foot-long containers annually, 6 million by 2025.
    “It's actually going to be bigger than Los Angeles and Long Beach together,” said consultant Albert Fierstine, who was Port of Los Angeles' business development director.

    The port and rail projects are expected to require an investment of $4 billion to $5 billion. But the development of the region, including a city with thousands of inhabitants that would spread farther east into ejido lands and support the cargo operations, is expected to attract as much as $22.2 billion in investment.
    According to area residents, including Ruffo, Hutchison Port Holdings, the parent of Ensenada's cargo and cruise ship operator, is behind the purchase of the Ejido Villa Morelos parcel. The name on land transfer records, however, is Ernesto Roberto Tatay.
    González said that when the judge in the Ejido Morelos case asked who Tatay is and where he lives, Tatay's attorney said he didn't know. The lawyer has been ordered to produce the information.

    Officials of Hutchison Ports Mexico, a subsidiary of Hutchison Whampoa Ltd., the world's largest port operator and developer, did not return phone calls and an e-mail seeking comment on Punta Colonet land purchases.
    “They are not buying anything now,” said Isaura Puppo, secretary for Hutchison executive Mike Power. She declined to confirm whether the company is behind the Ejido Villa Morelos acquisition.

    Punta Colonet landowners and residents of Colonet, a town of about 5,000 populated mostly by area ejido members and farmworkers transplanted from southern Mexico, said they have been given no official information about plans for the region.
    However, Jesús Lara, who owns more than 900 acres atop a cliff overlooking the proposed site, has been waging an one-man effort to learn about the project, the land purchases and the companies and people involved. After buying the cliff-top property about 5 years ago, he was in the process of clearing land to develop a golf course, a hotel and restaurant when he got wind of the port project about 8 months ago.
    “I was just starting a lot of work there, and these guys came and bought (the parcels below his).” he said. “And I said, 'What am I doing?' Then I stopped.”

    Lara grew up as a member of a nearby ejido, farmed in the area and operates a cross-border trucking firm from Chula Vista. Bilingual and bicultural, he has sought out officials to discuss the project and has become an important contact for many of the parties interested in the port development.
    “Everybody is thinking now is the time to buy the land cheap. If you're down there every day, you'll see helicopters, planes and four-wheel drive vehicles coming in,” he said.
    According to Lara and Ruffo, Hutchison paid about $5 per square meter compared to the average $7 per square meter Ruffo and Ensenada businessman Roberto Curiel Amaya paid Ejido Heroes de Chapultepec for their tideland property.

    Initially, Ruffo said, he was acting as a consultant for interested parties but as the project appeared more feasible, he decided to pair with Curiel, a builder with extensive interests in sand, gravel and rock, to play a larger role under a company they formed called Puerto Colonet Infrastructura.
    “I will certainly be a bidder,” he said. “Now we are trying to put together a consortium.”
    Besides the two communal groups that have sold land, three others, Ejido Veinte Siete de Enero, Ejido Diaz Ordáz and Ejido Mexico, which is also known as Ejido Colonet, hold property in the area where the port, railroad and new city are to be built.
    It's up to developers to secure land for the port project, said port director Jáuregui.

    Property for a 180-mile rail line from the port to Mexicali is likely to be obtained through eminent domain by the state of Baja California, he said. From the port, it is expected to run along the San Rafael River valley north to the border near Mexicali.
    The Ejido Morelos judicial dispute, Jáuregui said, “could interfere with the project if it is not properly solved.”
    Once forbidden from selling their land, the collective groups are permitted to do so under a 1992 change in Mexican federal law. After that change, José Luis and Rubén González and two of their uncles bought a few parcels to farm on their own from the other members of Ejido Villa Morelos, which was formed in 1958.
    “Those of us who were cut out of the cake are the pioneers of the ejido,” Rubén González said. “The coastal property that was sold is common area belonging to all (22 members). Nobody complained before, but now money's involved.”

    Interest in Punta Colonet continues to grow among visitors and locals alike, Lara said. Representatives of 4 of the ejidos and a group of business leaders from San Quintin, the coastal town to the south, met with him recently to learn what he knows about the project and the land transfers.
    Lara has no plans to sell his cliff-top property, which extends to the tidelands below that will make up the bottom of the U-shaped facility.
    “I won't sell,” he said, “because I can't get now what it's going to be worth eventually.”



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